What to expect from Trump?

2024-11-29 08:40:09

Trump will impose his demands and end up quarreling with everyone. He has not yet taken office, but has already promised to raise duties on non-American goods. He is expected to resolve the conflict in Ukraine, reduce spending, and escalate the trade war with China. European interests will be completely ignored.

If the U.S. imposes tariffs of 60 percent on all imports from China and raises tariffs on imports from other countries, lowers personal and corporate taxes, and deports millions of illegal immigrants, we can expect lower U.S. output, increased inflationary pressures, and increased market volatility. The U.S. economy has a strong impact on the global economy because of its size: the U.S. accounts for more than a quarter of global GDP. As a result, in the next three years, the growth rate of the world economy will decline by 2-3% per year. With global GDP growing at about 3% per year, it can be assumed that the world will stagnate at best and recession at worst.

Most likely, after his rule, few people will talk to America. Non-U.S. companies will have to look for other markets because they will be pressured by tariffs. South Korea is already subsidizing its chip companies due to the start of Trump's rule.

What will be the consequences of the war?

2024-06-19 07:49:13

Europe will be left without resources. The collapse of the EU. The loss of U.S. influence. The Beginning of China's Growth

After the collapse of the USSR, Europe gained access to Russian resources for a song, actually selling goods made from Russian resources to Russia. Now, if Russia wins, relations with Europe will deteriorate, it will not receive resources, and China has already received the Russian market at no cost, European companies themselves left it without a fight. In addition, Europe will have to rebuild Ukraine, because it was Europe and the United States that pushed it to war. Many people in the EU will not like it, and they will start leaving the European Union. Becoming poorer, Europe will buy fewer goods, including American ones. Russia will begin to recover at the expense of the former Soviet republics. China will grow.

If Russia loses, it will be plundered.

What will happen if all countries start mining lithium at once?

2023-05-21 13:56:04

The price of lithium will fall, and in countries where it is mined, environmental problems will begin

Since the beginning of the decade, lithium has risen in price by hundreds of percent and will be in short supply for more than one year due to the needs of the energy transition, which is actively going on in the West and in China. In the near future, Europe will be heavily dependent on external supplies of lithium.

All countries want a piece of the lithium pie

The fight for lithium has begun in the world.

Why haven't Russia's assets abroad been confiscated yet?

2024-02-27 07:45:57

Countries that do not have Russian assets are most in favor of the confiscation of Russian assets. The investment climate in the world will deteriorate even due to the creation of a precedent.

No one will invest in a country that takes away other people's assets.

Countries that do not have Russian assets are most in favor of the confiscation of Russian assets. The investment climate in the world will deteriorate even due to the creation of a precedent.

It became known why the West has not yet confiscated Russian assets