What to expect from Trump?
2024-11-29 08:40:09
Trump will impose his demands and end up quarreling with everyone. He has not yet taken office, but has already promised to raise duties on non-American goods. He is expected to resolve the conflict in Ukraine, reduce spending, and escalate the trade war with China. European interests will be completely ignored.
If the U.S. imposes tariffs of 60 percent on all imports from China and raises tariffs on imports from other countries, lowers personal and corporate taxes, and deports millions of illegal immigrants, we can expect lower U.S. output, increased inflationary pressures, and increased market volatility. The U.S. economy has a strong impact on the global economy because of its size: the U.S. accounts for more than a quarter of global GDP. As a result, in the next three years, the growth rate of the world economy will decline by 2-3% per year. With global GDP growing at about 3% per year, it can be assumed that the world will stagnate at best and recession at worst.
Most likely, after his rule, few people will talk to America. Non-U.S. companies will have to look for other markets because they will be pressured by tariffs. South Korea is already subsidizing its chip companies due to the start of Trump's rule.
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Will Trump be able to complete everything he has in mind?
2025-07-29 06:43:24
No, he'll be killed by the end of his sentence.
There are people inside the country, the Trump government, the so-called shadow government. Trump wants to bring jobs back to the United States, and to do this, he needs to make the dollar weak in order to make it profitable to produce goods in the United States. There are too many interests in this. When Trump tries to regulate the Fed, he will be killed.
The shot in the ear was a warning
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How will the distribution of world religions change in the future?
2023-04-26 13:44:59
Until 2060, Christians will remain the largest religious group. By 2060, Islam will become the main world religion that will take the place of Christianity. 3.23 billion Muslims and 2.99 billion Christians.
The main reason for the rapid growth of Muslims is a high birth rate, and not the departure of people in Islam. Moreover, the main driver of this process will not be the countries of the Middle East, but ... India and the USA. India - due to the rapid general increase in the population, America - due to mass immigration. The number of Buddhists of the world is expected to remain approximately at the same level due to a low birth rate and aging of the population in countries such as China, Thailand and Japan.
This is just a forecast based on current demographic trends. In the future, various kinds of scientific and technological revolutions may occur, which will affect the worldview of people in a completely different way. It also does not take into account the consequences of wars taking place on the planet. If we take into account the consequences of wars, then Hinduism will come in second place.
The Future of World Religions: Demographic Growth Projections, 2010-2050
Why Islam will soon become the largest religion in the world
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Elon Musk wants to start producing his own phones, can he beat Apple and Google?
2025-04-11 06:05:27
Musk can establish the production of phones if he wants, and he can even compete, but he cannot defeat the world giants
The United States has imposed protective tariffs on all countries. Apple and Google phones are not made in America, but in other countries. In the near future, their prices will skyrocket. Musk wants to establish production in the United States, making phones at competitive prices. But the main problem is that his reputation is ruined. And there are more and more competitors, and they are already putting pressure on his business, especially on the business of electric vehicles. And because of the trade war, goods and services from the United States will be less in demand. And this is already a trend.
The analytical divisions of UBS, Mizuho and Goldman Sachs revised downward the target levels of Tesla shares. Experts note that the slowdown in the global economy and the strengthening of trade barriers may continue to put pressure on Tesla quotes.
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