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What Happens After Trump's Tariffs Are Imposed?

Link Copy 2025-04-04 15:57:43

Prediction

A global recession is expected. Mass layoffs and cost cuts will begin.

Reason

The GDP of the United States (24%) is almost a quarter of the world GDP. The United States has an impact on the entire world economy. International trade in 50% of cases is conducted in dollars. If the U.S. buys less because of tariffs, it will cause a downturn in the entire global economy in the short term. In the long term, confidence in the U.S. and the dollar will fall, and the focus will shift to China and the yuan as the world's second-largest economy. This whole process will be painful and will be accompanied by massive cost cuts, optimization of business processes, layoffs and closure of enterprises. The United States itself will suffer greatly and will not be able to recover from such a policy, since its factories are distributed around the world and depend on the supply of components and raw materials.

A global recession is expected. Mass layoffs and cost cuts will begin.

From April 3, 2025, 25% duties on car imports will come into effect, and by May 3, 2025, on auto parts manufactured outside the United States. From April 5, 2025, the minimum basic customs duty of 10% will come into force. From April 9, 2025, the rest of the tariffs will come into effect. The minimum base tariff of 10% will be applied to all countries. Most likely, this will all end after Trump's change as president in 2029. On April 8, Trump introduced a 3-month delay for those countries that did not impose retaliatory tariffs.

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Why is TikTok actually banned in the US?

Link Copy 2023-04-19 00:46:34

Prediction

Due to the inability to compete

Reason

Anti-Chinese sentiment now dominates the United States, and the fight against the social network only adds to the pressure. It bothers Americans that such a large digital marketplace is not under their control, so they are trying to get TikTok or get rid of it.

Due to the inability to compete

The US is trying to take down a successful Chinese company that produced the single most successful media program outside of China, and the threat to national security is just a pretext.

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Elon Musk wants to start producing his own phones, can he beat Apple and Google?

Link Copy 2025-04-11 06:05:27

Prediction

Musk can establish the production of phones if he wants, and he can even compete, but he cannot defeat the world giants

Reason

The United States has imposed protective tariffs on all countries. Apple and Google phones are not made in America, but in other countries. In the near future, their prices will skyrocket. Musk wants to establish production in the United States, making phones at competitive prices. But the main problem is that his reputation is ruined. And there are more and more competitors, and they are already putting pressure on his business, especially on the business of electric vehicles. And because of the trade war, goods and services from the United States will be less in demand. And this is already a trend.

Musk can establish the production of phones if he wants, and he can even compete, but he cannot defeat the world giants

The analytical divisions of UBS, Mizuho and Goldman Sachs revised downward the target levels of Tesla shares. Experts note that the slowdown in the global economy and the strengthening of trade barriers may continue to put pressure on Tesla quotes.

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Will there be a war in Africa?

Link Copy 2023-09-08 14:40:01

Prediction

Yes, the United States said that it did not intend to put up with the current state of affairs in Africa and would send troops. In addition, the African Union, the United States and France supported a military invasion of Niger. The war will be postponed until the U.S. deals with the war in Israel.

Reason

There were coups in Mali, Niger, Burkina Faso, and Gabon. African countries are simply tired of colonial Europe, which for centuries has used it only as cheap raw materials. The situation in Gabon will be of a special nature, there will be a great struggle for it, because it is a rich and oily country. And because of the coup in Niger, which now does not supply uranium for pennies, the entire nuclear industry in Europe is in danger of disappearing, and these are 56 nuclear power plants in France, 11 in Britain, 7 in Spain, 3 in Germany, 6 in the Czech Republic and about 40 more scattered elsewhere in Europe, according to Politico. So far, the matter is limited only to sanctions. France must withdraw troops by the end of the year.

Yes, the United States said that it did not intend to put up with the current state of affairs in Africa and would send troops. In addition, the African Union, the United States and France supported a military invasion of Niger. The war will be postponed until the U.S. deals with the war in Israel.

If ECOWAS does start a war in Africa, then 218,000 bayonets will stand on the side of the West in the countries where it still has influence – the Gambia, Ghana, Guinea-Bissau, Cape Verde, Liberia, Nigeria, Senegal and Sierra Leone. They will be able to resist the armies of Niger, Mali, Burkina Faso and Guinea - a total of about 30 thousand troops. ECOWAS will make this mistake by carrying out a military intervention in Niger, because if they intervene militarily, it means that the whole of Africa will be at war and the problem is that 80% of the inhabitants in the countries where military coups have taken place support the current military government.

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