What to expect from Trump?

2024-11-29 08:40:09

Trump will impose his demands and end up quarreling with everyone. He has not yet taken office, but has already promised to raise duties on non-American goods. He is expected to resolve the conflict in Ukraine, reduce spending, and escalate the trade war with China. European interests will be completely ignored.

If the U.S. imposes tariffs of 60 percent on all imports from China and raises tariffs on imports from other countries, lowers personal and corporate taxes, and deports millions of illegal immigrants, we can expect lower U.S. output, increased inflationary pressures, and increased market volatility. The U.S. economy has a strong impact on the global economy because of its size: the U.S. accounts for more than a quarter of global GDP. As a result, in the next three years, the growth rate of the world economy will decline by 2-3% per year. With global GDP growing at about 3% per year, it can be assumed that the world will stagnate at best and recession at worst.

Most likely, after his rule, few people will talk to America. Non-U.S. companies will have to look for other markets because they will be pressured by tariffs. South Korea is already subsidizing its chip companies due to the start of Trump's rule.

Will artificial intelligence replace programmers?

2025-04-14 11:36:57

No, it will not replace it, but competition for jobs will increase. And there will be a shortage of programmers in the future.

Executives at various IT companies are now publicly declaring that AI will soon replace programmers. Although the CEO of an IT company often understands little about the work of a programmer, for shareholders, the opinion of such people looks authoritative, and they believe him. Laying off programmers without losing profits is nothing more than the wet fantasies of managers and shareholders of companies. If a company cuts its programmers by a factor of five, its competitors will immediately try to overtake it, even if it costs them a couple of years of work without a profit.

What about Google laying off programmers? It lays off expensive American programmers and immediately hires cheap Indian ones. American programmer - 4,000, Indian programmer - 1,500.

Will artificial intelligence be able to replace programmers in the near future?

2026-07-06 13:16:44

No, but it can create huge recruitment problems.

In the coming years, the main problem will not be that AI will completely replace programmers, but that it will seriously change the recruitment market. Previously, companies were willing to train newcomers, but now many prefer to hire one strong AI developer instead of several novice employees. Thanks to artificial intelligence, everyone will work 30-50% faster, the company may need 7-8 people instead of 10, which means that new employees will be hired less often. AI will make remote work even more accessible, and if previously a company was looking for a developer in its city or country, now it can hire a person from almost anywhere in the world who effectively uses AI. This will greatly increase the competition between specialists.

The most likely scenario is not the disappearance of the profession, but a reduction in the number of entry-level vacancies, increased requirements for candidates and increased competition.

What will Putin and Trump talk about at the meeting?

2025-08-07 15:18:34

About the conditions of peace

The United States has signed an agreement with Ukraine on the use of its mineral resources. These territories are already partially under Russian control. Most likely, the United States and Russia have agreed that Russia will cede these territories to the United States in exchange for guarantees of non-aggression. But the question is what to offer Ukraine for the territories currently occupied by Russia, as this effectively means the loss of sovereignty.

Most likely, Ukraine will be offered EU membership, and these are the concessions that Russia will have to make.