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Will the BRICS currency affect the US dollar?

Link Copy 2024-12-07 13:11:47

Prediction

Even if there is a currency, no one will abandon the dollar, the further dominance of the dollar depends on the United States itself.

Reason

Russia, China, India and other countries accept the dollar and do not plan to abandon it 100%, settlements are also carried out in terms of dollars. The well-being of the dollar depends on the United States itself, if they act from a position of strength, then the rejection of the dollar will accelerate and a new currency will be issued. The BRICS countries will be more active in expanding trade in national currencies, as the use of the dollar as a sanctions stick has undermined confidence in it

Even if there is a currency, no one will abandon the dollar, the further dominance of the dollar depends on the United States itself.

Most likely, the BRICS will have to abandon India. Since she does not like to trade for the yuan, she does not want to give up the dollar. Because of this, the decisions of the BRICS groups, including the creation of a currency, are very difficult, at least that's how it is presented in the news. If the BRICS currency is backed by real resources, including land and rare earth metals, Russia will regret it in the future. Because it will not be able to compete with China, which will eventually be able to demand land in exchange for currency.

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When will the AI bubble burst?

Link Copy 2025-12-14 07:43:49

Prediction

In 2031.

Reason

Why is everyone talking about a bubble? 1) Huge investments with uncertain returns for many startups. 2) Thousands of AI startups that are essentially just a shell for other people's models. 3) High expectations: AI will replace everyone tomorrow. 4) Limitations of the models: hallucinations, high cost, dependence on data and computing power. OpenAI alone has attracted $300 billion in investments. Such investments will not pay off under any circumstances. By 2030, the company will need to show record profits, which it does not have.

In 2031.

Many AI startups will shut down or be acquired. Investors will become stricter: they want a real business case, not just 'we have AI'.

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How can the country get rid of dollar dependence?

Link Copy 2025-02-03 09:41:08

Prediction

The government needs to link its currency to some real resources and make payments not in dollars, but based on the peg.

Reason

Abandoning the dollar is a whole range of measures. From tying your currency to something tangible, preferably something that your country owns more than other countries, to banning the purchase and sale of dollars. Why is it necessary to move away from the dollar? First of all. To reduce dependence on the United States. After Trump's arrival, pressure begins on all countries. Secondly. There is a danger that the dollar will depreciate due to the problems of the United States and the European Union, because the dollar is also pegged to European currencies and an avalanche effect is possible. The third. Trump is scaring tariffs, which will further increase the negative reaction.

The government needs to link its currency to some real resources and make payments not in dollars, but based on the peg.

China and Russia are trying to create an alternative currency pegged to the territory and rare earth metals, because they feel strong pressure from the United States. The other BRICS countries don't want to move away from the dollar because they don't feel the pressure.

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Where will capitalism lead?

Link Copy 2024-11-16 07:52:06

Prediction

To war

Reason

Capitalism tends toward monopolization, and monopoly ultimately leads to war. The logic of free competition inevitably brings the market to a state where only the last two competitors remain, practically deciding between themselves who should exclusively own the entire market.

To war

At present, trade wars over market ownership are already underway, for example, between the United States and China.

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