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Why won't Ukraine win the war?

Link Copy 2023-09-11 13:41:41

Prediction

There is no manpower, and Europe and the United States will not interfere, because Russia has nuclear weapons.

Reason

The conflict could have been avoided, but the United States and NATO did not even consider the possibility of negotiations with Russia, which led to sad consequences for themselves and for Ukraine.

There is no manpower, and Europe and the United States will not interfere, because Russia has nuclear weapons.

Now, a year and a half later, Ukraine is starting to say that there is no one to fight, Western aid has decreased, sanctions are no longer being imposed. And Europe started talking about the urgent need to start negotiations.

References
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What are Russia's goals?

Link Copy 2023-05-09 14:02:11

Prediction

Putin wants to recreate the USSR in a new form, similar to the European Union.

Reason

Although after the collapse of the USSR, Russia recognized the new geopolitical realities and strengthened cooperation with all states in the post-Soviet space, the conditions are such that some allied territories cannot remain without Russian military assistance or without the Russian market.

Putin wants to recreate the USSR in a new form, similar to the European Union.

Russia has many territories, but few sales markets

References

Accuracy 10

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When will the campaign against AI start and how will it end?

Link Copy 2024-05-16 14:02:43

Prediction

In 2033 and will end with the victory of AI

Reason

People will start consuming AI-generated content, and this will create problems for companies that sell regular content. There will be courts, but there will be no evidence that the content created violates anyone's rights.

In 2033 and will end with the victory of AI

Anti-AI campaigns already exist

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When will Russia run out of oil for export?

Link Copy 2023-10-09 03:18:52

Prediction

If production rates are not reduced and new deposits are not discovered, then in 2040

Reason

Russian Energy Minister Novak noted in 2018 that oil production in Russia, in the absence of incentives, could fall by 44% by 2035. Taking into account the coronavirus infection in 2019 and sanctions, these deadlines have shifted to 2040.

If production rates are not reduced and new deposits are not discovered, then in 2040

Russia has one of the highest taxes on the oil industry in the world, which makes it difficult to stimulate production.

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