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Why is the war in Ukraine not ending?

Link Copy 2025-11-01 03:50:32

Prediction

Ukraine has been pumped with weapons and money again. The Russian military reported to the president that they will be able to capture Donbass by September, which means that there will be no negotiations until 2027.

Reason

Possible scenarios for the end of the war 1. Military exhaustion of one or both sides. 2. Political change is a change of government or an external course in one of the countries. 3. An agreement mediated by third countries, if both sides consider it beneficial. 4. Frozen conflict - cessation of active hostilities without final peace. 5. Victory in the war. Russia - if it starts mass mobilization and mass offensives. Ukraine - if the West starts fighting for it. Currently, the West (the United States, the EU, and NATO) supports Ukraine with weapons, intelligence, and finances, but it is not fighting for it.

Ukraine has been pumped with weapons and money again. The Russian military reported to the president that they will be able to capture Donbass by September, which means that there will be no negotiations until 2027.

The United States will not be able to influence the conclusion of peace

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Why is Putin running for president for 3 consecutive terms, despite the constitutional ban for 2 consecutive terms?

Link Copy 2023-12-11 00:37:24

Prediction

After the amendments to the Constitution of Russia, the number of terms was reset. President Vladimir Putin has ensured that he can remain in power until 2036.

Reason

President Putin signed a law allowing him to run for two more presidential terms and rule Russia until 2036. The document was published on April 5, 2021 on the official portal of legal information and entered into force from the date of publication. Putin explained the changes in the constitution by the requirements of the time. In particular, the new basic law opened up the possibility of amending paragraph 5.1 of the law on presidential elections. Thus, the counter of Putin's presidential terms is canceled, and the main goal of the amendments is considered achieved.

After the amendments to the Constitution of Russia, the number of terms was reset. President Vladimir Putin has ensured that he can remain in power until 2036.

Putin will win the election with 74.9% of the vote.

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Why is Biden withdrawing his candidacy for president?

Link Copy 2024-07-20 12:56:35

Prediction

Because he can't win

Reason

Biden is under serious pressure within his party. The American president is being forced to drop out of the election race as soon as this coming weekend. The White House claims that Biden is capable of serving a second term as president, provided he is elected, but he has little chance of defeating Trump.

Because he can't win

The Democratic Party's presidential candidate will be chosen at the party's national convention, which will be held from August 19-22 in Chicago. And it will not be Vice President Kamala Harris. Biden is one of Ukraine's main sponsors. President Zelensky has already stated that by the end of the year the war will end its active phase, which means they are preparing for a change in the US leadership.

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What will happen to the frozen Russian assets?

Link Copy 2023-02-05 21:13:12

Prediction

They will be confiscated

Reason

The US Department of Justice began to confiscate the money of Russians - this became possible by court decision. He completed the trial in the case of Russian businessman Konstantin Malofeev, who was accused of circumventing sanctions.

They will be confiscated

The withdrawal of these funds will prevent other countries from relying on the United States in the future.

References

Accuracy 20

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