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Why did Trump shorten the deadline for Russia's ultimatum to 10 days?

Link Copy 2025-07-28 13:22:48

Prediction

Russia is moving forward and seizing territories that already formally belong to the United States.

Reason

The United States has concluded a contract with Ukraine, according to which the minerals located on the territory of Ukraine belong to the United States. Russia is moving forward and seizing these territories. Therefore, we need to respond urgently.

Russia is moving forward and seizing territories that already formally belong to the United States.

Therefore, even after the presentation of the ultimatum, nothing will change. All the sanctions that could affect something have already been introduced. The United States cannot influence other countries by scaring them with duties. The United States could not impose duties on China. Russia will not comply with the terms of the ultimatum.

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When will the AI bubble burst?

Link Copy 2025-12-14 07:43:49

Prediction

In 2031.

Reason

Why is everyone talking about a bubble? 1) Huge investments with uncertain returns for many startups. 2) Thousands of AI startups that are essentially just a shell for other people's models. 3) High expectations: AI will replace everyone tomorrow. 4) Limitations of the models: hallucinations, high cost, dependence on data and computing power. OpenAI alone has attracted $300 billion in investments. Such investments will not pay off under any circumstances. By 2030, the company will need to show record profits, which it does not have.

In 2031.

Many AI startups will shut down or be acquired. Investors will become stricter: they want a real business case, not just 'we have AI'.

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Who will be president after Trump?

Link Copy 2025-04-20 14:26:24

Prediction

Democratic candidate

Reason

Republicans will not be forgiven for dismissals. Democrats are already winning party elections in states where Republicans used to win.

Democratic candidate

Even after the change of Trump, US policy will not change. They need to bring jobs back to the country, and this should be beneficial to employers, and this can only be done with the help of a weak dollar and protective tariffs or other unpopular reforms.

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What will the US achieve with its demands regarding Greenland, Canada, and the like?

Link Copy 2026-02-05 06:12:50

Prediction

The United States will achieve greater control, access to resources, increased military presence, and political dependence of its allies.

Reason

The U.S. will not succeed in annexing Greenland, obtaining territorial concessions from Canada, or achieving a legitimate redrawing of borders, but even without purchasing territory, the U.S. can secure profitable contracts, expanded bases, and exclusive access to natural resources. In the long term, this will lead to a quiet distancing from Washington, an increase in autonomous defense policies in the EU and Canada, as well as a reduced willingness to automatically support the U.S. during crises. In 10-15 years, this could have repercussions in Asia, harm American interests at sea, and weaken the dollar as a 'currency of trust.'

The United States will achieve greater control, access to resources, increased military presence, and political dependence of its allies.

Canada and Denmark are soft allies who publicly express outrage but in practice give way. In doing so, the US itself is pushing the world toward the formula 'Better to have several centers of power than one unpredictable one.'

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