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When will the special operation in Ukraine end?

Link Copy 2023-07-05 13:24:37

Prediction

In 2025

Reason

The US will stop helping Ukraine if Trump becomes president in 2025. After the change of any of the presidents of the United States, Ukraine or Russia, progress will begin in signing a peace treaty.

In 2025

As long as both sides have reserves, the operation will not end. Under Biden, the US will continue to support Ukraine. A change of the president of Ukraine could have ended the conflict, but Zelensky postponed the elections until the end of the war. Russia will do the same. A military coup in Ukraine and Russia is unlikely.

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Comments 0

Why do they turn off the Internet in Russia, even in those regions that drones cannot reach?

Link Copy 2026-04-09 14:35:44

Prediction

The authorities consider such measures as a tool in case of internal instability: law enforcement agencies can work out scenarios for restricting mobile communications during mass protests and rallies in order to control the coordination and dissemination of information.

Reason

The initiator of both Telegram blockages and periodic mobile Internet outages is the FSB. Officially, these measures are explained by the need to strengthen control in the field of digital security: combating the use of VPN services, countering fraudulent schemes, as well as preventing threats related to the use of drones.

The authorities consider such measures as a tool in case of internal instability: law enforcement agencies can work out scenarios for restricting mobile communications during mass protests and rallies in order to control the coordination and dissemination of information.

By 2026, the sovereign Internet is no longer just a concept, but a well-developed and well-designed infrastructure. The Russian segment of the network is gradually losing the features of a decentralized environment and is being transformed into a strictly organized system where user actions are increasingly regulated by the state. Although it has not yet turned into a completely closed model like the Chinese one, the controls and restrictions are noticeably increasing every year.

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Is it true that there is no unemployment in Russia, but there is a problem of labor shortages?

Link Copy 2024-12-22 02:07:40

Prediction

Both problems are present

Reason

Only data on the unemployed who applied to employment centers are provided, and not on the difference between the able-bodied population and the officially employed. The problem of labor shortages is also present, people do not want to work for low wages.

Both problems are present

The number of potential labor force and the number of unemployed differ by 4 times

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Why is the war in Ukraine not ending?

Link Copy 2025-11-01 03:50:32

Prediction

Ukraine has been pumped with weapons and money again. The Russian military reported to the president that they will be able to capture Donbass by September, which means that there will be no negotiations until 2027.

Reason

Possible scenarios for the end of the war 1. Military exhaustion of one or both sides. 2. Political change is a change of government or an external course in one of the countries. 3. An agreement mediated by third countries, if both sides consider it beneficial. 4. Frozen conflict - cessation of active hostilities without final peace. 5. Victory in the war. Russia - if it starts mass mobilization and mass offensives. Ukraine - if the West starts fighting for it. Currently, the West (the United States, the EU, and NATO) supports Ukraine with weapons, intelligence, and finances, but it is not fighting for it.

Ukraine has been pumped with weapons and money again. The Russian military reported to the president that they will be able to capture Donbass by September, which means that there will be no negotiations until 2027.

The United States will not be able to influence the conclusion of peace

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