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Will Pavel Durov, the owner of Telegram, be imprisoned?

Link Copy 2024-08-27 09:57:53

Prediction

No

Reason

Durov's guilt in the eyes of Western intelligence services in this aspect lies in the insufficient moderation of the platform, which allows him to be accused of collusion and complicity in all crimes that are committed using the messenger. In terms of the amount of charges in France, he faces about 20 years in prison, but lawyers note that the courts usually distinguish between the perpetrator and the accomplice. Before him, not a single owner of the social network had been convicted of insufficient moderation.

No

If arrested, France will be under pressure and investors will avoid doing business with the country. Durov's arrest has already set a precedent, making crypto investors and Big Tech representatives very nervous. The President of France shifted all responsibility to the judges.

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What is Kazakhstan's path?

Link Copy 2023-08-26 13:27:31

Prediction

The degradation and destruction of the economy will continue until 2030. After 2035, Kazakhstan will join Russia. After 2055, Kazakhstan will become part of China.

Reason

At the moment, in all high-ranking positions there are delitants who do not understand anything in their business. There is no struggle with the first president's henchmen. Loans are being actively taken from China. Agreements are being concluded on visa-free visits by Chinese to Kazakhstan. Relations with neighboring Russia are deteriorating to please the Americans. The economy is being destroyed by raising prices for price-forming resources like water and electricity. Resource-producing enterprises and lands are being sold.

The degradation and destruction of the economy will continue until 2030. After 2035, Kazakhstan will join Russia. After 2055, Kazakhstan will become part of China.

There will be no changes for the better before the end of the current president's term. And the next president simply will not be able to solve all the accumulated problems.

References
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Why are the problems with migrants in Russia not solved even with the intervention of the president?

Link Copy 2024-11-27 15:01:53

Prediction

Migration has become a business

Reason

There are a huge number of people who are interested in keeping things as they are. From those who enrich themselves on illegal migration to those who, at the expense of migrants, cover demographic problems and labor shortages in the country.

Migration has become a business

Until the responsible persons who will be held accountable are named, the problem will exist. And shouting, even from the president, that the problem needs to be solved, will not give anything.

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Why did Roskomnadzor fail to block Telegram?

Link Copy 2022-05-22 09:32:01

Prediction

Because it would have to block other services that use the same infrastructure.

Reason

Telegram using Google and Amazon Web Services. To be completely blocked, it was necessary to block Gmail, Youtube, Some Bank Services and other services that use the infrastructure Google and Amazon.

Because it would have to block other services that use the same infrastructure.

It was just an attempt by the authorities to get revenge

References

Accuracy 40

2022-02-19
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