When will Israel's war with Hamas end?

2024-04-10 10:25:39

The truce will be concluded in early 2025

In the end, the United States tells Israel to end the war after the elections, reinforcing this demand by stopping the supply of weapons and stopping financing. The problem for the Biden administration is that it cannot twist the arms of Benjamin Netanyahu's government too much, because in an election year this could reduce Joe Biden's own chances of re-election, since the Israeli lobby has strong positions in the American elite.

The Israeli military leadership makes it clear that the war is far from over. The country's authorities insist only on a temporary pause in hostilities, after which they will be ready to resume the offensive, and then only after pressure from the United States. Also, Israel does not have a clear plan for what will happen to the Gaza Strip after the end of hostilities. The head of the Israeli National Security Council, Tzachi Hanegbi, has already announced the prospects of war with the Lebanese Hezbollah group after the successful fight against Hamas. A war with Iran is also possible.

What to expect from Trump?

2024-11-29 08:40:09

Trump will impose his demands and end up quarreling with everyone. He has not yet taken office, but has already promised to raise duties on non-American goods. He is expected to resolve the conflict in Ukraine, reduce spending, and escalate the trade war with China. European interests will be completely ignored.

If the U.S. imposes tariffs of 60 percent on all imports from China and raises tariffs on imports from other countries, lowers personal and corporate taxes, and deports millions of illegal immigrants, we can expect lower U.S. output, increased inflationary pressures, and increased market volatility. The U.S. economy has a strong impact on the global economy because of its size: the U.S. accounts for more than a quarter of global GDP. As a result, in the next three years, the growth rate of the world economy will decline by 2-3% per year. With global GDP growing at about 3% per year, it can be assumed that the world will stagnate at best and recession at worst.

Most likely, after his rule, few people will talk to America. Non-U.S. companies will have to look for other markets because they will be pressured by tariffs. South Korea is already subsidizing its chip companies due to the start of Trump's rule.

Will Ukraine attack Belarus?

2024-10-10 12:13:37

Not in the near future

An information war is being waged against Russia, among other things. Proposals for a Ukrainian attack on Belarus are a test of the reaction of Russia and Belarus to such a step.

If the war drags on, there is a prospect of an attack, as Belarus is one of the few countries that support Russia.

How will Russia respond to attacks with long-range Western weapons?

2024-06-12 14:52:34

Russia will supply weapons to the enemies of the West

The President of Russia stated that if Ukraine is allowed to strike Russian territory with Western long-range weapons, Russia will respond in kind: it will supply its own long-range weapons to the forces that strike the countries that allowed the attacks. The Kremlin does not name specific countries.

Russia cannot directly attack Western countries because it would lead to World War III. Russia's choice of countries is limited: Iran, North Korea, Venezuela, Cuba, and African countries. The first targets for the use of this weapon will be ships and a possible blockade of sea routes.