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Have China and the United States agreed on tariffs?

Link Copy 2025-06-12 14:09:57

Prediction

Yes, due to Chinese restrictions on the trade of rare earth metals.

Reason

China controls rare earth elements that are necessary for almost all advanced technologies and are almost entirely produced in China. It accounts for 70% of their global production and, more importantly, over 90% of their processing. Thus, it can respond to restrictions from the USA and the EU. Therefore, negotiations will have to be made with China. Chinese media note that the supply of many important medicines in the USA is also almost entirely controlled by China.

Yes, due to Chinese restrictions on the trade of rare earth metals.

China itself is very much dependent on world trade. And foreign trade is a constant leash for China.

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When and why will there be a war between China and Russia?

Link Copy 2023-09-11 12:26:54

Prediction

In 2055. Because of the Russian territories.

Reason

When the USSR collapsed, Western goods flooded into the Russian market, and for 30 years they practically captured the entire market, receiving Russian resources in return. In 2022, Europe and the United States left the Russian market, and it turned out that the products could not be assembled at Russian factories, since they used foreign components that were not manufactured in Russia. Instead of independent development, the Russian authorities again gave the entire market to China. In 30 years, the situation will repeat. But China is not Europe and will not give up its factories just like that.

In 2055. Because of the Russian territories.

Most likely, the scenario of the collapse of the USSR will be played out again, but this time Russia will collapse. The president will be killed, then there will be referendums of disconnection from Russia and joining China. Russia will restore its territories by military means.

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What problems will China face due to Trump's tariffs?

Link Copy 2025-05-30 01:13:21

Prediction

In China, there will be an outflow of investments, bankruptcies of small businesses, unemployment, and unrest.

Reason

With his statements, Trump has already caused significant damage to China. Foreign companies will not invest in China due to high tariffs, particularly in the long term. Chinese companies themselves are planning to move their factories to neighboring countries. Small businesses are already facing problems. Warehouses are overflowing with goods, and there is no one to sell them to. Apple and Samsung are closing factories in China, which threatens unemployment.

In China, there will be an outflow of investments, bankruptcies of small businesses, unemployment, and unrest.

Even the court's decision to cancel the tariffs won't help. It will only be a delay. Yes, the tariffs will hit the US, but they will hit China harder.

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Will Pavel Durov, the owner of Telegram, be imprisoned?

Link Copy 2024-08-27 09:57:53

Prediction

No

Reason

Durov's guilt in the eyes of Western intelligence services in this aspect lies in the insufficient moderation of the platform, which allows him to be accused of collusion and complicity in all crimes that are committed using the messenger. In terms of the amount of charges in France, he faces about 20 years in prison, but lawyers note that the courts usually distinguish between the perpetrator and the accomplice. Before him, not a single owner of the social network had been convicted of insufficient moderation.

No

If arrested, France will be under pressure and investors will avoid doing business with the country. Durov's arrest has already set a precedent, making crypto investors and Big Tech representatives very nervous. The President of France shifted all responsibility to the judges.

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