Who will be president after Trump?

2025-04-20 14:26:24

Democratic candidate

Republicans will not be forgiven for dismissals. Democrats are already winning party elections in states where Republicans used to win.

Even after the change of Trump, US policy will not change. They need to bring jobs back to the country, and this should be beneficial to employers, and this can only be done with the help of a weak dollar and protective tariffs or other unpopular reforms.

What is Russia's path?

2023-09-27 09:43:10

First it will restore the USSR, then it will start a war with China.

After the coup in Ukraine in 2014 and the failed coup in Belarus in 2020, Russia realized that if nothing was done, the country would face war. Therefore, an association of countries like the European Union will be created. Belarus will be the first to enter it. Due to the sanctions in the country, almost the entire high-tech sector depends on supplies from China. With sanctions, high levels of corruption, high taxes and the elites' disinterest in change, Russia will not be able to resist the Chinese economy. Eventually, China will displace all competitors, including domestic companies, and will dominate the country. There is no progress in creating a competitive economy. Chinese specialists will move to the country en masse, displacing Russian specialists. When Russia tries to restrict China, China will act militarily.

Moscow takes all taxes for itself, and then distributes them by region. The regional elite is not at all interested in the growth of business in the regions, since its well-being depends on the ability to ask Moscow, and not on the growth of the number of enterprises. It is impossible to conduct business legally in the regions without paying bribes and fines. The legislation allows businesses to be blocked for 30 days in case of violations, so businesses pay bribes to avoid being blocked. A 47% tax and a 13% credit rate also do not contribute to business growth. Compared to the Chinese tax of 12% and the credit rate of 0.02%. Despite the fact that China spends money on cargo transportation, it is more profitable to produce and buy in China than in Russia.

The East is a delicate matter. The war has increased Russia's economic dependence on China

What does China mean for the Russian economy

Why is the price of gold falling?

2026-02-09 05:32:13

Lower gold prices mean that market participants need a huge amount of cash.

There is a recession, wars, an AI boom, mass layoffs and layoffs. A huge amount of cash is required to fulfill the obligations of the system. They are trying to keep the system from collapsing, especially the stock market, because its collapse = a chain reaction. They sell things that can be sold quickly: stocks, bonds, gold, and cryptocurrencies. Gold is one of the most liquid assets. Therefore, it falls in a crisis, although logically it should grow. The main culprits: hedge funds , banks, sales desks, big traders. They are the ones who need cash.

The fall in the price of gold indicates systemic problems in the economy. They spent the whole year 2025 buying gold, preparing, and in 2026 the crisis began. It's not the final collapse, but this is no longer a “regular correction”, but The first phase of the crisis is related to the negative economic situation and systemic problems.

Who will win the presidential election in Belarus?

2025-01-26 08:22:14

Alexander Lukashenko

There is no opposition as such, Europe cannot influence the elections, there are no global problems in the country, because of which one can be dissatisfied with the current president of the country.

No miracle will happen