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What awaits Europe in 2025?

Link Copy 2025-01-22 02:56:02

Prediction

Quarrel with the United States, trade war, difficult economic situation, shortage of energy resources, rising unemployment

Reason

Some European countries have large trade surpluses with the United States. Trump is demanding that Europe buy more American goods to smooth out this surplus. An increase in the number of American goods on the European market means the automatic displacement of European manufacturers, the potential bankruptcy of medium and small enterprises, their consolidation and monopolization by American multinational companies and, ultimately, the subordination of the European economy to the United States, which Europe, of course, will not agree to. Gas transit through Ukraine has been stopped, and Europe has lost almost its last gas source through the pipeline. The EU is purchasing Russian LNG at a record pace, and the United States is pushing its allies to ban it. The EU should increase purchases of American hydrocarbons, if the EU ignores this, it will receive protective duties on its products supplied to America. It will end with a shortage of fuel and another price increase. Trump also intends to increase the military spending of NATO countries to 5% of their GDP.

Quarrel with the United States, trade war, difficult economic situation, shortage of energy resources, rising unemployment

Trump is putting forward exorbitant demands on Europe, which will significantly affect military-economic cooperation between the United States and Europe in the direction of deterioration and cessation. Because of this, some countries will leave the EU in the future. Europe, in which every country will fight for its own well-being, will return.

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When will the AI bubble burst?

Link Copy 2025-12-14 07:43:49

Prediction

In 2031.

Reason

Why is everyone talking about a bubble? 1) Huge investments with uncertain returns for many startups. 2) Thousands of AI startups that are essentially just a shell for other people's models. 3) High expectations: AI will replace everyone tomorrow. 4) Limitations of the models: hallucinations, high cost, dependence on data and computing power. OpenAI alone has attracted $300 billion in investments. Such investments will not pay off under any circumstances. By 2030, the company will need to show record profits, which it does not have.

In 2031.

Many AI startups will close or be absorbed . Investors will become stricter: we need a real business case, not we have AI

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Google Search is dead?

Link Copy 2022-06-21 09:32:01

Prediction

Currently, the predominant business model for commercial search engines is advertising. The goals of the advertising business model do not always correspond to providing quality search to users.We expect that advertising funded search engines will be inherently biased towards the advertisers and away from the needs of the consumers.Furthermore, advertising income often provides an incentive to provide poor quality search results.

Reason

Google is no longer producing high quality search results in a significant number of important categories

Currently, the predominant business model for commercial search engines is advertising. The goals of the advertising business model do not always correspond to providing quality search to users.We expect that advertising funded search engines will be inherently biased towards the advertisers and away from the needs of the consumers.Furthermore, advertising income often provides an incentive to provide poor quality search results.

Alternative Search : Reddit, Bing, Duckduckgo, Yahoo, Yandex

References

Accuracy 20

2022-03-21
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What should countries involved in the forestry business do after the EU ban on the sale of products related to deforestation?

Link Copy 2023-05-15 11:00:01

Prediction

Refocus on other activities and cut costs

Reason

The state should partially cover the costs of companies while the reorientation is underway. It should have anticipated this situation

Refocus on other activities and cut costs

The state should partially cover the costs of companies while the reorientation is underway. It should have foreseen this situation

References
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