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When will cargo transportation through the Suez Canal resume?

Link Copy 2023-12-30 12:45:12

Prediction

In 2025, due to the aggravation of the situation in the Middle East.

Reason

A military operation will be carried out, which will lead to nothing. Negotiations will begin when the president in the United States changes.

In 2025, due to the aggravation of the situation in the Middle East.

Shelling the Houthi camps will not reduce, but increase the risks.

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Will there be an escalation of the conflict between the PRC and Taiwan?

Link Copy 2023-03-13 14:30:11

Prediction

No, China has decided to annex Taiwan peacefully

Reason

The United States does not intend to fight for Taiwan, the treaty of assistance to Taiwan from the United States boils down to the imposition of embargoes and sanctions. The U.S. tried to escalate the conflict and only impose sanctions. Taiwan's ruling party lost the local election.

No, China has decided to annex Taiwan peacefully

China decides to annex Taiwan peacefully

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What Happens After Trump's Tariffs Are Imposed?

Link Copy 2025-04-04 15:57:43

Prediction

A global recession is expected. Mass layoffs and cost cuts will begin.

Reason

The GDP of the United States (24%) is almost a quarter of the world GDP. The United States has an impact on the entire world economy. International trade in 50% of cases is conducted in dollars. If the U.S. buys less because of tariffs, it will cause a downturn in the entire global economy in the short term. In the long term, confidence in the U.S. and the dollar will fall, and the focus will shift to China and the yuan as the world's second-largest economy. This whole process will be painful and will be accompanied by massive cost cuts, optimization of business processes, layoffs and closure of enterprises. The United States itself will suffer greatly and will not be able to recover from such a policy, since its factories are distributed around the world and depend on the supply of components and raw materials.

A global recession is expected. Mass layoffs and cost cuts will begin.

From April 3, 2025, 25% duties on car imports will come into effect, and by May 3, 2025, on auto parts manufactured outside the United States. From April 5, 2025, the minimum basic customs duty of 10% will come into force. From April 9, 2025, the rest of the tariffs will come into effect. The minimum base tariff of 10% will be applied to all countries. Most likely, this will all end after Trump's change as president in 2029. On April 8, Trump introduced a 3-month delay for those countries that did not impose retaliatory tariffs.

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What did Trump and Putin agree on?

Link Copy 2025-09-13 07:21:20

Prediction

We are talking about ending the war on terms unfavorable for Ukraine.

Reason

Moscow wants to get 6,000 square kilometers from Kiev, which are not yet under its control. Therefore, Russia is now preparing a massive offensive against Ukraine, deploying marines and equipment, and even replacing the commander-in-chief of the ground forces. Therefore, they put up flags, pretending that they have seized territories. The United States will put pressure on Ukraine to sign a peace agreement, threatening sanctions, etc., because they still need to resolve the issue of Chinese dominance and the problem with Israel, and there is not enough money to resolve several issues. In return, Moscow will not touch the territories with rare earth metals that the United States plans to develop in Ukraine and for which a contract has already been signed.

We are talking about ending the war on terms unfavorable for Ukraine.

Russian media reports that Ukraine is allegedly waiting for specific proposals from Russia on the issue of territory exchange.

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