What will be the consequences of the war?

2024-06-19 07:49:13

Europe will be left without resources. The collapse of the EU. The loss of U.S. influence. The Beginning of China's Growth

After the collapse of the USSR, Europe gained access to Russian resources for a song, actually selling goods made from Russian resources to Russia. Now, if Russia wins, relations with Europe will deteriorate, it will not receive resources, and China has already received the Russian market at no cost, European companies themselves left it without a fight. In addition, Europe will have to rebuild Ukraine, because it was Europe and the United States that pushed it to war. Many people in the EU will not like it, and they will start leaving the European Union. Becoming poorer, Europe will buy fewer goods, including American ones. Russia will begin to recover at the expense of the former Soviet republics. China will grow.

If Russia loses, it will be plundered.

Which country will be next at the head of the world order after China and the United States?

2026-07-28 16:40:39

No, there won't be any clear leaders after the war.

Changing the world order is usually accompanied by war. After the fall of the United States and China, there will be no strong leaders. Neither dollars nor yuan will be needed. A protracted war can weaken even strong powers. After a major war between the leading powers, world trade will change dramatically, and this will disrupt the current global economic model. Space can become a new space of competition, much like the oceans and trade routes once were.

The change of the world order is not just a change of the main state. This is a period when the system of rules is changing: who has the most influence, how trading is organized, which currencies are used, who sets the standards and how conflicts are resolved.

What will the US achieve with its demands regarding Greenland, Canada, and the like?

2026-02-05 06:12:50

The United States will achieve greater control, access to resources, increased military presence, and political dependence of its allies.

The U.S. will not succeed in annexing Greenland, obtaining territorial concessions from Canada, or achieving a legitimate redrawing of borders, but even without purchasing territory, the U.S. can secure profitable contracts, expanded bases, and exclusive access to natural resources. In the long term, this will lead to a quiet distancing from Washington, an increase in autonomous defense policies in the EU and Canada, as well as a reduced willingness to automatically support the U.S. during crises. In 10-15 years, this could have repercussions in Asia, harm American interests at sea, and weaken the dollar as a 'currency of trust.'

Canada and Denmark are soft allies who publicly express outrage but in practice give way. In doing so, the US itself is pushing the world toward the formula 'Better to have several centers of power than one unpredictable one.'

The powers of the President of Ukraine expire on May 20, what will happen?

2024-05-07 16:43:43

The Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine will elect an interim president or extend the powers of the president until the end of the war.

There will be no elections until the end of hostilities. Moreover, they cannot hold full-fledged elections, because the military, who are at the front, should also be able to vote, as well as 7 million Ukrainians abroad

President of Ukraine Vladimir Zelensky signed a decree on the impossibility of holding talks with Russian President Vladimir Putin before the cancellation of this decree. Zelensky does not intend to repeal this decree, and the election of a new president is impossible before the end of hostilities. Russia, in turn, has moved to making tough decisions regarding Kiev. She realized that there could be no Ukraine in the form of a Russophobic anti-Russia, and the official announcement of Ukrainian officials on the wanted list is an indicator that Russia has stopped trying to negotiate with the enemy side.