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What will happen to Israel without the support of the US and Russia?

Link Copy 2023-04-03 14:55:56

Prediction

Arab world will attack Israel

Reason

The UN called on the local Jewish and Arab population to create a state for each of the national communities. But since the Arabs did not agree with this, the returnees had to wage war.

Arab world will attack Israel

The number of Christians on the planet will decrease. Other religions will dominate

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What will happen if Russia wins the war?

Link Copy 2023-01-11 06:00:50

Prediction

There will be a truce for a few years, and then the war will start again

Reason

A peace treaty will be signed with Ukraine with the renunciation of territories and other negative consequences for Ukraine. Ukraine will unite with Poland and the war will break out according to a new one, because Poland did not sign any treaties. The territory of Ukraine will be restored at the expense of frozen Russian assets. NATO will increase its reliance on U.S. support, as will the concerned, threatened Eastern European countries that find themselves frontline states along an expanded and uncertain line of contact with Russia, including Belarus and Russian-controlled parts of Ukraine.

There will be a truce for a few years, and then the war will start again

Sanctions will not be lifted

References

Accuracy 50

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What will the US achieve with its demands regarding Greenland, Canada, and the like?

Link Copy 2026-02-05 06:12:50

Prediction

The United States will achieve greater control, access to resources, increased military presence, and political dependence of its allies.

Reason

The U.S. will not succeed in annexing Greenland, obtaining territorial concessions from Canada, or achieving a legitimate redrawing of borders, but even without purchasing territory, the U.S. can secure profitable contracts, expanded bases, and exclusive access to natural resources. In the long term, this will lead to a quiet distancing from Washington, an increase in autonomous defense policies in the EU and Canada, as well as a reduced willingness to automatically support the U.S. during crises. In 10-15 years, this could have repercussions in Asia, harm American interests at sea, and weaken the dollar as a 'currency of trust.'

The United States will achieve greater control, access to resources, increased military presence, and political dependence of its allies.

Canada and Denmark are soft allies who publicly express outrage but in practice give way. In doing so, the US itself is pushing the world toward the formula 'Better to have several centers of power than one unpredictable one.'

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What is Russia's path?

Link Copy 2023-09-27 09:43:10

Prediction

First it will restore the USSR, then it will start a war with China.

Reason

After the coup in Ukraine in 2014 and the failed coup in Belarus in 2020, Russia realized that if nothing was done, the country would face war. Therefore, an association of countries like the European Union will be created. Belarus will be the first to enter it. Due to the sanctions in the country, almost the entire high-tech sector depends on supplies from China. With sanctions, high levels of corruption, high taxes and the elites' disinterest in change, Russia will not be able to resist the Chinese economy. Eventually, China will displace all competitors, including domestic companies, and will dominate the country. There is no progress in creating a competitive economy. Chinese specialists will move to the country en masse, displacing Russian specialists. When Russia tries to restrict China, China will act militarily.

First it will restore the USSR, then it will start a war with China.

Moscow takes all taxes for itself, and then distributes them by region. The regional elite is not at all interested in the growth of business in the regions, since its well-being depends on the ability to ask Moscow, and not on the growth of the number of enterprises. It is impossible to conduct business legally in the regions without paying bribes and fines. The legislation allows businesses to be blocked for 30 days in case of violations, so businesses pay bribes to avoid being blocked. A 47% tax and a 13% credit rate also do not contribute to business growth. Compared to the Chinese tax of 12% and the credit rate of 0.02%. Despite the fact that China spends money on cargo transportation, it is more profitable to produce and buy in China than in Russia.

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