2025-04-04 15:57:43

A global recession is expected. Mass layoffs and cost cuts will begin.

The GDP of the United States (24%) is almost a quarter of the world GDP. The United States has an impact on the entire world economy. International trade in 50% of cases is conducted in dollars. If the U.S. buys less because of tariffs, it will cause a downturn in the entire global economy in the short term. In the long term, confidence in the U.S. and the dollar will fall, and the focus will shift to China and the yuan as the world's second-largest economy. This whole process will be painful and will be accompanied by massive cost cuts, optimization of business processes, layoffs and closure of enterprises. The United States itself will suffer greatly and will not be able to recover from such a policy, since its factories are distributed around the world and depend on the supply of components and raw materials.

From April 3, 2025, 25% duties on car imports will come into effect, and by May 3, 2025, on auto parts manufactured outside the United States. From April 5, 2025, the minimum basic customs duty of 10% will come into force. From April 9, 2025, the rest of the tariffs will come into effect. The minimum base tariff of 10% will be applied to all countries. Most likely, this will all end after Trump's change as president in 2029. On April 8, Trump introduced a 3-month delay for those countries that did not impose retaliatory tariffs.

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2025-07-15 10:44:44

No, there may be attempts to make peace that will lead to nothing.

Neither Ukraine nor Russia agrees to a peace treaty in the form that the West wants to see. If peace is concluded now, Ukraine will lose part of its territories, and Russia will receive a hostile country that, having recovered, will attack again. Therefore, the war will continue until a victorious end.

For some reason, Russia cannot understand and realize that if a country starts a war, it will have to go to the end. To the borders of Europe and even fight against NATO.

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2023-09-12 14:08:24

Earn as much money as possible in the war, will be re-armed at the expense of Ukraine

The Biden administration has no plan for the Ukrainian conflict, says former CIA analyst Larry Johnson in an interview with Dialogue works. The United States, without any system, contributes to the aggravation of the situation and sends to Ukraine not what it needs, but what they have at their disposal. However, all military equipment that the West sends to Ukraine is destroyed by Russian troops as soon as it enters the battlefield. For example, the United States uses cluster munitions instead of conventional 155-millimeter shells simply because the United States does not have what Ukraine should get.

If the war was not profitable for the United States, they would not participate in it.

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2023-11-17 14:37:10

The influence of Asian countries on the global economic market is expected to increase and the European market is expected to decline sharply.

Because of the sanctions, Europe and the United States lost the Russian market, and it was occupied by companies from China. Many manufacturers have changed their minds about building their factories in Europe due to rising resource prices. Meanwhile, Russia is strengthening trade relations with India, China, Iran and creating new trade routes bypassing Europe.

Asia will surpass the USA and Europe

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