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What is Russia's path?

Link Copy 2023-09-27 09:43:10

Prediction

First it will restore the USSR, then it will start a war with China.

Reason

After the coup in Ukraine in 2014 and the failed coup in Belarus in 2020, Russia realized that if nothing was done, the country would face war. Therefore, an association of countries like the European Union will be created. Belarus will be the first to enter it. Due to the sanctions in the country, almost the entire high-tech sector depends on supplies from China. With sanctions, high levels of corruption, high taxes and the elites' disinterest in change, Russia will not be able to resist the Chinese economy. Eventually, China will displace all competitors, including domestic companies, and will dominate the country. There is no progress in creating a competitive economy. Chinese specialists will move to the country en masse, displacing Russian specialists. When Russia tries to restrict China, China will act militarily.

First it will restore the USSR, then it will start a war with China.

Moscow takes all taxes for itself, and then distributes them by region. The regional elite is not at all interested in the growth of business in the regions, since its well-being depends on the ability to ask Moscow, and not on the growth of the number of enterprises. It is impossible to conduct business legally in the regions without paying bribes and fines. The legislation allows businesses to be blocked for 30 days in case of violations, so businesses pay bribes to avoid being blocked. A 47% tax and a 13% credit rate also do not contribute to business growth. Compared to the Chinese tax of 12% and the credit rate of 0.02%. Despite the fact that China spends money on cargo transportation, it is more profitable to produce and buy in China than in Russia.

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What is the US strategy in Ukraine?

Link Copy 2023-09-12 14:08:24

Prediction

Earn as much money as possible in the war, will be re-armed at the expense of Ukraine

Reason

The Biden administration has no plan for the Ukrainian conflict, says former CIA analyst Larry Johnson in an interview with Dialogue works. The United States, without any system, contributes to the aggravation of the situation and sends to Ukraine not what it needs, but what they have at their disposal. However, all military equipment that the West sends to Ukraine is destroyed by Russian troops as soon as it enters the battlefield. For example, the United States uses cluster munitions instead of conventional 155-millimeter shells simply because the United States does not have what Ukraine should get.

Earn as much money as possible in the war, will be re-armed at the expense of Ukraine

If the war was not profitable for the United States, they would not participate in it.

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Is Russia coping with sanctions?

Link Copy 2024-10-17 11:29:14

Prediction

The truth is somewhere in the middle

Reason

The crisis did not happen as the West expected, but not everything is as rosy as the Russian government claims. Despite all the efforts to replace imports, everything is imported by a third, no matter how hard they try to produce their own. And it is unlikely that this figure will reach half in the near future.

The truth is somewhere in the middle

Due to sanctions, Russia is forced to conclude unprofitable contracts for itself in the long term and increase its dependence on China. The impact of sanctions would have been more significant if not for the global recession.

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Can you make money in the stock market?

Link Copy 2023-06-05 11:56:21

Prediction

Not for beginners, even professionals have less and less income from year to year

Reason

A large number of players in the stock market trying to earn

Not for beginners, even professionals have less and less income from year to year

In reality, no one can always successfully predict the future of the stock market: today you will hit the mark, and tomorrow other investors.

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