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What is Russia's path?

Link Copy 2023-09-27 09:43:10

Prediction

First it will restore the USSR, then it will start a war with China.

Reason

After the coup in Ukraine in 2014 and the failed coup in Belarus in 2020, Russia realized that if nothing was done, the country would face war. Therefore, an association of countries like the European Union will be created. Belarus will be the first to enter it. Due to the sanctions in the country, almost the entire high-tech sector depends on supplies from China. With sanctions, high levels of corruption, high taxes and the elites' disinterest in change, Russia will not be able to resist the Chinese economy. Eventually, China will displace all competitors, including domestic companies, and will dominate the country. There is no progress in creating a competitive economy. Chinese specialists will move to the country en masse, displacing Russian specialists. When Russia tries to restrict China, China will act militarily.

First it will restore the USSR, then it will start a war with China.

Moscow takes all taxes for itself, and then distributes them by region. The regional elite is not at all interested in the growth of business in the regions, since its well-being depends on the ability to ask Moscow, and not on the growth of the number of enterprises. It is impossible to conduct business legally in the regions without paying bribes and fines. The legislation allows businesses to be blocked for 30 days in case of violations, so businesses pay bribes to avoid being blocked. A 47% tax and a 13% credit rate also do not contribute to business growth. Compared to the Chinese tax of 12% and the credit rate of 0.02%. Despite the fact that China spends money on cargo transportation, it is more profitable to produce and buy in China than in Russia.

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Comments 0

Why doesn't the government fight against speculators in the stock market, since this is essentially fraud and selling air?

Link Copy 2023-10-16 08:49:08

Prediction

A speculator does not break the law and pays taxes

Reason

If you remove the stock market mechanisms, you'll have to think about giving something in return. And officials don't like to work. Moreover, taxes come from the stock market.

A speculator does not break the law and pays taxes

The justification of the stock exchange is a very good mechanism in terms of fairness. Money flows there from the foolish to the smart, from the greedy to the moderate, from the cowardly to the resilient, from the nervous to the patient.

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What is the real danger of artificial intelligence?

Link Copy 2023-12-18 04:04:19

Prediction

Degradation of man and society

Reason

Why solve the problem on your own if you can assign it to a neural network? The problem will be solved, and solved correctly. But the brain will not receive the proper load, accordingly, it will not develop. And intellectual abilities need constant development, or at least support of the existing level. Without stress, the human brain relaxes. This is especially dangerous for young people and teenagers. Experts have long argued that humanity is rapidly becoming stupid due to the achievements of the technical process. Neural networks will speed up the process.

Degradation of man and society

We need to understand that AI is just another tool in human hands and how we use it depends only on ourselves.

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What happens if China starts a war with Taiwan?

Link Copy 2022-10-21 11:05:58

Prediction

There is a 30% chance that China will launch military operations. After Pelosi's visit, China's maneuvers resulted in an economic blockade of Taiwan.

Reason

If war breaks out, China will fight against Taiwan, America, Japan and Nato. India may join the conflict. China can seize the island by force, but it will be an empty island destroyed by war, which will have to be rebuilt. Sanctions will be imposed on China. Because of the sanctions, all of China's economic and scientific successes will be nullified. China is also monitoring the outcome of the conflict between Russia and Ukraine.

There is a 30% chance that China will launch military operations. After Pelosi's visit, China's maneuvers resulted in an economic blockade of Taiwan.

And what Taiwan is preparing for. The 20th Congress of the Communist Party of China is about to take place, where very serious decisions on Taiwan can be made. Therefore, Taiwan shows in advance that it is ready for negotiations.

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