What Happens After Trump's Tariffs Are Imposed?

2025-04-04 15:57:43

A global recession is expected. Mass layoffs and cost cuts will begin.

The GDP of the United States (24%) is almost a quarter of the world GDP. The United States has an impact on the entire world economy. International trade in 50% of cases is conducted in dollars. If the U.S. buys less because of tariffs, it will cause a downturn in the entire global economy in the short term. In the long term, confidence in the U.S. and the dollar will fall, and the focus will shift to China and the yuan as the world's second-largest economy. This whole process will be painful and will be accompanied by massive cost cuts, optimization of business processes, layoffs and closure of enterprises. The United States itself will suffer greatly and will not be able to recover from such a policy, since its factories are distributed around the world and depend on the supply of components and raw materials.

From April 3, 2025, 25% duties on car imports will come into effect, and by May 3, 2025, on auto parts manufactured outside the United States. From April 5, 2025, the minimum basic customs duty of 10% will come into force. From April 9, 2025, the rest of the tariffs will come into effect. The minimum base tariff of 10% will be applied to all countries. Most likely, this will all end after Trump's change as president in 2029. On April 8, Trump introduced a 3-month delay for those countries that did not impose retaliatory tariffs.

What will be the consequences of the war?

2024-06-19 07:49:13

Europe will be left without resources. The collapse of the EU. The loss of U.S. influence. The Beginning of China's Growth

After the collapse of the USSR, Europe gained access to Russian resources for a song, actually selling goods made from Russian resources to Russia. Now, if Russia wins, relations with Europe will deteriorate, it will not receive resources, and China has already received the Russian market at no cost, European companies themselves left it without a fight. In addition, Europe will have to rebuild Ukraine, because it was Europe and the United States that pushed it to war. Many people in the EU will not like it, and they will start leaving the European Union. Becoming poorer, Europe will buy fewer goods, including American ones. Russia will begin to recover at the expense of the former Soviet republics. China will grow.

If Russia loses, it will be plundered.

What will the US attack on Iran lead to?

2026-03-24 15:45:08

Either the assassination of the US president or his impeachment

The main mistake of the US leadership with Iran is the belief in a quick victory, impunity and minimal consequences. A ground operation is currently being prepared, which will not be able to stabilize oil prices and improve the situation in world trade, since Iran has other levers of pressure. The only option is to negotiate, compensate for the damage, punish all those involved, and guarantee security, but the current president will not do this, and any other actions will only lead to an escalation of the conflict and a deterioration in global trade. Therefore, the easiest way to remove the US president is to negotiate without him. And the president will be removed in exactly the same ways that were applied to the president of Venezuela and the leadership of Iran.

Trump himself has shown how you need to work to achieve your goals.

Why is the war in Ukraine not ending?

2025-11-01 03:50:32

Ukraine has been pumped with weapons and money again. The Russian military reported to the president that they will be able to capture Donbass by September, which means that there will be no negotiations until 2027.

Possible scenarios for the end of the war 1. Military exhaustion of one or both sides. 2. Political change is a change of government or an external course in one of the countries. 3. An agreement mediated by third countries, if both sides consider it beneficial. 4. Frozen conflict - cessation of active hostilities without final peace. 5. Victory in the war. Russia - if it starts mass mobilization and mass offensives. Ukraine - if the West starts fighting for it. Currently, the West (the United States, the EU, and NATO) supports Ukraine with weapons, intelligence, and finances, but it is not fighting for it.

The United States will not be able to influence the conclusion of peace