What will be the consequences of the war?

2024-06-19 07:49:13

Europe will be left without resources. The collapse of the EU. The loss of U.S. influence. The Beginning of China's Growth

After the collapse of the USSR, Europe gained access to Russian resources for a song, actually selling goods made from Russian resources to Russia. Now, if Russia wins, relations with Europe will deteriorate, it will not receive resources, and China has already received the Russian market at no cost, European companies themselves left it without a fight. In addition, Europe will have to rebuild Ukraine, because it was Europe and the United States that pushed it to war. Many people in the EU will not like it, and they will start leaving the European Union. Becoming poorer, Europe will buy fewer goods, including American ones. Russia will begin to recover at the expense of the former Soviet republics. China will grow.

If Russia loses, it will be plundered.

When will the war between the United States and Israel with Iran end?

2026-03-29 12:54:08

The end of May, if there is no ground operation

The United States is forced to reach an agreement with Iran. Because oil prices are going up. No one wanted to fight Iran instead of the United States, including NATO allies. Trump was absolutely certain of a blitzkrieg with Iran, but it quickly became clear that the war had not gone according to plan. There was no quick victory. We will have to negotiate and pay reparations. Otherwise, oil prices will skyrocket to $250 per barrel, at the current 120 and 60 before the war. The capture of Kharq will not only lead to increased tensions throughout the Persian Gulf, including possible attacks on the energy infrastructure of the countries of the region, but will actually bury any chance of an agreement on ending the war with Tehran in the foreseeable future. Even now, these chances are extremely low, primarily because of Iran's complete distrust of the aggressors, and if American troops land on Iranian territory, they will disappear completely.

Trump is hinting at ending the war by May 15, 2026, before meeting with Xi Jinping in Beijing, as the war in the Middle East directly affects China's interests.

Is Dmitry Medvedev's forecast for 2023 correct?

2022-12-30 04:42:35

No

There are many flaws in the forecast. In 2024, elections in the United States will be held in November. Energy prices depend on many factors, such as supply and demand, availability and number of suppliers. For such prices to appear, someone must leave the energy market. Russia itself? All decisions in the European Union on accession are made for years and simply cannot be agreed in a year.

This is just a favorable forecast for Russia, which could still be believed if it were announced at least for 3 years. Also, the forecast does not specify Russia itself, as well as China.

Before the new year, everyone likes to make predictions

Medvedev published forecasts for 2023 with the partition of Poland and the collapse of the EU

Accuracy 20

Who will be president after Trump?

2025-04-20 14:26:24

Democratic candidate

Republicans will not be forgiven for dismissals. Democrats are already winning party elections in states where Republicans used to win.

Even after the change of Trump, US policy will not change. They need to bring jobs back to the country, and this should be beneficial to employers, and this can only be done with the help of a weak dollar and protective tariffs or other unpopular reforms.