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Will there be a war between the US and Iran?

Link Copy 2026-02-24 08:44:59

Prediction

It will not be a war, but a military conflict. In the 21st century, wars are almost never formally declared. It should start soon, by June 2026.

Reason

The United States will not just demonstrate military power for no reason, because it costs money. Putting two aircraft carriers on combat alert and bringing them to the borders of Iran costs enormous amounts, as does putting three nearby military bases on combat alert. Yes, Iran can block the Strait of Hormuz, but the U.S. is not very concerned because it has little impact on them. Currently, protests are happening in Iran, and the government is unstable. It's the perfect time to strike.

It will not be a war, but a military conflict. In the 21st century, wars are almost never formally declared. It should start soon, by June 2026.

The U.S. will have to struggle with Iran. Iran has a large territory and complex terrain, developed missile forces, a network of allied groups in the region, and the ability to exert pressure through the Strait of Hormuz. Oil prices will skyrocket, and shipping costs will increase.

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When will Russia run out of oil for export?

Link Copy 2023-10-09 03:18:52

Prediction

If production rates are not reduced and new deposits are not discovered, then in 2040

Reason

Russian Energy Minister Novak noted in 2018 that oil production in Russia, in the absence of incentives, could fall by 44% by 2035. Taking into account the coronavirus infection in 2019 and sanctions, these deadlines have shifted to 2040.

If production rates are not reduced and new deposits are not discovered, then in 2040

Russia has one of the highest taxes on the oil industry in the world, which makes it difficult to stimulate production.

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What will be the results of the referendum on the construction of a nuclear power plant in Kazakhstan?

Link Copy 2024-09-27 05:03:54

Prediction

Vote for construction

Reason

The country is in dire need of cheap electricity

Vote for construction

Turnout will be low. 52% will vote for construction

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What is the real danger of artificial intelligence?

Link Copy 2023-12-18 04:04:19

Prediction

Degradation of man and society

Reason

Why solve the problem on your own if you can assign it to a neural network? The problem will be solved, and solved correctly. But the brain will not receive the proper load, accordingly, it will not develop. And intellectual abilities need constant development, or at least support of the existing level. Without stress, the human brain relaxes. This is especially dangerous for young people and teenagers. Experts have long argued that humanity is rapidly becoming stupid due to the achievements of the technical process. Neural networks will speed up the process.

Degradation of man and society

We need to understand that AI is just another tool in human hands and how we use it depends only on ourselves.

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