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Where will capitalism lead?

Link Copy 2024-11-16 07:52:06

Prediction

To war

Reason

Capitalism tends toward monopolization, and monopoly ultimately leads to war. The logic of free competition inevitably brings the market to a state where only the last two competitors remain, practically deciding between themselves who should exclusively own the entire market.

To war

At present, trade wars over market ownership are already underway, for example, between the United States and China.

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What will happen if Russia wins the war?

Link Copy 2023-01-11 06:00:50

Prediction

There will be a truce for a few years, and then the war will start again

Reason

A peace treaty will be signed with Ukraine with the renunciation of territories and other negative consequences for Ukraine. Ukraine will unite with Poland and the war will break out according to a new one, because Poland did not sign any treaties. The territory of Ukraine will be restored at the expense of frozen Russian assets. NATO will increase its reliance on U.S. support, as will the concerned, threatened Eastern European countries that find themselves frontline states along an expanded and uncertain line of contact with Russia, including Belarus and Russian-controlled parts of Ukraine.

There will be a truce for a few years, and then the war will start again

Sanctions will not be lifted

References

Accuracy 50

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Does it even make sense to trust rating agencies?

Link Copy 2022-06-11 13:52:55

Prediction

No. Agencies do not cope with the basic task - they cannot objectively assess the creditworthiness of the borrower.

Reason

The company that is evaluated pays for the valuation. There is no transparent methodology for calculating the rating that can be verified. Rating agencies are not responsible for the ratings given. Geopolitical interests influence the ratings of agencies.

No. Agencies do not cope with the basic task - they cannot objectively assess the creditworthiness of the borrower.

Usually, rating agencies seriously overestimate ratings for the country they come from.

References

Accuracy 40

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What is the hidden problem of the race for artificial intelligence?

Link Copy 2024-09-28 05:11:05

Prediction

The impact of artificial intelligence is overestimated

Reason

All companies rushed to create their own or implement artificial intelligence in their products, but this amount of artificial intelligence is simply not needed now. The AI market has a limit, and everyone behaves as if there is no limit

The impact of artificial intelligence is overestimated

For example, Intel, instead of tackling specific demand problems, focused on artificial intelligence, and ends up with $1.6 billion in debt by 2024. And it's not the only company

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