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What will the US achieve with its demands regarding Greenland, Canada, and the like?

Link Copy 2026-02-05 06:12:50

Prediction

The United States will achieve greater control, access to resources, increased military presence, and political dependence of its allies.

Reason

The U.S. will not succeed in annexing Greenland, obtaining territorial concessions from Canada, or achieving a legitimate redrawing of borders, but even without purchasing territory, the U.S. can secure profitable contracts, expanded bases, and exclusive access to natural resources. In the long term, this will lead to a quiet distancing from Washington, an increase in autonomous defense policies in the EU and Canada, as well as a reduced willingness to automatically support the U.S. during crises. In 10-15 years, this could have repercussions in Asia, harm American interests at sea, and weaken the dollar as a 'currency of trust.'

The United States will achieve greater control, access to resources, increased military presence, and political dependence of its allies.

Canada and Denmark are soft allies who publicly express outrage but in practice give way. In doing so, the US itself is pushing the world toward the formula 'Better to have several centers of power than one unpredictable one.'

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Will the global financial system collapse if the dollar is abandoned as a reserve currency?

Link Copy 2023-04-11 14:46:57

Prediction

No, the US is only scary. Dedollarization is a long process.

Reason

If the dollar ceases to be the dominant world currency, the US will lose significant economic influence on the world stage. This will weaken their geopolitical positions.

No, the US is only scary. Dedollarization is a long process.

The absence of a worthy alternative to the dollar in international settlements has led to a distortion in the foreign exchange market, which is expressed in the fact that when the dollar rises in price, most of the world's reserve currencies become cheaper, and vice versa. The world of currency and financial markets, accustomed to such an order, may not be ready for the fact that the credibility of the American will ever be lost forever.

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What did Trump and Putin agree on?

Link Copy 2025-09-13 07:21:20

Prediction

We are talking about ending the war on terms unfavorable for Ukraine.

Reason

Moscow wants to get 6,000 square kilometers from Kiev, which are not yet under its control. Therefore, Russia is now preparing a massive offensive against Ukraine, deploying marines and equipment, and even replacing the commander-in-chief of the ground forces. Therefore, they put up flags, pretending that they have seized territories. The United States will put pressure on Ukraine to sign a peace agreement, threatening sanctions, etc., because they still need to resolve the issue of Chinese dominance and the problem with Israel, and there is not enough money to resolve several issues. In return, Moscow will not touch the territories with rare earth metals that the United States plans to develop in Ukraine and for which a contract has already been signed.

We are talking about ending the war on terms unfavorable for Ukraine.

Russian media reports that Ukraine is allegedly waiting for specific proposals from Russia on the issue of territory exchange.

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Who will be president after Trump?

Link Copy 2025-04-20 14:26:24

Prediction

Democratic candidate

Reason

Republicans will not be forgiven for dismissals. Democrats are already winning party elections in states where Republicans used to win.

Democratic candidate

Even after the change of Trump, US policy will not change. They need to bring jobs back to the country, and this should be beneficial to employers, and this can only be done with the help of a weak dollar and protective tariffs or other unpopular reforms.

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