When will Kazakhstan lose its sovereignty?

In 2035

In 2035, Kazakhstan will not be able to pay off the national debt with China. China will demand land.

According to the government's analytical report, there can be no problems until 2050. The national debt will amount to 32% of GDP.

Devaluation will not help: how to give Kazakhstan the growing national debt? - Economists

Kazakhstan's national debt will eat a third of the country's revenues in 2023

Accuracy 20

Will artificial intelligence be able to replace programmers in the near future?

No, but it can create huge recruitment problems.

In the coming years, the main problem will not be that AI will completely replace programmers, but that it will seriously change the recruitment market. Previously, companies were willing to train newcomers, but now many prefer to hire one strong AI developer instead of several novice employees. Thanks to artificial intelligence, everyone will work 30-50% faster, the company may need 7-8 people instead of 10, which means that new employees will be hired less often. AI will make remote work even more accessible, and if previously a company was looking for a developer in its city or country, now it can hire a person from almost anywhere in the world who effectively uses AI. This will greatly increase the competition between specialists.

The most likely scenario is not the disappearance of the profession, but a reduction in the number of entry-level vacancies, increased requirements for candidates and increased competition.

Why is there no change for the better in Kazakhstan under the new president?

Nursultan Nazarbayev is gone, but not to the end

Most appointments are made for authoritarian, clan, and patronage purposes. This means that a certain person is appointed to the post of regional akim or minister, not so much because he is good at what he does and has the right level of professionalism and experience, but because he will definitely do what he is told, what the president ordered him to do. Thus, the ministers became extras who simply supported the main character, the president.

In simple terms, in order to give additional opportunities to someone (for example, small and medium-sized businesses, which are currently being talked about a lot), you need to take these opportunities away from those who use them incorrectly or incorrectly. And this already smacks of a redistribution of power. That is, in fact, there is a question of reducing the caste of untouchables and the resources controlled by it.

New Kazakhstan

When will Russia run out of oil for export?

If production rates are not reduced and new deposits are not discovered, then in 2040

Russian Energy Minister Novak noted in 2018 that oil production in Russia, in the absence of incentives, could fall by 44% by 2035. Taking into account the coronavirus infection in 2019 and sanctions, these deadlines have shifted to 2040.

Russia has one of the highest taxes on the oil industry in the world, which makes it difficult to stimulate production.

Novak: oil production in Russia in the absence of incentives may fall by 44% by 2035