In 2035
In 2035, Kazakhstan will not be able to pay off the national debt with China. China will demand land.

According to the government's analytical report, there can be no problems until 2050. The national debt will amount to 32% of GDP.
Devaluation will not help: how to give Kazakhstan the growing national debt? - Economists
Kazakhstan's national debt will eat a third of the country's revenues in 2023
Accuracy 20
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Yes, due to Chinese restrictions on the trade of rare earth metals.
China controls rare earth elements that are necessary for almost all advanced technologies and are almost entirely produced in China. It accounts for 70% of their global production and, more importantly, over 90% of their processing. Thus, it can respond to restrictions from the USA and the EU. Therefore, negotiations will have to be made with China. Chinese media note that the supply of many important medicines in the USA is also almost entirely controlled by China.

China itself is very much dependent on world trade. And foreign trade is a constant leash for China.
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If we are talking about the purchase of obsolete equipment, then yes. If we are talking about the production of semiconductors with 0, then no.
Lack of specialists. There is a critical dependence of the design and production processes on foreign technologies, including software, and materials (in particular, high-purity chemistry and silicon). Low investment attractiveness of the industry. Lack of production capacity.

3.19 trillion rubles will be enough only to buy obsolete equipment. ASML spent $6 billion a year to become an industry leader. But she had specialists, there were no sanctions and there was no urgent need. In the current situation, the amount needs to be tripled.
Media: according to the concept of the national project, 3.19 trillion rubles will be allocated for the development of domestic electronics until 2030
The government has designed electronics
Problems of Electronics 2030: Acute Shortage of Personnel: There is a wild shortage of personnel in Russian electronics. Specialists need good salaries, but there is no chance of their growth
Accuracy 30
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Tokayev wants another term, despite constitutional restrictions
The introduction of a single parliament in Kazakhstan requires amendments to the Constitution. After the amendments are made, the powers of the president can be extended, because now the new Constitution and the term can be counted from scratch.

Similarly, in Russia, through a constitutional amendment, the restriction on the prohibition of two consecutive terms in presidential elections was circumvented.
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