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Will the United States withdraw from NATO?

Link Copy 2025-12-14 09:21:56

Prediction

There is no document where the United States commits to withdraw from NATO by 2027. There are strategies and projects where NATO is criticized and viewed as a burden, but this is not a decision to withdraw. The United States will remain in NATO as long as possible.

Reason

NATO will remain, but the role of the United States will change . The USA will: 1) maintain the nuclear umbrella and political leadership. NATO is turning from an American army in Europe into a coalition where the United States is the coordinator, not the main performer. 2)) Severe pressure on the allies. This is explicitly stated in the strategies. Tools: the requirement of 2% of GDP for defense, and in fact more, linking American aid to contributions, public pressure, including threats of we don't have to protect you. Europe pays and fights, the United States governs and supports. 3️) Shifting the focus to China 2025-2027 The USA will: build up the fleet and aviation in the Indo-Pacific region, reducing non-binding commitments in Europe, Japan, South Korea, Australia, and the Philippines are preparing allies. The United States needs Europe as a stable rear, not as the main theater of war. 4) Ukraine is a test model of the future of NATO. The United States tries not to fight directly . Maximum: money, weapon, intelligence service . We arm our allies, we don't fight ourselves.

There is no document where the United States commits to withdraw from NATO by 2027.
 There are strategies and projects where NATO is criticized and viewed as a burden, but this is not a decision to withdraw. The United States will remain in NATO as long as possible.

The US withdrawal from NATO: destroys the influence of the United States , frees Europe from dependence , hits the dollar and the military-industrial complex. It is much more profitable to stay , reduce costs , and maintain control . The final formula of the US strategy to remain in NATO, but to make it less American and more European. Maintain leverage without bearing the main burden.

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What will happen at the BRICS meeting?

Link Copy 2023-06-13 08:15:07

Prediction

Expansion and increase in the share of the NDB

Reason

The BRICS Bank intends to finance more projects in national currencies to strengthen the local market and protect borrowers from the risk of currency fluctuations. Currently, the share of relevant projects in national currency in the bank's total project portfolio is about 22%, the NBR president said, adding that the bank intends to increase this figure to 30%. Currently, five BRICS countries are members of the EBRD, as well as Bangladesh, the United Arab Emirates and Egypt. Uruguay is already in the process of joining.

Expansion and increase in the share of the NDB

The BRICS summit will be followed by a powerful geopolitical shock wave for which the world will not be ready. The Western world will not be ready.

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What will be the consequences of the deal between Intel and Qualcomm?

Link Copy 2024-09-26 14:37:08

Prediction

The deplorable, desktop x64 processors will be destroyed, and only Arm will remain.

Reason

Even if Intel's management agrees, it will take several years for international regulators to approve the deal, and eventually Qualcomm itself will sink to the bottom.

The deplorable, desktop x64 processors will be destroyed, and only Arm will remain.

Intel is in a financial hole - in the first quarter of 2023, it posted a record net loss of almost $3 billion, and in the second quarter of 2024, it tried to repeat this achievement, bringing its net debt to $1.61 billion.

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Why is Putin running for president for 3 consecutive terms, despite the constitutional ban for 2 consecutive terms?

Link Copy 2023-12-11 00:37:24

Prediction

After the amendments to the Constitution of Russia, the number of terms was reset. President Vladimir Putin has ensured that he can remain in power until 2036.

Reason

President Putin signed a law allowing him to run for two more presidential terms and rule Russia until 2036. The document was published on April 5, 2021 on the official portal of legal information and entered into force from the date of publication. Putin explained the changes in the constitution by the requirements of the time. In particular, the new basic law opened up the possibility of amending paragraph 5.1 of the law on presidential elections. Thus, the counter of Putin's presidential terms is canceled, and the main goal of the amendments is considered achieved.

After the amendments to the Constitution of Russia, the number of terms was reset. President Vladimir Putin has ensured that he can remain in power until 2036.

Putin will win the election with 74.9% of the vote.

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