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Have China and the United States agreed on tariffs?

Link Copy 2025-06-12 14:09:57

Prediction

Yes, due to Chinese restrictions on the trade of rare earth metals.

Reason

China controls rare earth elements that are necessary for almost all advanced technologies and are almost entirely produced in China. It accounts for 70% of their global production and, more importantly, over 90% of their processing. Thus, it can respond to restrictions from the USA and the EU. Therefore, negotiations will have to be made with China. Chinese media note that the supply of many important medicines in the USA is also almost entirely controlled by China.

Yes, due to Chinese restrictions on the trade of rare earth metals.

China itself is very much dependent on world trade. And foreign trade is a constant leash for China.

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Will Pavel Durov, the owner of Telegram, be imprisoned?

Link Copy 2024-08-27 09:57:53

Prediction

No

Reason

Durov's guilt in the eyes of Western intelligence services in this aspect lies in the insufficient moderation of the platform, which allows him to be accused of collusion and complicity in all crimes that are committed using the messenger. In terms of the amount of charges in France, he faces about 20 years in prison, but lawyers note that the courts usually distinguish between the perpetrator and the accomplice. Before him, not a single owner of the social network had been convicted of insufficient moderation.

No

If arrested, France will be under pressure and investors will avoid doing business with the country. Durov's arrest has already set a precedent, making crypto investors and Big Tech representatives very nervous. The President of France shifted all responsibility to the judges.

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What awaits Europe in 2025?

Link Copy 2025-01-22 02:56:02

Prediction

Quarrel with the United States, trade war, difficult economic situation, shortage of energy resources, rising unemployment

Reason

Some European countries have large trade surpluses with the United States. Trump is demanding that Europe buy more American goods to smooth out this surplus. An increase in the number of American goods on the European market means the automatic displacement of European manufacturers, the potential bankruptcy of medium and small enterprises, their consolidation and monopolization by American multinational companies and, ultimately, the subordination of the European economy to the United States, which Europe, of course, will not agree to. Gas transit through Ukraine has been stopped, and Europe has lost almost its last gas source through the pipeline. The EU is purchasing Russian LNG at a record pace, and the United States is pushing its allies to ban it. The EU should increase purchases of American hydrocarbons, if the EU ignores this, it will receive protective duties on its products supplied to America. It will end with a shortage of fuel and another price increase. Trump also intends to increase the military spending of NATO countries to 5% of their GDP.

Quarrel with the United States, trade war, difficult economic situation, shortage of energy resources, rising unemployment

Trump is putting forward exorbitant demands on Europe, which will significantly affect military-economic cooperation between the United States and Europe in the direction of deterioration and cessation. Because of this, some countries will leave the EU in the future. Europe, in which every country will fight for its own well-being, will return.

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Will there be a war between Russia and China?

Link Copy 2023-01-31 08:42:34

Prediction

Yes, in 2055

Reason

China intends to become a leading world power. To do this, he needs resources and a territory where he can live. Russia has it all.

Yes, in 2055

Russia will unite with Mongolia and defend its sovereignty.

References

Accuracy 10

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