In 2025, due to the aggravation of the situation in the Middle East.
A military operation will be carried out, which will lead to nothing. Negotiations will begin when the president in the United States changes.

Shelling the Houthi camps will not reduce, but increase the risks.
Transport companies stop transporting goods through the Suez Canal because of the Houthis
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There will be a truce for a few years, and then the war will start again
A peace treaty will be signed with Ukraine with the renunciation of territories and other negative consequences for Ukraine. Ukraine will unite with Poland and the war will break out according to a new one, because Poland did not sign any treaties. The territory of Ukraine will be restored at the expense of frozen Russian assets. NATO will increase its reliance on U.S. support, as will the concerned, threatened Eastern European countries that find themselves frontline states along an expanded and uncertain line of contact with Russia, including Belarus and Russian-controlled parts of Ukraine.

Sanctions will not be lifted
POLAND IS PREPARING ITS REFERENDUM IN WESTERN UKRAINE
What if Russia wins?
Putin on the possibility of concluding a peace treaty with Ukraine: our goodwill is known
The Kremlin opposed the restoration of Ukraine at the expense of Russia's gold reserves
Named the amount of restoration of Ukraine with the help of Russia
Accuracy 50
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The government needs to link its currency to some real resources and make payments not in dollars, but based on the peg.
Abandoning the dollar is a whole range of measures. From tying your currency to something tangible, preferably something that your country owns more than other countries, to banning the purchase and sale of dollars. Why is it necessary to move away from the dollar? First of all. To reduce dependence on the United States. After Trump's arrival, pressure begins on all countries. Secondly. There is a danger that the dollar will depreciate due to the problems of the United States and the European Union, because the dollar is also pegged to European currencies and an avalanche effect is possible. The third. Trump is scaring tariffs, which will further increase the negative reaction.

China and Russia are trying to create an alternative currency pegged to the territory and rare earth metals, because they feel strong pressure from the United States. The other BRICS countries don't want to move away from the dollar because they don't feel the pressure.
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Negotiations will be postponed for a year
Peace negotiations will begin when countries have something to lose, for example, Russia begins to occupy Kharkiv or ends up at the European borders. So far, none of the parties to the conflict is ready to accept the conditions. And there is not even any basis for compromise. For example, it is not profitable for Russia to make a buffer zone in Ukraine, because there are missiles whose range exceeds the entire territory of Ukraine. And time is now on Russia's side, it can seize even more territory.

In peace talks, Europe and Ukraine will have to admit that they have lost the war and make concessions, but they are not ready for this. The recognition of Crimea as Russian and the issue of Ukraine's membership in NATO have become red lines that Europe cannot cross.
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