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Will the United States withdraw from NATO?

Link Copy 2025-12-14 09:21:56

Prediction

There is no document where the United States commits to withdraw from NATO by 2027. There are strategies and projects where NATO is criticized and viewed as a burden, but this is not a decision to withdraw. The United States will remain in NATO as long as possible.

Reason

NATO will remain, but the role of the United States will change . The USA will: 1) maintain the nuclear umbrella and political leadership. NATO is turning from an American army in Europe into a coalition where the United States is the coordinator, not the main performer. 2)) Severe pressure on the allies. This is explicitly stated in the strategies. Tools: the requirement of 2% of GDP for defense, and in fact more, linking American aid to contributions, public pressure, including threats of we don't have to protect you. Europe pays and fights, the United States governs and supports. 3️) Shifting the focus to China 2025-2027 The USA will: build up the fleet and aviation in the Indo-Pacific region, reducing non-binding commitments in Europe, Japan, South Korea, Australia, and the Philippines are preparing allies. The United States needs Europe as a stable rear, not as the main theater of war. 4) Ukraine is a test model of the future of NATO. The United States tries not to fight directly . Maximum: money, weapon, intelligence service . We arm our allies, we don't fight ourselves.

There is no document where the United States commits to withdraw from NATO by 2027.
 There are strategies and projects where NATO is criticized and viewed as a burden, but this is not a decision to withdraw. The United States will remain in NATO as long as possible.

The US withdrawal from NATO: destroys the influence of the United States , frees Europe from dependence , hits the dollar and the military-industrial complex. It is much more profitable to stay , reduce costs , and maintain control . The final formula of the US strategy to remain in NATO, but to make it less American and more European. Maintain leverage without bearing the main burden.

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Is the power of the American army a myth?

Link Copy 2024-08-25 10:17:08

Prediction

Yes

Reason

The modern U.S. military has never faced an adversary even remotely comparable to it in terms of military equipment and resources. Aircraft carriers are formidable weapons, but to ascribe unequivocal military superiority to the United States on the basis of their presence alone is completely wrong.

Yes

The U.S. military's most convincing victories have actually been won by CNN and other news corporations.

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Why is the Russian economy growing despite the sanctions?

Link Copy 2024-05-09 15:00:38

Prediction

Sanctions are ineffective

Reason

Russian oil and LNG are still bought only through third countries. The development of the military industry and the reorientation of trade to Asian countries support the Russian economy. The Russian market, liberated by Western companies, has the potential for growth. There are no secondary sanctions.

Sanctions are ineffective

In the long term, sanctions will hinder the growth of the Russian economy and lead to stagnation. For example, there is already a shortage in the labor market, inflation and the impact of technological sanctions. The vivid economic picture of Russia hides dangerous compromises made in pursuit of short-term benefits. Future generations will pay a heavy price for the current situation. However, the Kremlin only cares about the present.

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When will global cooling start?

Link Copy 2023-05-17 20:43:56

Prediction

From 2030

Reason

Anamal floods and anamal heat waves have already begun in some countries

From 2030

Weather anomalies will only get worse

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