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When will Kazakhstan lose its sovereignty?

Link Copy 2023-02-11 12:23:08

Prediction

In 2035

Reason

In 2035, Kazakhstan will not be able to pay off the national debt with China. China will demand land.

In 2035

According to the government's analytical report, there can be no problems until 2050. The national debt will amount to 32% of GDP.

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Will rallies be repeated in Kazakhstan?

Link Copy 2023-06-08 08:35:38

Prediction

Yes, in 2025

Reason

The leaders of the EAEU countries reached an agreement in principle and approved the concept of a common hydrocarbon market from 2025. And this means that the price of hydrocarbons should be equal, and electronic trading will also have to be introduced. For Kazakhstan, this means an increase in the retail price of energy resources, because at the moment it has the lowest energy prices in comparison with its neighbors. Rising prices for everything will immediately cause a repeat of the riots, as was the case in 2022.

Yes, in 2025

The riots in 2022 began due to the fact that electronic trading was introduced and someone bought up all the gas and the retail gas price doubled.

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Why do the heads of corporations talk about the dangers of artificial intelligence, but they themselves are developing their own artificial intelligence?

Link Copy 2023-03-19 14:44:02

Prediction

There is simply a denigration of the competitor, while the development of its OWN AI is underway.

Reason

They need something clever to say constantly to advertise themselves and the company.

There is simply a denigration of the competitor, while the development of its OWN AI is underway.

Fears about superiority and AI's desire to destroy race are based on misconceptions about the technology.

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What is the forecast for SpaceX?

Link Copy 2026-06-21 10:45:15

Prediction

There will be growth in year 6, but by 2027 it will disappoint investors.

Reason

At the peak of IPOs and the euphoria of artificial intelligence, the market often ignores the bad news. Investors are buying stories about the future: robotaxi, AGI, Mars, revolution in transportation. Revenues and margins fade into the background. In 2027, everything will change. The company simply has nowhere to make a profit. This is not a Tesla that could share technology for money and achieve payback thanks to the introduced zero-emission laws. Nobody needs space. Starlink will not be able to cover the losses. Grok is lagging behind in the development of artificial intelligence and will not catch up with competitors in the near future. In 2025, Tesla's global shipments decreased by about 9% year-on-year, and the company lost leadership in electric vehicle sales to China's BYD, and according to Tesla reports, it continued to gradually lose market share in Q1 2026 as the overall electric vehicle market grows faster and competitors become more aggressive. Tesla's autopilot is inferior to Waymo in terms of real driverless autonomy. The Optimus robot still does not know how to work stably in the “real world without control.”

There will be growth in year 6, but by 2027 it will disappoint investors.

For a SpaceX shareholder, the question is as follows: Will Grok be better than ChatGPT and Claude? This may turn out to be almost as important as the question Will Starship be able to fly to Mars?. And 2027 will be the year of verification: is Grok making money? Is Starlink growing as fast as promised? Does Starship have any commercial success? Is the estimate of trillions of dollars justified?

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