Collect

Why won't Ukraine win the war?

Link Copy 2023-09-11 13:41:41

Prediction

There is no manpower, and Europe and the United States will not interfere, because Russia has nuclear weapons.

Reason

The conflict could have been avoided, but the United States and NATO did not even consider the possibility of negotiations with Russia, which led to sad consequences for themselves and for Ukraine.

There is no manpower, and Europe and the United States will not interfere, because Russia has nuclear weapons.

Now, a year and a half later, Ukraine is starting to say that there is no one to fight, Western aid has decreased, sanctions are no longer being imposed. And Europe started talking about the urgent need to start negotiations.

References
QR code
QRcode

Scan the QR code to open on your mobile device

Comments 0

Will Putin attend the BRICS summit?

Link Copy 2023-05-27 11:20:32

Prediction

Yes

Reason

South Africa has three more months to find a way to circumvent the ICC warrant without bringing the situation to an international scandal.

Yes

There is an opinion among experts that the International Criminal Court itself does not count on the arrest of the Russian president and the issuance of a warrant is not so much a blow to Moscow as to the BRICS as a whole.

References
QR code
QRcode

Scan the QR code to open on your mobile device

Will there be peace between Russia and Ukraine in 2025?

Link Copy 2025-04-24 15:37:00

Prediction

Negotiations will be postponed for a year

Reason

Peace negotiations will begin when countries have something to lose, for example, Russia begins to occupy Kharkiv or ends up at the European borders. So far, none of the parties to the conflict is ready to accept the conditions. And there is not even any basis for compromise. For example, it is not profitable for Russia to make a buffer zone in Ukraine, because there are missiles whose range exceeds the entire territory of Ukraine. And time is now on Russia's side, it can seize even more territory.

Negotiations will be postponed for a year

In peace talks, Europe and Ukraine will have to admit that they have lost the war and make concessions, but they are not ready for this. The recognition of Crimea as Russian and the issue of Ukraine's membership in NATO have become red lines that Europe cannot cross.

QR code
QRcode

Scan the QR code to open on your mobile device

Why is there no change for the better in Kazakhstan under the new president?

Link Copy 2023-11-16 09:25:30

Prediction

Nursultan Nazarbayev is gone, but not to the end

Reason

Most appointments are made for authoritarian, clan, and patronage purposes. This means that a certain person is appointed to the post of regional akim or minister, not so much because he is good at what he does and has the right level of professionalism and experience, but because he will definitely do what he is told, what the president ordered him to do. Thus, the ministers became extras who simply supported the main character, the president.

Nursultan Nazarbayev is gone, but not to the end

In simple terms, in order to give additional opportunities to someone (for example, small and medium-sized businesses, which are currently being talked about a lot), you need to take these opportunities away from those who use them incorrectly or incorrectly. And this already smacks of a redistribution of power. That is, in fact, there is a question of reducing the caste of untouchables and the resources controlled by it.

References
QR code
QRcode

Scan the QR code to open on your mobile device

See also
Application

You can install the AI app from our store.

Scan QR code to get a link to APK file