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When will South and North Korea unite?

Link Copy 2023-01-30 02:12:13

Prediction

In 2053

Reason

The United Korea can become one of the most powerful countries in Asia, and then the U.S. troops will simply not be needed there. This directly affects the U.S. position in Asia. The U.S. will never agree to this, unless the U.S. maintains or, better, increases its troop contingent in an already unified Korea. A troop buildup might be needed for a war with China.

In 2053

Negotiations to unite the two Koreas are already underway

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Why is OpenAI buying up all the components?

Link Copy 2026-01-10 03:25:39

Prediction

In practice, large-scale purchases of GPUs and memory, buying up the best AI labs, and poaching top researchers are a powerful tool for eliminating competitors, especially small and medium-sized players.

Reason

In part, this destruction of competitors is not direct, but through economic and technological strangulation. OpenAI and Microsoft do not have to want to harm others - it is enough for them to maximize their progress, and the market itself will exclude the weak. The goal is that the future of AI is determined by 2-3 corporations, not a community of scientists, startups and public organizations.

In practice, large-scale purchases of GPUs and memory, buying up the best AI labs, and poaching top researchers are a powerful tool for eliminating competitors, especially small and medium-sized players.

The main threat is not from AI as a technology, but from the one who owns it.

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Why does the United States need a deal between Azerbaijan and Armenia?

Link Copy 2025-08-21 17:20:51

Prediction

The result should be a transit corridor through the territory of 2 countries.

Reason

Following the talks, Armenia and Azerbaijan agreed to create a major transit corridor. Azerbaijan is currently modernizing the railway in the Nakhchivan Autonomous Republic at its own expense, and it is planned to build a railway in Armenia. The United States is not investing in this project. The expansion of US influence in this region could lead to the expansion of NATO's influence throughout the South Caucasus, which could become a wedge between Iran and Russia.

The result should be a transit corridor through the territory of 2 countries.

Armenia sells Russian gas as its own, bypassing sanctions. If the war ends and sanctions are lifted, this route will cease to be economically important, since Russia will be able to sell gas via other routes, but if we are talking about NATO expansion, then this is a completely different matter.

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Which cars will replace electric vehicles?

Link Copy 2023-10-25 13:08:14

Prediction

Hydrogen

Reason

Despite all the hype around electric cars, they will not be able to replace cars with an internal combustion engine.

Hydrogen

Electric cars are an innovation of 1832, not something breakthrough

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