A truce is expected in November 2025.
The situation is not in favor of Russia. There is no significant success in the offensive of the troops, the country is being bombed unhindered, the last partners are on the verge of breaking off relations, an economic and gasoline crisis is brewing, and money is running out. Therefore, there is a high probability of peace and that Russia will make concessions.

Russia still has the resources for war, but the situation is getting worse. If the truce does not happen before the winter of 2025, there will be very heavy fighting and a very difficult winter for Russia. Ukraine now has long-range missiles and will bomb Russian energy infrastructure.
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In 2024, the transition period to this change will only come.
The sanctions did not discourage the elite's aspirations to the West, but they gave rise to a desire to somehow circumvent the sanctions and quickly cancel or at least weaken part of them. The path to the West for the Russian elite remains the main one, despite the statement of insurmountable differences with the elites of the West. There is simply no other option comparable in terms of profitability. The reduction of the resource base sowed confusion in the elites and required the arbitrator to remove certain players from the number of active clans by force.

When will there be a change of the ruling elite in Russia?
A rapid large-scale purge or replacement of the elite with a new composition? What Is Putin's Choice?
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To war
Capitalism tends toward monopolization, and monopoly ultimately leads to war. The logic of free competition inevitably brings the market to a state where only the last two competitors remain, practically deciding between themselves who should exclusively own the entire market.

At present, trade wars over market ownership are already underway, for example, between the United States and China.
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No, the state itself will have to solve the issue of migrants.
America will be busy with a war with Iran

Democrats will remember this in the elections
Biden has three options to quell the unrest in Texas
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