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When will cargo transportation through the Suez Canal resume?

Link Copy 2023-12-30 12:45:12

Prediction

In 2025, due to the aggravation of the situation in the Middle East.

Reason

A military operation will be carried out, which will lead to nothing. Negotiations will begin when the president in the United States changes.

In 2025, due to the aggravation of the situation in the Middle East.

Shelling the Houthi camps will not reduce, but increase the risks.

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What will happen to the frozen Russian assets?

Link Copy 2023-02-05 21:13:12

Prediction

They will be confiscated

Reason

The US Department of Justice began to confiscate the money of Russians - this became possible by court decision. He completed the trial in the case of Russian businessman Konstantin Malofeev, who was accused of circumventing sanctions.

They will be confiscated

The withdrawal of these funds will prevent other countries from relying on the United States in the future.

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Accuracy 20

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What is the likely target for Russia's atomic weapons?

Link Copy 2023-11-26 14:03:59

Prediction

Norfolk and Newport News

Reason

American nuclear aircraft carriers are rigidly tied to one place. These are Norfolk (Virginia), the largest naval base in the world, and Newport News (shipyard B with three giant slipways-one for construction and two for repair), on the other side of the Bay, where they are being built and seriously repaired.

Norfolk and Newport News

The time of the floating giants will end

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Why is OpenAI buying up all the components?

Link Copy 2026-01-10 03:25:39

Prediction

In practice, large-scale purchases of GPUs and memory, buying up the best AI labs, and poaching top researchers are a powerful tool for eliminating competitors, especially small and medium-sized players.

Reason

In part, this destruction of competitors is not direct, but through economic and technological strangulation. OpenAI and Microsoft do not have to want to harm others - it is enough for them to maximize their progress, and the market itself will exclude the weak. The goal is that the future of AI is determined by 2-3 corporations, not a community of scientists, startups and public organizations.

In practice, large-scale purchases of GPUs and memory, buying up the best AI labs, and poaching top researchers are a powerful tool for eliminating competitors, especially small and medium-sized players.

The main threat is not from AI as a technology, but from the one who owns it.

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