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Where will capitalism lead?

Link Copy 2024-11-16 07:52:06

Prediction

To war

Reason

Capitalism tends toward monopolization, and monopoly ultimately leads to war. The logic of free competition inevitably brings the market to a state where only the last two competitors remain, practically deciding between themselves who should exclusively own the entire market.

To war

At present, trade wars over market ownership are already underway, for example, between the United States and China.

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Will Pavel Durov, the owner of Telegram, be imprisoned?

Link Copy 2024-08-27 09:57:53

Prediction

No

Reason

Durov's guilt in the eyes of Western intelligence services in this aspect lies in the insufficient moderation of the platform, which allows him to be accused of collusion and complicity in all crimes that are committed using the messenger. In terms of the amount of charges in France, he faces about 20 years in prison, but lawyers note that the courts usually distinguish between the perpetrator and the accomplice. Before him, not a single owner of the social network had been convicted of insufficient moderation.

No

If arrested, France will be under pressure and investors will avoid doing business with the country. Durov's arrest has already set a precedent, making crypto investors and Big Tech representatives very nervous. The President of France shifted all responsibility to the judges.

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Will artificial intelligence replace programmers?

Link Copy 2025-04-14 11:36:57

Prediction

No, it will not replace it, but competition for jobs will increase. And there will be a shortage of programmers in the future.

Reason

Executives at various IT companies are now publicly declaring that AI will soon replace programmers. Although the CEO of an IT company often understands little about the work of a programmer, for shareholders, the opinion of such people looks authoritative, and they believe him. Laying off programmers without losing profits is nothing more than the wet fantasies of managers and shareholders of companies. If a company cuts its programmers by a factor of five, its competitors will immediately try to overtake it, even if it costs them a couple of years of work without a profit.

No, it will not replace it, but competition for jobs will increase. And there will be a shortage of programmers in the future.

What about Google laying off programmers? It lays off expensive American programmers and immediately hires cheap Indian ones. American programmer - 4,000, Indian programmer - 1,500.

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Why can a war start in Kazakhstan as in Ukraine?

Link Copy 2023-06-12 02:08:31

Prediction

If Kazakhstan prohibits, seizes Chinese or Russian private property or prohibits companies with owners from Russia or China

Reason

The war in Ukraine began, among other things, because Ukraine began to prohibit companies with owners from Russia from working, and Russian business was forced to sell its assets in Ukraine for nothing

If Kazakhstan prohibits, seizes Chinese or Russian private property or prohibits companies with owners from Russia or China

Astana's pro-Western course will lead to the collapse of Kazakhstan's statehood

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