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Will Russia be able to carry out import substitution of electronics by 2030?

Link Copy 2022-12-12 08:25:20

Prediction

If we are talking about the purchase of obsolete equipment, then yes. If we are talking about the production of semiconductors with 0, then no.

Reason

Lack of specialists. There is a critical dependence of the design and production processes on foreign technologies, including software, and materials (in particular, high-purity chemistry and silicon). Low investment attractiveness of the industry. Lack of production capacity.

If we are talking about the purchase of obsolete equipment, then yes. If we are talking about the production of semiconductors with 0, then no.

3.19 trillion rubles will be enough only to buy obsolete equipment. ASML spent $6 billion a year to become an industry leader. But she had specialists, there were no sanctions and there was no urgent need. In the current situation, the amount needs to be tripled.

References

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Is there democracy in Russia and Kazakhstan?

Link Copy 2023-10-03 09:46:24

Prediction

Yes, there is

Reason

Were the elections alternative? Yes. Is the right to vote equal for everyone? Yes. Do you directly choose the president and deputies? Yes. Do you elect periodically? Yes. Are you being forced to participate in elections? No. Is voting open and public? Yes. Secretly? Yes.

Yes, there is

In the current most “democratic” country of the USA, voters cannot even directly elect a president, only through intermediaries-electors. Suddenly they will vote the wrong way. Moreover, the opinion of voters is only a recommendation for the elector to vote, he may not follow it. Thus, the voices of ordinary Americans are a dummy. Just a cheap farce and brainwashing. In Russia and Kazakhstan, local election commissions are such intermediaries, no matter how you vote, they will calculate how you need to. In fact, this is an autocracy, the basis of which is based on the unlimited control of power by one person or by a council, like a one-party parliament or a presidential republic, whose decisions are not subject to external legal restrictions or orderly mechanisms of popular control (except for the possible hidden threat of a coup d'etat or popular uprising).

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What data do IT giants use to train neural networks?

Link Copy 2025-10-31 12:24:03

Prediction

Data is taken from everywhere, including documents from cloud storage.

Reason

The evolving race of neural networks is forcing tech giants to take desperate measures in search of data to train their language models. For example, Google has changed its privacy policy — now the company has the right to use almost all the content that you create to train its neural networks. Microsoft takes data from your office documents stored on its cloud servers. Open AI was trained on Stackoverflow data.

Data is taken from everywhere, including documents from cloud storage.

If you store your documents in the cloud, then there is a 100% chance that neural networks will be trained on them.

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When will robots with human consciousness appear?

Link Copy 2024-05-02 15:04:15

Prediction

Prototypes will appear in 2027

Reason

Developments in the field of artificial intelligence do not stand still

Prototypes will appear in 2027

Of course it will only be an imitation

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