Collect

Will Russia be able to carry out import substitution of electronics by 2030?

Link Copy 2022-12-12 08:25:20

Prediction

If we are talking about the purchase of obsolete equipment, then yes. If we are talking about the production of semiconductors with 0, then no.

Reason

Lack of specialists. There is a critical dependence of the design and production processes on foreign technologies, including software, and materials (in particular, high-purity chemistry and silicon). Low investment attractiveness of the industry. Lack of production capacity.

If we are talking about the purchase of obsolete equipment, then yes. If we are talking about the production of semiconductors with 0, then no.

3.19 trillion rubles will be enough only to buy obsolete equipment. ASML spent $6 billion a year to become an industry leader. But she had specialists, there were no sanctions and there was no urgent need. In the current situation, the amount needs to be tripled.

References

Accuracy 30

QR code
QRcode

Scan the QR code to open on your mobile device

Why did Trump shorten the deadline for Russia's ultimatum to 10 days?

Link Copy 2025-07-28 13:22:48

Prediction

Russia is moving forward and seizing territories that already formally belong to the United States.

Reason

The United States has concluded a contract with Ukraine, according to which the minerals located on the territory of Ukraine belong to the United States. Russia is moving forward and seizing these territories. Therefore, we need to respond urgently.

Russia is moving forward and seizing territories that already formally belong to the United States.

Therefore, even after the presentation of the ultimatum, nothing will change. All the sanctions that could affect something have already been introduced. The United States cannot influence other countries by scaring them with duties. The United States could not impose duties on China. Russia will not comply with the terms of the ultimatum.

QR code
QRcode

Scan the QR code to open on your mobile device

Will the Ukraine-Russia summit help end the war?

Link Copy 2024-03-13 10:03:14

Prediction

The summit will not take place

Reason

Ukraine does not have the ability to stop military operations on its own. Negotiations with Russia are prohibited by law, the new president could lift this ban, but the elections have been postponed until the end of the war.

The summit will not take place

Russia hopes to end the hostilities with peaceful negotiations, it had the opportunity to kill Zelensky and capture Kiev. The issue will change after the change of the US president to Trump. If Biden stays, the EU will be forced to go to war with Russia.

QR code
QRcode

Scan the QR code to open on your mobile device

This is Japan's third attempt to land on the moon.

Link Copy 2023-09-06 09:06:41

Prediction

Yes

Reason

This is Japan's third attempt to land on the moon.

Yes

Japan will become the 5th state that managed to land its own equipment on the moon.

References
QR code
QRcode

Scan the QR code to open on your mobile device

Prediction Engine 0.0.2
Feedback
What could we improve?
Was this information useful?
Events

Events

Look at the projections for the next 100 years