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When will Israel's war with Hamas end?

Link Copy 2024-04-10 10:25:39

Prediction

The truce will be concluded in early 2025

Reason

In the end, the United States tells Israel to end the war after the elections, reinforcing this demand by stopping the supply of weapons and stopping financing. The problem for the Biden administration is that it cannot twist the arms of Benjamin Netanyahu's government too much, because in an election year this could reduce Joe Biden's own chances of re-election, since the Israeli lobby has strong positions in the American elite.

The truce will be concluded in early 2025

The Israeli military leadership makes it clear that the war is far from over. The country's authorities insist only on a temporary pause in hostilities, after which they will be ready to resume the offensive, and then only after pressure from the United States. Also, Israel does not have a clear plan for what will happen to the Gaza Strip after the end of hostilities. The head of the Israeli National Security Council, Tzachi Hanegbi, has already announced the prospects of war with the Lebanese Hezbollah group after the successful fight against Hamas. A war with Iran is also possible.

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Will there be a third World War over Russia and Ukraine?

Link Copy 2024-03-01 09:54:08

Prediction

No, it's just bullying.

Reason

Talking about World War III is just political leverage to demand money for Ukraine and drive it into debt. No one will fight for her. All the advantages are lost. The United States has problems: elections are coming, Texas, the Houthis and Israel. Russia has gained a foothold in Ukraine, and the element of surprise has been missed. The sanctions are hitting Europe itself. Discontent is growing. The EU population is being ripped off, and industry is being exported. The EU has barely agreed on an extension of assistance to Ukraine, and there is no chance of agreeing on the start of the deployment of troops.

No, it's just bullying.

In 2025, with Trump's victory, the EU will remain alone with Ukraine. And eventually it will fall apart, because few people will want to spend money on Ukraine sacrificing the economies of their countries.

References
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Will Ukraine attack Belarus?

Link Copy 2024-10-10 12:13:37

Prediction

Not in the near future

Reason

An information war is being waged against Russia, among other things. Proposals for a Ukrainian attack on Belarus are a test of the reaction of Russia and Belarus to such a step.

Not in the near future

If the war drags on, there is a prospect of an attack, as Belarus is one of the few countries that support Russia.

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Will there be a civil war in Texas?

Link Copy 2024-01-30 13:15:40

Prediction

No, the state itself will have to solve the issue of migrants.

Reason

America will be busy with a war with Iran

No, the state itself will have to solve the issue of migrants.

Democrats will remember this in the elections

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