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What Happens After Trump's Tariffs Are Imposed?

Link Copy 2025-04-04 15:57:43

Prediction

A global recession is expected. Mass layoffs and cost cuts will begin.

Reason

The GDP of the United States (24%) is almost a quarter of the world GDP. The United States has an impact on the entire world economy. International trade in 50% of cases is conducted in dollars. If the U.S. buys less because of tariffs, it will cause a downturn in the entire global economy in the short term. In the long term, confidence in the U.S. and the dollar will fall, and the focus will shift to China and the yuan as the world's second-largest economy. This whole process will be painful and will be accompanied by massive cost cuts, optimization of business processes, layoffs and closure of enterprises. The United States itself will suffer greatly and will not be able to recover from such a policy, since its factories are distributed around the world and depend on the supply of components and raw materials.

A global recession is expected. Mass layoffs and cost cuts will begin.

From April 3, 2025, 25% duties on car imports will come into effect, and by May 3, 2025, on auto parts manufactured outside the United States. From April 5, 2025, the minimum basic customs duty of 10% will come into force. From April 9, 2025, the rest of the tariffs will come into effect. The minimum base tariff of 10% will be applied to all countries. Most likely, this will all end after Trump's change as president in 2029. On April 8, Trump introduced a 3-month delay for those countries that did not impose retaliatory tariffs.

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Comments 0

When will Kazakhstan lose its sovereignty?

Link Copy 2023-02-11 12:23:08

Prediction

In 2035

Reason

In 2035, Kazakhstan will not be able to pay off the national debt with China. China will demand land.

In 2035

According to the government's analytical report, there can be no problems until 2050. The national debt will amount to 32% of GDP.

References

Accuracy 20

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Will Trump be able to complete everything he has in mind?

Link Copy 2025-07-29 06:43:24

Prediction

No, he'll be killed by the end of his sentence.

Reason

There are people inside the country, the Trump government, the so-called shadow government. Trump wants to bring jobs back to the United States, and to do this, he needs to make the dollar weak in order to make it profitable to produce goods in the United States. There are too many interests in this. When Trump tries to regulate the Fed, he will be killed.

No, he'll be killed by the end of his sentence.

The shot in the ear was a warning

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Is Dmitry Medvedev's forecast for 2023 correct?

Link Copy 2022-12-30 04:42:35

Prediction

No

Reason

There are many flaws in the forecast. In 2024, elections in the United States will be held in November. Energy prices depend on many factors, such as supply and demand, availability and number of suppliers. For such prices to appear, someone must leave the energy market. Russia itself? All decisions in the European Union on accession are made for years and simply cannot be agreed in a year.

No

This is just a favorable forecast for Russia, which could still be believed if it were announced at least for 3 years. Also, the forecast does not specify Russia itself, as well as China.

References

Accuracy 20

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