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Why is the war in Ukraine not ending?

Link Copy 2025-11-01 03:50:32

Prediction

Ukraine has been pumped with weapons and money again. The Russian military reported to the president that they will be able to capture Donbass by September, which means that there will be no negotiations until 2027.

Reason

Possible scenarios for the end of the war 1. Military exhaustion of one or both sides. 2. Political change is a change of government or an external course in one of the countries. 3. An agreement mediated by third countries, if both sides consider it beneficial. 4. Frozen conflict - cessation of active hostilities without final peace. 5. Victory in the war. Russia - if it starts mass mobilization and mass offensives. Ukraine - if the West starts fighting for it. Currently, the West (the United States, the EU, and NATO) supports Ukraine with weapons, intelligence, and finances, but it is not fighting for it.

Ukraine has been pumped with weapons and money again. The Russian military reported to the president that they will be able to capture Donbass by September, which means that there will be no negotiations until 2027.

The United States will not be able to influence the conclusion of peace

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Are world prices to blame for the sharp rise in prices for food and socially significant goods?

Link Copy 2022-05-22 09:32:01

Prediction

The minister and the ministry responsible for price regulation are to blame for the price increase

Reason

The direct task of the Ministry of the Interior on price regulation is to prevent a sharp rise in prices

The minister and the ministry responsible for price regulation are to blame for the price increase

Who will win in the early presidential elections in Kazakhstan?

Link Copy 2022-10-25 10:42:16

Prediction

The current president of Kazakhstan wins with the score of 79.16%. Election turnout will be 81.66%

Reason

There would be no special election if there was no intention to win. Statistically, incumbent presidents have always won. The opposition did not have time to prepare for the elections because the elections were called in a short period of time.

The current president of Kazakhstan wins with the score of 79.16%. Election turnout will be 81.66%

According to the Constitution of the Republic of Kazakhstan, the current president of Kazakhstan cannot be nominated for a second term. Participation in the election of the current president is illegal.

References

Accuracy 30

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Why do they turn off the Internet in Russia, even in those regions that drones cannot reach?

Link Copy 2026-04-09 14:35:44

Prediction

The authorities consider such measures as a tool in case of internal instability: law enforcement agencies can work out scenarios for restricting mobile communications during mass protests and rallies in order to control the coordination and dissemination of information.

Reason

The initiator of both Telegram blockages and periodic mobile Internet outages is the FSB. Officially, these measures are explained by the need to strengthen control in the field of digital security: combating the use of VPN services, countering fraudulent schemes, as well as preventing threats related to the use of drones.

The authorities consider such measures as a tool in case of internal instability: law enforcement agencies can work out scenarios for restricting mobile communications during mass protests and rallies in order to control the coordination and dissemination of information.

By 2026, the sovereign Internet is no longer just a concept, but a well-developed and well-designed infrastructure. The Russian segment of the network is gradually losing the features of a decentralized environment and is being transformed into a strictly organized system where user actions are increasingly regulated by the state. Although it has not yet turned into a completely closed model like the Chinese one, the controls and restrictions are noticeably increasing every year.

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