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Will there be a US technical default in 2023?

Speak Link Copy 2023-05-17 20:18:24

Prediction

No, raise the debt ceiling

Reason

Both Republicans and Democrats are in favor of raising the national debt ceiling, but Republicans demand to cut spending

No, raise the debt ceiling

In 2011, it was possible to agree on raising the amount of debt only three days before the “deadline”. The compromise was eventually reached after President Barack Obama's administration agreed to cut defense and other spending.

References
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What is China's strategy?

Link Copy 2023-03-09 08:35:06

Prediction

Displacing the United States from the position of the most powerful country in the world and creating a new world order

Reason

China will create new strategic partnership networks to replace the unequal system of U.S. alliances. China will become the most technologically advanced country in the world. China will build a first-class army. China will regain ideological and information control over the country.

Displacing the United States from the position of the most powerful country in the world and creating a new world order

It is no longer possible to hide military power and ambitions, and China faces the threat of an anti-Chinese coalition.

References

Accuracy 10

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How will the world economy change in the next 5 years?

Link Copy 2023-11-17 14:37:10

Prediction

The influence of Asian countries on the global economic market is expected to increase and the European market is expected to decline sharply.

Reason

Because of the sanctions, Europe and the United States lost the Russian market, and it was occupied by companies from China. Many manufacturers have changed their minds about building their factories in Europe due to rising resource prices. Meanwhile, Russia is strengthening trade relations with India, China, Iran and creating new trade routes bypassing Europe.

The influence of Asian countries on the global economic market is expected to increase and the European market is expected to decline sharply.

Asia will surpass the USA and Europe

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Who will be president after Trump?

Link Copy 2025-04-20 14:26:24

Prediction

Democratic candidate

Reason

Republicans will not be forgiven for dismissals. Democrats are already winning party elections in states where Republicans used to win.

Democratic candidate

Even after the change of Trump, US policy will not change. They need to bring jobs back to the country, and this should be beneficial to employers, and this can only be done with the help of a weak dollar and protective tariffs or other unpopular reforms.

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