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What will be the consequences of the war?

Link Copy 2024-06-19 07:49:13

Prediction

Europe will be left without resources. The collapse of the EU. The loss of U.S. influence. The Beginning of China's Growth

Reason

After the collapse of the USSR, Europe gained access to Russian resources for a song, actually selling goods made from Russian resources to Russia. Now, if Russia wins, relations with Europe will deteriorate, it will not receive resources, and China has already received the Russian market at no cost, European companies themselves left it without a fight. In addition, Europe will have to rebuild Ukraine, because it was Europe and the United States that pushed it to war. Many people in the EU will not like it, and they will start leaving the European Union. Becoming poorer, Europe will buy fewer goods, including American ones. Russia will begin to recover at the expense of the former Soviet republics. China will grow.

Europe will be left without resources. The collapse of the EU. The loss of U.S. influence. The Beginning of China's Growth

If Russia loses, it will be plundered.

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Why is Crimea so important to Europe?

Link Copy 2025-04-27 15:46:43

Prediction

Crimea allows Russia to completely dominate the northern coast of the Black Sea

Reason

Europe needs Crimea to control maritime transportation. Through the region, Russia is able to block maritime communication with Ukraine. Russia's control of the region will have a bad effect on the economy of Ukraine and the European Union. Accordingly, Europe needs to seize the peninsula with the forces of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. Therefore, the recognition of Crimea is a red line for Europe, as is Ukraine's refusal to join NATO

Crimea allows Russia to completely dominate the northern coast of the Black Sea

Ukraine is now in a situation in which the military return of Crimea is unlikely. Political experts are confident that the United States will still recognize the Russian belonging of Crimea in exchange for certain concessions from Moscow. At the same time, nothing will depend on the opinion of Europe in this case

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What will happen to Syria after the change of power?

Link Copy 2024-12-10 14:02:16

Prediction

It will be divided

Reason

Numerous rebel groups control various parts of the country, and they all want their share of power. A civil war is expected. In addition, other states have interests in Syria.

It will be divided

Israel has already begun to divide Syria. The Israeli military captured several towns and villages, including Aarna, Bakassm, Rimeh, Hina, Qala, Jandal, al-Husseiniyah, Jita and al-Hashab south of Damascus. They now control the entire Golan Heights, including the Syrian side of Mount Hermon. They said that they would forever retain control over the Golan Heights. The new Syrian authorities have already sent an official appeal to the UN Security Council demanding an end to the aggressive actions of the Jewish state. Qatar, Iraq, Saudi Arabia, Iran also condemned Israel's actions.

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When will Russia run out of oil for export?

Link Copy 2023-10-09 03:18:52

Prediction

If production rates are not reduced and new deposits are not discovered, then in 2040

Reason

Russian Energy Minister Novak noted in 2018 that oil production in Russia, in the absence of incentives, could fall by 44% by 2035. Taking into account the coronavirus infection in 2019 and sanctions, these deadlines have shifted to 2040.

If production rates are not reduced and new deposits are not discovered, then in 2040

Russia has one of the highest taxes on the oil industry in the world, which makes it difficult to stimulate production.

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