About the conditions of peace
The United States has signed an agreement with Ukraine on the use of its mineral resources. These territories are already partially under Russian control. Most likely, the United States and Russia have agreed that Russia will cede these territories to the United States in exchange for guarantees of non-aggression. But the question is what to offer Ukraine for the territories currently occupied by Russia, as this effectively means the loss of sovereignty.
Most likely, Ukraine will be offered EU membership, and these are the concessions that Russia will have to make.
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China
The US wants to freeze the conflict in Ukraine for 10 years and will deal with China. During the election campaign, Trump said that the main enemy of the United States, China and NATO, was only diverting forces, that the United States needed to leave NATO. After Biden, there will be Trump. A new alliance, AUKUS, has been devised to contain China.
The United States will leave NATO in 2025.
The era of wars. The world after Ukraine. Scenarios for the next conflicts.
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In 2055. Because of the Russian territories.
When the USSR collapsed, Western goods flooded into the Russian market, and for 30 years they practically captured the entire market, receiving Russian resources in return. In 2022, Europe and the United States left the Russian market, and it turned out that the products could not be assembled at Russian factories, since they used foreign components that were not manufactured in Russia. Instead of independent development, the Russian authorities again gave the entire market to China. In 30 years, the situation will repeat. But China is not Europe and will not give up its factories just like that.
Most likely, the scenario of the collapse of the USSR will be played out again, but this time Russia will collapse. The president will be killed, then there will be referendums of disconnection from Russia and joining China. Russia will restore its territories by military means.
What will friendship with China really give Russia and Russians? Five main facts
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No
There are many flaws in the forecast. In 2024, elections in the United States will be held in November. Energy prices depend on many factors, such as supply and demand, availability and number of suppliers. For such prices to appear, someone must leave the energy market. Russia itself? All decisions in the European Union on accession are made for years and simply cannot be agreed in a year.
This is just a favorable forecast for Russia, which could still be believed if it were announced at least for 3 years. Also, the forecast does not specify Russia itself, as well as China.
Before the new year, everyone likes to make predictions
Medvedev published forecasts for 2023 with the partition of Poland and the collapse of the EU
Accuracy 20
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