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Why is the war in Ukraine not ending?

Link Copy 2025-11-01 03:50:32

Prediction

The most likely scenario for concluding peace is an agreement mediated by third countries, if both sides consider it beneficial, but this option was postponed by the United States, ending negotiations for at least 6 months. The countries' goals are mutually exclusive, and neither side is yet ready to make concessions that the other deems acceptable.

Reason

Possible scenarios for the end of the war 1. Military exhaustion of one or both sides. 2. Political change is a change of government or an external course in one of the countries. 3. An agreement mediated by third countries, if both sides consider it beneficial. 4. Frozen conflict - cessation of active hostilities without final peace. 5. Victory in the war. Russia - if it starts mass mobilization and mass offensives. Ukraine - if the West starts fighting for it. Currently, the West (the United States, the EU, and NATO) supports Ukraine with weapons, intelligence, and finances, but it is not fighting for it.

The most likely scenario for concluding peace is an agreement mediated by third countries, if both sides consider it beneficial, but this option was postponed by the United States, ending negotiations for at least 6 months. The countries' goals are mutually exclusive, and neither side is yet ready to make concessions that the other deems acceptable.

Instead of starting negotiations, Ukraine was again pumped with weapons and money. They probably expect the Russian president to be overthrown.

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Will there be a war between the United States and Iran?

Link Copy 2024-01-31 06:55:26

Prediction

Yes, the United States believes that it must avenge the attack on the American base

Reason

Biden is in no hurry to issue a decree on an attack on Iranian facilities, but he is being pushed to war, there have already been 2 attacks on American bases.

Yes, the United States believes that it must avenge the attack on the American base

For Americans, the consequences will be negative in the medium and long term. Iran can arrange for the United States to lose all energy supplies from the Middle East on the eve of the elections. Tehran has repeatedly blocked the Strait of Hormuz — and tankers loaded with Iraqi, Kuwaiti, and Saudi oil could not leave the Persian Gulf zone. And the Houthis continue to target shipping in the Bab el-Mandep Strait.

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What will happen if Kazakhstan raises the VAT rate?

Link Copy 2025-02-14 02:37:06

Prediction

These reforms, which the government is trying to implement, will further exacerbate the economic problems in the country.

Reason

The problem of budget deficits is solved by levying additional taxes, not by optimizing expenditures. The reforms that are supposed to improve the tax situation in the country will worsen the economic situation and lead to higher prices. The government itself is not only not planning to reduce its costs, but will also increase them following the growth.

These reforms, which the government is trying to implement, will further exacerbate the economic problems in the country.

The VAT increase will accelerate the depletion of the national fund from 10 years to 5 years.

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When will the war between Israel and Iran begin?

Link Copy 2023-05-22 02:54:31

Prediction

In 2057

Reason

Iran is striving for a leading position in the Arab world through the creation of nuclear weapons. The United States and Israel will try to prevent this. Most likely, critical disagreements will begin on religious grounds.

In 2057

If Israel itself attacks Iran, then it will immediately fight with the entire Muslim world.

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