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What is Russia's path?

Link Copy 2023-09-27 09:43:10

Prediction

First it will restore the USSR, then it will start a war with China.

Reason

After the coup in Ukraine in 2014 and the failed coup in Belarus in 2020, Russia realized that if nothing was done, the country would face war. Therefore, an association of countries like the European Union will be created. Belarus will be the first to enter it. Due to the sanctions in the country, almost the entire high-tech sector depends on supplies from China. With sanctions, high levels of corruption, high taxes and the elites' disinterest in change, Russia will not be able to resist the Chinese economy. Eventually, China will displace all competitors, including domestic companies, and will dominate the country. There is no progress in creating a competitive economy. Chinese specialists will move to the country en masse, displacing Russian specialists. When Russia tries to restrict China, China will act militarily.

First it will restore the USSR, then it will start a war with China.

Moscow takes all taxes for itself, and then distributes them by region. The regional elite is not at all interested in the growth of business in the regions, since its well-being depends on the ability to ask Moscow, and not on the growth of the number of enterprises. It is impossible to conduct business legally in the regions without paying bribes and fines. The legislation allows businesses to be blocked for 30 days in case of violations, so businesses pay bribes to avoid being blocked. A 47% tax and a 13% credit rate also do not contribute to business growth. Compared to the Chinese tax of 12% and the credit rate of 0.02%. Despite the fact that China spends money on cargo transportation, it is more profitable to produce and buy in China than in Russia.

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What is the likely target for Russia's atomic weapons?

Link Copy 2023-11-26 14:03:59

Prediction

Norfolk and Newport News

Reason

American nuclear aircraft carriers are rigidly tied to one place. These are Norfolk (Virginia), the largest naval base in the world, and Newport News (shipyard B with three giant slipways-one for construction and two for repair), on the other side of the Bay, where they are being built and seriously repaired.

Norfolk and Newport News

The time of the floating giants will end

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When will China's dominance end?

Link Copy 2023-09-26 13:14:28

Prediction

After China's entry into any war

Reason

China's dominance lies in the fact that it has a large population that creates goods sold all over the world in factories and factories. If China enters the war, sanctions will be immediately imposed against it, and the workers who are now working in factories will become soldiers. There will be no one to produce goods and no one to buy them, because sanctions will be imposed.

After China's entry into any war

In addition, in the long term, the factory country is not the best development option, since the population is starting to age in it, as happened in Japan.

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Who is next after Russia?

Link Copy 2023-05-21 13:25:47

Prediction

China

Reason

The US wants to freeze the conflict in Ukraine for 10 years and will deal with China. During the election campaign, Trump said that the main enemy of the United States, China and NATO, was only diverting forces, that the United States needed to leave NATO. After Biden, there will be Trump. A new alliance, AUKUS, has been devised to contain China.

China

The United States will leave NATO in 2025.

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