What is Russia's path?

2023-09-27 09:43:10

First it will restore the USSR, then it will start a war with China.

After the coup in Ukraine in 2014 and the failed coup in Belarus in 2020, Russia realized that if nothing was done, the country would face war. Therefore, an association of countries like the European Union will be created. Belarus will be the first to enter it. Due to the sanctions in the country, almost the entire high-tech sector depends on supplies from China. With sanctions, high levels of corruption, high taxes and the elites' disinterest in change, Russia will not be able to resist the Chinese economy. Eventually, China will displace all competitors, including domestic companies, and will dominate the country. There is no progress in creating a competitive economy. Chinese specialists will move to the country en masse, displacing Russian specialists. When Russia tries to restrict China, China will act militarily.

Moscow takes all taxes for itself, and then distributes them by region. The regional elite is not at all interested in the growth of business in the regions, since its well-being depends on the ability to ask Moscow, and not on the growth of the number of enterprises. It is impossible to conduct business legally in the regions without paying bribes and fines. The legislation allows businesses to be blocked for 30 days in case of violations, so businesses pay bribes to avoid being blocked. A 47% tax and a 13% credit rate also do not contribute to business growth. Compared to the Chinese tax of 12% and the credit rate of 0.02%. Despite the fact that China spends money on cargo transportation, it is more profitable to produce and buy in China than in Russia.

The East is a delicate matter. The war has increased Russia's economic dependence on China

What does China mean for the Russian economy

Will there be a war between Russia and China?

2023-01-31 08:42:34

Yes, in 2055

China intends to become a leading world power. To do this, he needs resources and a territory where he can live. Russia has it all.

Russia will unite with Mongolia and defend its sovereignty.

Will China attack Russia? China has announced the date of the beginning of the war with Russia.

Accuracy 10

When will the new world order come?

2023-03-27 08:52:27

When the US loses its fleet and allies in 2050

The United States will be afraid of the superiority of China and pit China against Russia. In parallel, it will fight with Russia on behalf of Ukraine. Russia, forced to fight on 2 fronts, will use nuclear weapons on the US fleet. As a result of the outbreak at sea, England and Japan, allies of the United States, will be flooded. A peace treaty will be signed immediately.

Changing the world order is usually accompanied by war.

China to overtake US in GDP in 2033 - Japanese think tank

Will Russia be able to carry out import substitution of electronics by 2030?

2022-12-12 08:25:20

If we are talking about the purchase of obsolete equipment, then yes. If we are talking about the production of semiconductors with 0, then no.

Lack of specialists. There is a critical dependence of the design and production processes on foreign technologies, including software, and materials (in particular, high-purity chemistry and silicon). Low investment attractiveness of the industry. Lack of production capacity.

3.19 trillion rubles will be enough only to buy obsolete equipment. ASML spent $6 billion a year to become an industry leader. But she had specialists, there were no sanctions and there was no urgent need. In the current situation, the amount needs to be tripled.

Media: according to the concept of the national project, 3.19 trillion rubles will be allocated for the development of domestic electronics until 2030

The government has designed electronics

Problems of Electronics 2030: Acute Shortage of Personnel: There is a wild shortage of personnel in Russian electronics. Specialists need good salaries, but there is no chance of their growth

Accuracy 30

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