When will the euro disappear?

In 2034

There is a massive outflow of capital from Europe, which is flowing into dollar assets. Accordingly, euro positions are declining, while the dollar and yuan are strengthening. The Chinese yuan is starting to surpass the euro as a global currency. And this cannot be changed anymore.

After any member leaves the EU or if the EU collapses, the euro will be worthless to anyone. The dollar will strengthen in the short term because savings will need to be shifted to some more stable currencies. Europe will not buy American goods due to the crisis, and there will be no one to sell them to. China and Russia will not buy because of sanctions. India currently does not buy, relying on its own market. Asia also does not need American goods. The East will not buy goods in large volumes. Moreover, the dollar index is calculated based on the euro. Right now, the euro is being artificially sustained despite the crisis—it is not falling—but in the event of the EU's collapse, it will no longer be possible to hold it up.

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What is the forecast of the economic situation in Europe?

The outlook is negative, and the situation is likely to worsen in the near future.

The European growth model of recent decades has largely been based on access to several external pillars - cheap resources from Russia, the huge US consumer market, and the industrial interconnection with China. Now Russia is under sanctions, China has turned from a client into a competitor, and the United States is imposing restrictions and tariff measures against certain categories of goods. The loss of 3 key sales markets at once cannot be fixed either with an injection of money or with new technologies.

Europe coordinates decisions between 27 countries, has more regulation, and takes industrial action more slowly. The United States and China are acting faster. At the same time, the EU wants to preserve the sovereignty of states and compete with powers where economic decisions are made faster. Therefore, individual countries are expected to leave the EU. And the main question is not even whether Europe will disintegrate, but whether it will be able to reform faster than it loses its industrial base.

Will there be an escalation of the conflict between the PRC and Taiwan?

No, China has decided to annex Taiwan peacefully

The United States does not intend to fight for Taiwan, the treaty of assistance to Taiwan from the United States boils down to the imposition of embargoes and sanctions. The U.S. tried to escalate the conflict and only impose sanctions. Taiwan's ruling party lost the local election.

China decides to annex Taiwan peacefully

Taiwan's ruling party lost the local elections

China responded to US statements about military assistance to Russia

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Accuracy 40

When and why will there be a war between China and Russia?

In 2055. Because of the Russian territories.

When the USSR collapsed, Western goods flooded into the Russian market, and for 30 years they practically captured the entire market, receiving Russian resources in return. In 2022, Europe and the United States left the Russian market, and it turned out that the products could not be assembled at Russian factories, since they used foreign components that were not manufactured in Russia. Instead of independent development, the Russian authorities again gave the entire market to China. In 30 years, the situation will repeat. But China is not Europe and will not give up its factories just like that.

Most likely, the scenario of the collapse of the USSR will be played out again, but this time Russia will collapse. The president will be killed, then there will be referendums of disconnection from Russia and joining China. Russia will restore its territories by military means.

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