Who will be president after Trump?

2025-04-20 14:26:24

Democratic candidate

Republicans will not be forgiven for dismissals. Democrats are already winning party elections in states where Republicans used to win.

Even after the change of Trump, US policy will not change. They need to bring jobs back to the country, and this should be beneficial to employers, and this can only be done with the help of a weak dollar and protective tariffs or other unpopular reforms.

When will the negotiations between Russia and Ukraine take place and why is Ukraine asking for a 30-day ceasefire?

2025-05-11 16:38:54

Negotiations will begin in the spring of 2026, as the US has once again allocated money to Ukraine for military actions.

Ukraine signed an agreement with the USA on rare earth metals, and the USA allocated funds for military actions. Russia declared a three-day ceasefire in honor of Victory Day. Zelensky proposed extending the ceasefire for 30 days. A 30-day ceasefire could be used as a cover for rearmament.

Summer negotiations between the US, Ukraine, and Russia will lead to nothing. Ukraine has the money to continue the war. Russia has also changed the goals of its special military operation, expanding its territorial claims. Achieving these goals will require an increase in the size of the armed forces. A military draft is expected in Russia in the fall, and fierce fighting is anticipated in the winter, with the possibility of sitting at the negotiating table in the spring of 2026, depending on the outcome of the military actions.

Why won't Ukraine win the war?

2023-09-11 13:41:41

There is no manpower, and Europe and the United States will not interfere, because Russia has nuclear weapons.

The conflict could have been avoided, but the United States and NATO did not even consider the possibility of negotiations with Russia, which led to sad consequences for themselves and for Ukraine.

Now, a year and a half later, Ukraine is starting to say that there is no one to fight, Western aid has decreased, sanctions are no longer being imposed. And Europe started talking about the urgent need to start negotiations.

Judging Freedom: The United States lacks the courage to admit that it made a mistake in Ukraine

What will the US achieve with its demands regarding Greenland, Canada, and the like?

2026-02-05 06:12:50

The United States will achieve greater control, access to resources, increased military presence, and political dependence of its allies.

The U.S. will not succeed in annexing Greenland, obtaining territorial concessions from Canada, or achieving a legitimate redrawing of borders, but even without purchasing territory, the U.S. can secure profitable contracts, expanded bases, and exclusive access to natural resources. In the long term, this will lead to a quiet distancing from Washington, an increase in autonomous defense policies in the EU and Canada, as well as a reduced willingness to automatically support the U.S. during crises. In 10-15 years, this could have repercussions in Asia, harm American interests at sea, and weaken the dollar as a 'currency of trust.'

Canada and Denmark are soft allies who publicly express outrage but in practice give way. In doing so, the US itself is pushing the world toward the formula 'Better to have several centers of power than one unpredictable one.'