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Why are politicians making decisions that are not beneficial to the state?

Link Copy 2022-07-01 12:00:38

Prediction

State interests are not in the first place

Reason

Because decisions are made not for the benefit of the state but for their own benefit

State interests are not in the first place

There is lobbying of the interests of private companies

References

Accuracy 20

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What will happen if Ukraine wins the war?

Link Copy 2023-01-11 05:38:29

Prediction

Russia will have to pay hundreds of billions to compensate for the physical damage caused by the invasion. Military restrictions of the Russian Navy: no Russian Navy in the Black, Azov and Baltic Seas for 50 years. Military restrictions of the Russian army: from all its northern, western and southern borders, Russia must withdraw troops at least 100 km. War crimes: Russia must be punished for its wartime atrocities. Nuclear weapons: Under the new treaty with NATO, Russia must immediately agree to reduce its nuclear weapons to a quantity and quality no greater than that of the United States, and agree to inspections by NATO to ensure this compliance.

Reason

The scenario is plausible if Ukraine is supported long enough or fought on the side of Ukraine.

Russia will have to pay hundreds of billions to compensate for the physical damage caused by the invasion. Military restrictions of the Russian Navy: no Russian Navy in the Black, Azov and Baltic Seas for 50 years. Military restrictions of the Russian army: from all its northern, western and southern borders, Russia must withdraw troops at least 100 km. War crimes: Russia must be punished for its wartime atrocities. Nuclear weapons: Under the new treaty with NATO, Russia must immediately agree to reduce its nuclear weapons to a quantity and quality no greater than that of the United States, and agree to inspections by NATO to ensure this compliance.

All that stops the West from these scenarios is Russia's possession of nuclear weapons.

References

Accuracy 20

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Where will capitalism lead?

Link Copy 2024-11-16 07:52:06

Prediction

To war

Reason

Capitalism tends toward monopolization, and monopoly ultimately leads to war. The logic of free competition inevitably brings the market to a state where only the last two competitors remain, practically deciding between themselves who should exclusively own the entire market.

To war

At present, trade wars over market ownership are already underway, for example, between the United States and China.

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Is it worth being afraid that robots will take jobs?

Link Copy 2022-05-22 09:32:01

Prediction

Robots will replace 40% of jobs in the next 15 years in developed countries

Reason

These technologies have brought numerous benefits such as:•Higher productivity.•Better GDP growth.•Improved performance.

Robots will replace 40% of jobs in the next 15 years in developed countries

All forecasts concern only developed countries

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