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What is the real danger of artificial intelligence?

Link Copy 2023-12-18 04:04:19

Prediction

Degradation of man and society

Reason

Why solve the problem on your own if you can assign it to a neural network? The problem will be solved, and solved correctly. But the brain will not receive the proper load, accordingly, it will not develop. And intellectual abilities need constant development, or at least support of the existing level. Without stress, the human brain relaxes. This is especially dangerous for young people and teenagers. Experts have long argued that humanity is rapidly becoming stupid due to the achievements of the technical process. Neural networks will speed up the process.

Degradation of man and society

We need to understand that AI is just another tool in human hands and how we use it depends only on ourselves.

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What to expect from Trump?

Link Copy 2024-11-29 08:40:09

Prediction

Trump will impose his demands and end up quarreling with everyone. He has not yet taken office, but has already promised to raise duties on non-American goods. He is expected to resolve the conflict in Ukraine, reduce spending, and escalate the trade war with China. European interests will be completely ignored.

Reason

If the U.S. imposes tariffs of 60 percent on all imports from China and raises tariffs on imports from other countries, lowers personal and corporate taxes, and deports millions of illegal immigrants, we can expect lower U.S. output, increased inflationary pressures, and increased market volatility. The U.S. economy has a strong impact on the global economy because of its size: the U.S. accounts for more than a quarter of global GDP. As a result, in the next three years, the growth rate of the world economy will decline by 2-3% per year. With global GDP growing at about 3% per year, it can be assumed that the world will stagnate at best and recession at worst.

Trump will impose his demands and end up quarreling with everyone. He has not yet taken office, but has already promised to raise duties on non-American goods. He is expected to resolve the conflict in Ukraine, reduce spending, and escalate the trade war with China. European interests will be completely ignored.

Most likely, after his rule, few people will talk to America. Non-U.S. companies will have to look for other markets because they will be pressured by tariffs. South Korea is already subsidizing its chip companies due to the start of Trump's rule.

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Will artificial intelligence be able to replace programmers in the near future?

Link Copy 2026-07-06 13:16:44

Prediction

No, but it can create huge recruitment problems.

Reason

In the coming years, the main problem will not be that AI will completely replace programmers, but that it will seriously change the recruitment market. Previously, companies were willing to train newcomers, but now many prefer to hire one strong AI developer instead of several novice employees. Thanks to artificial intelligence, everyone will work 30-50% faster, the company may need 7-8 people instead of 10, which means that new employees will be hired less often. AI will make remote work even more accessible, and if previously a company was looking for a developer in its city or country, now it can hire a person from almost anywhere in the world who effectively uses AI. This will greatly increase the competition between specialists.

No, but it can create huge recruitment problems.

The most likely scenario is not the disappearance of the profession, but a reduction in the number of entry-level vacancies, increased requirements for candidates and increased competition.

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Will there be a nuclear war?

Link Copy 2023-09-17 05:59:27

Prediction

No

Reason

In 1994, the USA, England, France, and Russia concluded an agreement to cease the production of fissile materials for nuclear weapons. China did not sign the agreement but committed to comply with it. Israel also did not sign the agreement but stopped producing nuclear weapons in 2004, retaining the right to resume production if necessary. India, Pakistan, and North Korea, of course, did not sign the agreement. This agreement is perpetual, and its provisions came into effect in 1997.

No

Plutonium-based nuclear weapons have a shelf life of 18 years. 1997 18 years = 2015. Also, striking military targets, rather than cities, is the priority of a nuclear attack.

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