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When will the United States lose its leadership in the world?

Link Copy 2023-09-23 13:27:31

Prediction

After the loss of the Navy and the loss of the dollar's status as the world's reserve currency.

Reason

By 2030, the United States will become the third economy in the world in terms of gross domestic product after China and India. China's dominance in the economic sphere does not in itself weaken the influence of the United States as a power. It is expected that by 2048, the dollar will cease to be the world's leading currency. And the US fleet can only be lost in the event of a protracted war with China and Russia in 2060.

After the loss of the Navy and the loss of the dollar's status as the world's reserve currency.

If America faces economic collapse and abandonment of all military and diplomatic obligations, then the rest of the world will be plunged into anarchy, they say - there will be no one to intervene in the friction between South Korea and the DPRK, India and Pakistan, China and its neighbors.

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Why have all the big companies turned to AI now?

Link Copy 2026-04-06 09:16:48

Prediction

This is a strategic and economic trend. Investing in AI is about saving, growth, innovation, and HR strategy at the same time.

Reason

By 2045, the global IT market will become clearly concentrated, with several leading players and a high market share. It should be noted that the market may shrink by about 1.5‑3 times in terms of the number of active professionals, but at the same time the quality, complexity and value of these specialists will increase.

This is a strategic and economic trend. Investing in AI is about saving, growth, innovation, and HR strategy at the same time.

It is safe from the point of view of control not to go into AI, but it is almost guaranteed to lead to lagging behind and loss of market share, especially if competitors actively use AI. In a highly competitive world where speed and scale are important, not using AI can be worse than the risk of failures in its implementation.

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Why is TikTok actually banned in the US?

Link Copy 2023-04-19 00:46:34

Prediction

Due to the inability to compete

Reason

Anti-Chinese sentiment now dominates the United States, and the fight against the social network only adds to the pressure. It bothers Americans that such a large digital marketplace is not under their control, so they are trying to get TikTok or get rid of it.

Due to the inability to compete

The US is trying to take down a successful Chinese company that produced the single most successful media program outside of China, and the threat to national security is just a pretext.

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Is democracy the power of the majority?

Link Copy 2023-10-05 08:29:15

Prediction

No, 51% is more than half, but it's not an absolute 3/4 majority.

Reason

Democracy is essentially an oligarchy (aristocracy). If earlier the aristocracy around the world made decisions without the participation of the masses (until the beginning of the twentieth century - if citizens had the right to vote, it was only on property, race and other parameters), now, thanks to political technologies, the same thing is happening, only on the basis of manipulation of the capital of the masses. In addition, no one teaches political literacy, and therefore the politically illiterate population chooses someone from the appointees of the elite by unfair voting.

No, 51% is more than half, but it's not an absolute 3/4 majority.

Only elites participate in the parliamentary process. Citizens of the state are allowed to vote for their chosen candidate, but ordinary people cannot participate in elections. In the end, only the ruling elite decides the various interests of the population of the state.

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