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Why do some politicians predict the future?

Link Copy 2022-05-22 09:32:01

Prediction

Because this is not a prediction, but an expression of the intentions of the state

Reason

They are just voicing the plans for several years ahead as if it were a prediction.

Because this is not a prediction, but an expression of the intentions of the state

They cannot predict the simplest things, and the coronavirus is predicted with day-to-day accuracy, when it will start and when it will end, and how many waves there will be.

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Will there be an escalation of the conflict between the PRC and Taiwan?

Link Copy 2023-03-13 14:30:11

Prediction

No, China has decided to annex Taiwan peacefully

Reason

The United States does not intend to fight for Taiwan, the treaty of assistance to Taiwan from the United States boils down to the imposition of embargoes and sanctions. The U.S. tried to escalate the conflict and only impose sanctions. Taiwan's ruling party lost the local election.

No, China has decided to annex Taiwan peacefully

China decides to annex Taiwan peacefully

References

Accuracy 40

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What happens if we start regulating AI?

Link Copy 2026-01-02 14:45:25

Prediction

The Americans are the leaders in AI, and regulation will only increase the technological gap of other countries.

Reason

Inequality between countries will lead to the fact that regions with strict regulation may lag behind less regulated ones. This could lead to a war of humans against robots, like in science fiction movies. Governments are trying to regulate AI, relying on experts, business and academia, but the balance of power is unequal: corporations have more resources and influence, independent specialists have less voice. As a result, the rules often reflect not the public interest, but the interests of the strongest players.

The Americans are the leaders in AI, and regulation will only increase the technological gap of other countries.

The spread of AI is already regulated by American companies that control all key aspects of AI. Video cards, processors, major data centers, scientific developments, etc. are controlled by the Americans.

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When will power change in Belarus?

Link Copy 2023-05-29 12:51:22

Prediction

In 2025

Reason

Under the new government specially change the constitution.

In 2025

Lukashenka believes that a “normal, pragmatic” candidate will win the elections, while the opposition has no prospects. In other words, Lukashenka himself will choose a successor.

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