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Will there be a war between the United States and Venezuela?

Link Copy 2025-11-14 15:20:43

Prediction

No, the United States will continue military and financial pressure, but without a full-scale invasion.

Reason

Risks for the United States : Intervention can be expensive and the consequences unpredictable. Hidden goals 1. Pressure on the Venezuelan government is to show that the United States can strike at naval facilities even near their territory. 2. Technology and tactics testing — drones, missiles, precision strikes, real-time reconnaissance. 3. Economic and military pressure on the Caribbean countries. 4. A political show of force within the United States is to show the electorate that “drug cartels are under control” without an official declaration of war.

No, the United States will continue military and financial pressure, but without a full-scale invasion.

What the United States calls the “fight against drug trafficking”: in practice, it is a military operation with pinpoint strikes, accompanied by the death of civilians and suspects without trial, At the same time, it serves as a geopolitical pressure on Venezuela and neighboring countries.

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What is the U.S. strategy?

Link Copy 2023-03-02 06:27:37

Prediction

Extend its monopoly on solving its political and economic problems at the expense of the rest of the world for another 20-30 years

Reason

On October 12, 2022, the United States adopted and unveiled a new national security strategy, which defines the main priorities and goals of US foreign policy and military construction. Opponents in the new defense strategy are called Russia and China.

Extend its monopoly on solving its political and economic problems at the expense of the rest of the world for another 20-30 years

In the current US military strategy, Russia is declared the main culprit for the loss of world domination and privileged military-economic position in the world, the main obstacle to the preservation of world dominance and the main adversary, and China is a competitor in the long term.

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When will cargo transportation through the Suez Canal resume?

Link Copy 2023-12-30 12:45:12

Prediction

In 2025, due to the aggravation of the situation in the Middle East.

Reason

A military operation will be carried out, which will lead to nothing. Negotiations will begin when the president in the United States changes.

In 2025, due to the aggravation of the situation in the Middle East.

Shelling the Houthi camps will not reduce, but increase the risks.

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What Happens After Trump's Tariffs Are Imposed?

Link Copy 2025-04-04 15:57:43

Prediction

A global recession is expected. Mass layoffs and cost cuts will begin.

Reason

The GDP of the United States (24%) is almost a quarter of the world GDP. The United States has an impact on the entire world economy. International trade in 50% of cases is conducted in dollars. If the U.S. buys less because of tariffs, it will cause a downturn in the entire global economy in the short term. In the long term, confidence in the U.S. and the dollar will fall, and the focus will shift to China and the yuan as the world's second-largest economy. This whole process will be painful and will be accompanied by massive cost cuts, optimization of business processes, layoffs and closure of enterprises. The United States itself will suffer greatly and will not be able to recover from such a policy, since its factories are distributed around the world and depend on the supply of components and raw materials.

A global recession is expected. Mass layoffs and cost cuts will begin.

From April 3, 2025, 25% duties on car imports will come into effect, and by May 3, 2025, on auto parts manufactured outside the United States. From April 5, 2025, the minimum basic customs duty of 10% will come into force. From April 9, 2025, the rest of the tariffs will come into effect. The minimum base tariff of 10% will be applied to all countries. Most likely, this will all end after Trump's change as president in 2029. On April 8, Trump introduced a 3-month delay for those countries that did not impose retaliatory tariffs.

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