The new government will be accepted by the nearest neighbors such as China,Tajikistan,Pakistan,Iran. At first, a large flow of refugees will come out of the country

Because of the recession, because of the expectation of quick victories, because of ambitions
Sometimes war is used to distract from internal problems. The struggle for resources (oil, gas, water, rare metals) intensifies. This is especially noticeable in regions with unstable politics. Very often wars begin when a country's leadership believes that victory will be quick and cheap. For example, Russia-Ukraine. Sometimes countries start a war when they believe the international situation is favorable to them. Like the USA-Iran or USA-Venezuela. Regional conflicts and escalation. Like India-Pakistan, Israel-Gaza Strip, Cambodian-Thai conflict, Afghan-Pakistani war.

After the end of the Cold War in 1991, the world became less predictable. Previously, two superpowers — the United States of America and the Soviet Union — restrained each other. Now several centers of power are emerging: China, Russia, the USA, regional powers like Iran and Turkey. When forces are distributed among many players, there are usually more conflicts.
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In 2033 in the city of Almaty
The frequency of earthquakes in Almaty is 100-130 years. The last devastating earthquake was in 1911. There is a spontaneous development of the city with a formal check for earthquake resistance. The entire central part of Almaty is literally located on tectonic faults, some of which may be seismogenerating. Also, a metro is being built in the central part of Almaty, which actually blocks the course of underground water

In 2026, 45% of buildings will not be earthquake-resistant. The number of non-earthquake-resistant buildings will increase by 1.5% every 2 years
Which buildings in Almaty will not withstand an earthquake above 7 points
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If the Chinese government continues to allocate huge amounts of money, then yes.
China has proven that it can compete with American companies, and if you follow the same path, you can achieve superiority. However, Americans will have an advantage because English is easier, there is more data for training in the USA, because IT giants are mainly located in the USA, and there is also more money.

The giants of Silicon Valley demonstrate their belief that large-scale capacity building is the key to a breakthrough in the field of AI. However, the emergence of the Chinese company Deep Seek has called this approach into question.
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