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Why is humanity not mining other planets?

Link Copy 2023-07-27 10:01:58

Prediction

This is not economically feasible at this time.

Reason

At this point in time it is mainly because it would be difficult. You would need a device that can go into space, land on something like an asteroid, mine heavy metals or any other desired material, and then make a return trip to the earth while it orbits the sun.

This is not economically feasible at this time.

The mining of metals in space has solved earthly problems such as ecology, shortage of rare metals. But also any metal mining in space would hit Earth market prices.

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What will be the consequences of the deal between Intel and Qualcomm?

Link Copy 2024-09-26 14:37:08

Prediction

The deplorable, desktop x64 processors will be destroyed, and only Arm will remain.

Reason

Even if Intel's management agrees, it will take several years for international regulators to approve the deal, and eventually Qualcomm itself will sink to the bottom.

The deplorable, desktop x64 processors will be destroyed, and only Arm will remain.

Intel is in a financial hole - in the first quarter of 2023, it posted a record net loss of almost $3 billion, and in the second quarter of 2024, it tried to repeat this achievement, bringing its net debt to $1.61 billion.

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Will the United States withdraw from NATO?

Link Copy 2025-12-14 09:21:56

Prediction

There is no document where the United States commits to withdraw from NATO by 2027. There are strategies and projects where NATO is criticized and viewed as a burden, but this is not a decision to withdraw. The United States will remain in NATO as long as possible.

Reason

NATO will remain, but the role of the United States will change . The USA will: 1) maintain the nuclear umbrella and political leadership. NATO is turning from an American army in Europe into a coalition where the United States is the coordinator, not the main performer. 2)) Severe pressure on the allies. This is explicitly stated in the strategies. Tools: the requirement of 2% of GDP for defense, and in fact more, linking American aid to contributions, public pressure, including threats of we don't have to protect you. Europe pays and fights, the United States governs and supports. 3️) Shifting the focus to China 2025-2027 The USA will: build up the fleet and aviation in the Indo-Pacific region, reducing non-binding commitments in Europe, Japan, South Korea, Australia, and the Philippines are preparing allies. The United States needs Europe as a stable rear, not as the main theater of war. 4) Ukraine is a test model of the future of NATO. The United States tries not to fight directly . Maximum: money, weapon, intelligence service . We arm our allies, we don't fight ourselves.

There is no document where the United States commits to withdraw from NATO by 2027.
 There are strategies and projects where NATO is criticized and viewed as a burden, but this is not a decision to withdraw. The United States will remain in NATO as long as possible.

The US withdrawal from NATO: destroys the influence of the United States , frees Europe from dependence , hits the dollar and the military-industrial complex. It is much more profitable to stay , reduce costs , and maintain control . The final formula of the US strategy to remain in NATO, but to make it less American and more European. Maintain leverage without bearing the main burden.

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Will taxes be raised in Russia after the elections?

Link Copy 2024-03-13 16:59:20

Prediction

Yes, a progressive tax will be introduced

Reason

Russia is short of money. For 3 months, the budget deficit is equal to the annual one. The main reason for such a budget deficit is too small revenues from the sale of hydrocarbons.

Yes, a progressive tax will be introduced

President Vladimir Putin instructed to modernize the tax system and consolidate it in a new form. He talks about it as if the choice has already been made. The tax hike will hit the Russian economy hard, as it will be easier to import than to produce. It would be better to honestly say that the money is needed for the war, and after the war we will return everything to its place.

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