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When will robots with human consciousness appear?

Link Copy 2024-05-02 15:04:15

Prediction

Prototypes will appear in 2027

Reason

Developments in the field of artificial intelligence do not stand still

Prototypes will appear in 2027

Of course it will only be an imitation

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Will artificial intelligence replace programmers?

Link Copy 2025-04-14 11:36:57

Prediction

No, it will not replace it, but competition for jobs will increase. And there will be a shortage of programmers in the future.

Reason

Executives at various IT companies are now publicly declaring that AI will soon replace programmers. Although the CEO of an IT company often understands little about the work of a programmer, for shareholders, the opinion of such people looks authoritative, and they believe him. Laying off programmers without losing profits is nothing more than the wet fantasies of managers and shareholders of companies. If a company cuts its programmers by a factor of five, its competitors will immediately try to overtake it, even if it costs them a couple of years of work without a profit.

No, it will not replace it, but competition for jobs will increase. And there will be a shortage of programmers in the future.

What about Google laying off programmers? It lays off expensive American programmers and immediately hires cheap Indian ones. American programmer - 4,000, Indian programmer - 1,500.

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Why does the United States need a deal between Azerbaijan and Armenia?

Link Copy 2025-08-21 17:20:51

Prediction

The result should be a transit corridor through the territory of 2 countries.

Reason

Following the talks, Armenia and Azerbaijan agreed to create a major transit corridor. Azerbaijan is currently modernizing the railway in the Nakhchivan Autonomous Republic at its own expense, and it is planned to build a railway in Armenia. The United States is not investing in this project. The expansion of US influence in this region could lead to the expansion of NATO's influence throughout the South Caucasus, which could become a wedge between Iran and Russia.

The result should be a transit corridor through the territory of 2 countries.

Armenia sells Russian gas as its own, bypassing sanctions. If the war ends and sanctions are lifted, this route will cease to be economically important, since Russia will be able to sell gas via other routes, but if we are talking about NATO expansion, then this is a completely different matter.

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What happens if China starts a war with Taiwan?

Link Copy 2022-10-21 11:05:58

Prediction

There is a 30% chance that China will launch military operations. After Pelosi's visit, China's maneuvers resulted in an economic blockade of Taiwan.

Reason

If war breaks out, China will fight against Taiwan, America, Japan and Nato. India may join the conflict. China can seize the island by force, but it will be an empty island destroyed by war, which will have to be rebuilt. Sanctions will be imposed on China. Because of the sanctions, all of China's economic and scientific successes will be nullified. China is also monitoring the outcome of the conflict between Russia and Ukraine.

There is a 30% chance that China will launch military operations. After Pelosi's visit, China's maneuvers resulted in an economic blockade of Taiwan.

And what Taiwan is preparing for. The 20th Congress of the Communist Party of China is about to take place, where very serious decisions on Taiwan can be made. Therefore, Taiwan shows in advance that it is ready for negotiations.

References

Accuracy 40

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