2024-11-29 08:40:09

Trump will impose his demands and end up quarreling with everyone. He has not yet taken office, but has already promised to raise duties on non-American goods. He is expected to resolve the conflict in Ukraine, reduce spending, and escalate the trade war with China. European interests will be completely ignored.

If the U.S. imposes tariffs of 60 percent on all imports from China and raises tariffs on imports from other countries, lowers personal and corporate taxes, and deports millions of illegal immigrants, we can expect lower U.S. output, increased inflationary pressures, and increased market volatility. The U.S. economy has a strong impact on the global economy because of its size: the U.S. accounts for more than a quarter of global GDP. As a result, in the next three years, the growth rate of the world economy will decline by 2-3% per year. With global GDP growing at about 3% per year, it can be assumed that the world will stagnate at best and recession at worst.

Most likely, after his rule, few people will talk to America. Non-U.S. companies will have to look for other markets because they will be pressured by tariffs. South Korea is already subsidizing its chip companies due to the start of Trump's rule.

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2024-04-10 10:25:39

The truce will be concluded in early 2025

In the end, the United States tells Israel to end the war after the elections, reinforcing this demand by stopping the supply of weapons and stopping financing. The problem for the Biden administration is that it cannot twist the arms of Benjamin Netanyahu's government too much, because in an election year this could reduce Joe Biden's own chances of re-election, since the Israeli lobby has strong positions in the American elite.

The Israeli military leadership makes it clear that the war is far from over. The country's authorities insist only on a temporary pause in hostilities, after which they will be ready to resume the offensive, and then only after pressure from the United States. Also, Israel does not have a clear plan for what will happen to the Gaza Strip after the end of hostilities. The head of the Israeli National Security Council, Tzachi Hanegbi, has already announced the prospects of war with the Lebanese Hezbollah group after the successful fight against Hamas. A war with Iran is also possible.

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2023-06-02 01:27:36

In the fall of 2023. They will end in nothing.

In the summer of 2023 there will be fierce battles in Ukraine and terrorist attacks on the territory of Russia. Türkiye is already trying to arrange negotiations between Russia and Ukraine. But now these negotiations are not beneficial for Russia, because in fact it is a loss in the war. In 2024, elections in Ukraine, Russia and the United States. Before the elections, it is necessary to end the war, because if there is a war, Zelensky has little chance of winning the elections. Biden will also have few trump cards before the electorate in the elections.

The United States is trying with all its might to freeze the conflict for 10 years. In 2024, the election campaign will begin in America and no one will be engaged in Ukraine. 2023 is the last year when Ukraine will receive military assistance from the United States. Without military assistance, the war will not end, but hostilities will weaken. The current presidents of Russia and Ukraine will not sit down at the same negotiating table. In order for the signing of a peace treaty to happen, at least one president must be replaced.

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2024-03-26 23:29:50

It is necessary to change the ideology

It is not necessary to allow people to do anything for the sake of money or for the sake of religion

We need to pay more attention to solving social problems.

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