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Why is the ruble falling because Russia does not depend on the dollar?

Link Copy 2023-04-16 12:13:49

Prediction

This is an attempt to make money on the sale of energy resources

Reason

Russia is trying to compensate for the low volume of energy sales and the discounts they are forced to make with the high price of the dollar

This is an attempt to make money on the sale of energy resources

An important factor for the ruble is oil prices, which may affect its dynamics

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When will Russia capture Odessa?

Link Copy 2024-02-01 12:52:56

Prediction

The fighting will begin in the fall of 2024

Reason

In the case of significant successes in the Donbas and near Kharkov, there is a very high probability of launching an offensive against Nikolaev, followed by its capture and access to the outskirts of Odessa at the end of summer. In connection with the allocation of 51 billion euros of aid, military operations will begin with renewed vigor, and a new Ukrainian offensive has already been announced in order to delay the advance of Russian troops.

The fighting will begin in the fall of 2024

Ukraine's loss of Odessa and the surrounding territories would mean turning into a completely isolated state, which is also blocked from the north, east and south by unfriendly countries (Russia-Belarus-Transnistria).

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When will Russia run out of oil for export?

Link Copy 2023-10-09 03:18:52

Prediction

If production rates are not reduced and new deposits are not discovered, then in 2040

Reason

Russian Energy Minister Novak noted in 2018 that oil production in Russia, in the absence of incentives, could fall by 44% by 2035. Taking into account the coronavirus infection in 2019 and sanctions, these deadlines have shifted to 2040.

If production rates are not reduced and new deposits are not discovered, then in 2040

Russia has one of the highest taxes on the oil industry in the world, which makes it difficult to stimulate production.

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When will the United States lose its leadership in the world?

Link Copy 2023-09-23 13:27:31

Prediction

After the loss of the Navy and the loss of the dollar's status as the world's reserve currency.

Reason

By 2030, the United States will become the third economy in the world in terms of gross domestic product after China and India. China's dominance in the economic sphere does not in itself weaken the influence of the United States as a power. It is expected that by 2048, the dollar will cease to be the world's leading currency. And the US fleet can only be lost in the event of a protracted war with China and Russia in 2060.

After the loss of the Navy and the loss of the dollar's status as the world's reserve currency.

If America faces economic collapse and abandonment of all military and diplomatic obligations, then the rest of the world will be plunged into anarchy, they say - there will be no one to intervene in the friction between South Korea and the DPRK, India and Pakistan, China and its neighbors.

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