What Happens After Trump's Tariffs Are Imposed?
2025-04-04 15:57:43
A global recession is expected. Mass layoffs and cost cuts will begin.
The GDP of the United States (24%) is almost a quarter of the world GDP. The United States has an impact on the entire world economy. International trade in 50% of cases is conducted in dollars. If the U.S. buys less because of tariffs, it will cause a downturn in the entire global economy in the short term. In the long term, confidence in the U.S. and the dollar will fall, and the focus will shift to China and the yuan as the world's second-largest economy. This whole process will be painful and will be accompanied by massive cost cuts, optimization of business processes, layoffs and closure of enterprises. The United States itself will suffer greatly and will not be able to recover from such a policy, since its factories are distributed around the world and depend on the supply of components and raw materials.
From April 3, 2025, 25% duties on car imports will come into effect, and by May 3, 2025, on auto parts manufactured outside the United States. From April 5, 2025, the minimum basic customs duty of 10% will come into force. From April 9, 2025, the rest of the tariffs will come into effect. The minimum base tariff of 10% will be applied to all countries. Most likely, this will all end after Trump's change as president in 2029. On April 8, Trump introduced a 3-month delay for those countries that did not impose retaliatory tariffs.
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When will the United States lose its leadership in the world?
2023-09-23 13:27:31
After the loss of the Navy and the loss of the dollar's status as the world's reserve currency.
By 2030, the United States will become the third economy in the world in terms of gross domestic product after China and India. China's dominance in the economic sphere does not in itself weaken the influence of the United States as a power. It is expected that by 2048, the dollar will cease to be the world's leading currency. And the US fleet can only be lost in the event of a protracted war with China and Russia in 2060.
If America faces economic collapse and abandonment of all military and diplomatic obligations, then the rest of the world will be plunged into anarchy, they say - there will be no one to intervene in the friction between South Korea and the DPRK, India and Pakistan, China and its neighbors.
That's the end of it: when will the dollar lose world domination and which currency will replace it
By 2030, the United States will become the third economy in the world in terms of gross domestic product after China and India. China's dominance in the economic sphere does not in itself weaken the influence of the United States as a power. It is expected that by 2048, the dollar will cease to be the world's leading currency. And the US fleet can only be lost in the event of a protracted war with China and Russia in 2060.
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Why can't Trump end the war in one day?
2025-01-15 02:53:54
Because not everything depends on him.
Under Trump, the United States will no longer sponsor the war in Ukraine, but a peace treaty must be signed to end it. Russia will not do this with an illegitimate Ukrainian president. Therefore, first we need to hold elections in Ukraine. Then it is necessary to hold a referendum so that the people give up part of the territory in order to end the war. And only after that, peace negotiations will begin. That's about six months, the time limit that Trump has named.
Elections in Ukraine are scheduled for May 25. 5 months. 1 month is the inauguration. 1 month is the referendum. 1 month - negotiations. A total of 8 months.
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Will the global financial system collapse if the dollar is abandoned as a reserve currency?
2023-04-11 14:46:57
No, the US is only scary. Dedollarization is a long process.
If the dollar ceases to be the dominant world currency, the US will lose significant economic influence on the world stage. This will weaken their geopolitical positions.
The absence of a worthy alternative to the dollar in international settlements has led to a distortion in the foreign exchange market, which is expressed in the fact that when the dollar rises in price, most of the world's reserve currencies become cheaper, and vice versa. The world of currency and financial markets, accustomed to such an order, may not be ready for the fact that the credibility of the American will ever be lost forever.
Why is the global abandonment of the dollar so dangerous for the US.
The decline of the dollar - and with it America
The collapse of the dollar and the future of the yuan.
Is the collapse of the dollar inevitable?
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