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Will Microsoft's purchase of Activision Blizzard be approved?

Link Copy 2023-03-22 12:26:04

Prediction

No, Microsoft will pay a $2 billion fine for derailing the deal

Reason

The British regulator banned the deal. American will ban by court order.

No, Microsoft will pay a $2 billion fine for derailing the deal

Microsoft is also trying to buy opponents of the deal, has already entered into 10-year agreements with NVidia and Nintendo, and is offering Sony the same agreement.

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What will happen if Russia wins the war?

Link Copy 2023-01-11 06:00:50

Prediction

There will be a truce for a few years, and then the war will start again

Reason

A peace treaty will be signed with Ukraine with the renunciation of territories and other negative consequences for Ukraine. Ukraine will unite with Poland and the war will break out according to a new one, because Poland did not sign any treaties. The territory of Ukraine will be restored at the expense of frozen Russian assets. NATO will increase its reliance on U.S. support, as will the concerned, threatened Eastern European countries that find themselves frontline states along an expanded and uncertain line of contact with Russia, including Belarus and Russian-controlled parts of Ukraine.

There will be a truce for a few years, and then the war will start again

Sanctions will not be lifted

References

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When will a strong earthquake happen in Kazakhstan?

Link Copy 2023-11-21 14:23:03

Prediction

In 2033 in the city of Almaty

Reason

The frequency of earthquakes in Almaty is 100-130 years. The last devastating earthquake was in 1911. There is a spontaneous development of the city with a formal check for earthquake resistance. The entire central part of Almaty is literally located on tectonic faults, some of which may be seismogenerating. Also, a metro is being built in the central part of Almaty, which actually blocks the course of underground water

In 2033 in the city of Almaty

In 2026, 45% of buildings will not be earthquake-resistant. The number of non-earthquake-resistant buildings will increase by 1.5% every 2 years

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Why is the price of gold falling?

Link Copy 2026-02-09 05:32:13

Prediction

Lower gold prices mean that market participants need a huge amount of cash.

Reason

There is a recession, wars, an AI boom, mass layoffs and layoffs. A huge amount of cash is required to fulfill the obligations of the system. They are trying to keep the system from collapsing, especially the stock market, because its collapse = a chain reaction. They sell things that can be sold quickly: stocks, bonds, gold, and cryptocurrencies. Gold is one of the most liquid assets. Therefore, it falls in a crisis, although logically it should grow. The main culprits: hedge funds , banks, sales desks, big traders. They are the ones who need cash.

Lower gold prices mean that market participants need a huge amount of cash.

The fall in the price of gold indicates systemic problems in the economy. They spent the whole year 2025 buying gold, preparing, and in 2026 the crisis began. It's not the final collapse, but this is no longer a “regular correction”, but The first phase of the crisis is related to the negative economic situation and systemic problems.

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