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Will there be a third World War over Russia and Ukraine?

Link Copy 2024-03-01 09:54:08

Prediction

No, it's just bullying.

Reason

Talking about World War III is just political leverage to demand money for Ukraine and drive it into debt. No one will fight for her. All the advantages are lost. The United States has problems: elections are coming, Texas, the Houthis and Israel. Russia has gained a foothold in Ukraine, and the element of surprise has been missed. The sanctions are hitting Europe itself. Discontent is growing. The EU population is being ripped off, and industry is being exported. The EU has barely agreed on an extension of assistance to Ukraine, and there is no chance of agreeing on the start of the deployment of troops.

No, it's just bullying.

In 2025, with Trump's victory, the EU will remain alone with Ukraine. And eventually it will fall apart, because few people will want to spend money on Ukraine sacrificing the economies of their countries.

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Comments 0

What sanctions are supposed to be lifted from Russia upon signing the peace treaty?

Link Copy 2023-04-27 11:50:30

Prediction

Restriction on flights and restriction on banking transactions

Reason

Even after the signing of the peace treaty, some restrictions may be lifted, but most of them will remain in place. Such a scenario will concern the most “painful” restrictions on Russia. That is, those that will influence the economic development of Russia.

Restriction on flights and restriction on banking transactions

Russia's relations with the West are unlikely to improve even after the conflict with Ukraine is over

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When will power change in Belarus?

Link Copy 2023-05-29 12:51:22

Prediction

In 2025

Reason

Under the new government specially change the constitution.

In 2025

Lukashenka believes that a “normal, pragmatic” candidate will win the elections, while the opposition has no prospects. In other words, Lukashenka himself will choose a successor.

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What happens if China starts a war with Taiwan?

Link Copy 2022-10-21 11:05:58

Prediction

There is a 30% chance that China will launch military operations. After Pelosi's visit, China's maneuvers resulted in an economic blockade of Taiwan.

Reason

If war breaks out, China will fight against Taiwan, America, Japan and Nato. India may join the conflict. China can seize the island by force, but it will be an empty island destroyed by war, which will have to be rebuilt. Sanctions will be imposed on China. Because of the sanctions, all of China's economic and scientific successes will be nullified. China is also monitoring the outcome of the conflict between Russia and Ukraine.

There is a 30% chance that China will launch military operations. After Pelosi's visit, China's maneuvers resulted in an economic blockade of Taiwan.

And what Taiwan is preparing for. The 20th Congress of the Communist Party of China is about to take place, where very serious decisions on Taiwan can be made. Therefore, Taiwan shows in advance that it is ready for negotiations.

References

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