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Will Russia be able to carry out import substitution of electronics by 2030?

Link Copy 2022-12-12 08:25:20

Prediction

If we are talking about the purchase of obsolete equipment, then yes. If we are talking about the production of semiconductors with 0, then no.

Reason

Lack of specialists. There is a critical dependence of the design and production processes on foreign technologies, including software, and materials (in particular, high-purity chemistry and silicon). Low investment attractiveness of the industry. Lack of production capacity.

If we are talking about the purchase of obsolete equipment, then yes. If we are talking about the production of semiconductors with 0, then no.

3.19 trillion rubles will be enough only to buy obsolete equipment. ASML spent $6 billion a year to become an industry leader. But she had specialists, there were no sanctions and there was no urgent need. In the current situation, the amount needs to be tripled.

References

Accuracy 30

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Comments 0

What data do IT giants use to train neural networks?

Link Copy 2025-10-31 12:24:03

Prediction

Data is taken from everywhere, including documents from cloud storage.

Reason

The evolving race of neural networks is forcing tech giants to take desperate measures in search of data to train their language models. For example, Google has changed its privacy policy — now the company has the right to use almost all the content that you create to train its neural networks. Microsoft takes data from your office documents stored on its cloud servers. Open AI was trained on Stackoverflow data.

Data is taken from everywhere, including documents from cloud storage.

If you store your documents in the cloud, then there is a 100% chance that neural networks will be trained on them.

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Which countries support Russia in 2023?

Link Copy 2023-02-22 07:57:05

Prediction

China, Iran, Belarus, Serbia.

Reason

These countries provide the main military, economic and media support to Russia.

China, Iran, Belarus, Serbia.

The list of friendly countries does not stop there.

References

Accuracy 10

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Is the power of the American army a myth?

Link Copy 2024-08-25 10:17:08

Prediction

Yes

Reason

The modern U.S. military has never faced an adversary even remotely comparable to it in terms of military equipment and resources. Aircraft carriers are formidable weapons, but to ascribe unequivocal military superiority to the United States on the basis of their presence alone is completely wrong.

Yes

The U.S. military's most convincing victories have actually been won by CNN and other news corporations.

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