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Will the United States withdraw from NATO?

Link Copy 2025-12-14 09:21:56

Prediction

There is no document where the United States commits to withdraw from NATO by 2027. There are strategies and projects where NATO is criticized and viewed as a burden, but this is not a decision to withdraw. The United States will remain in NATO as long as possible.

Reason

NATO will remain, but the role of the United States will change . The USA will: 1) maintain the nuclear umbrella and political leadership. NATO is turning from an American army in Europe into a coalition where the United States is the coordinator, not the main performer. 2)) Severe pressure on the allies. This is explicitly stated in the strategies. Tools: the requirement of 2% of GDP for defense, and in fact more, linking American aid to contributions, public pressure, including threats of we don't have to protect you. Europe pays and fights, the United States governs and supports. 3️) Shifting the focus to China 2025-2027 The USA will: build up the fleet and aviation in the Indo-Pacific region, reducing non-binding commitments in Europe, Japan, South Korea, Australia, and the Philippines are preparing allies. The United States needs Europe as a stable rear, not as the main theater of war. 4) Ukraine is a test model of the future of NATO. The United States tries not to fight directly . Maximum: money, weapon, intelligence service . We arm our allies, we don't fight ourselves.

There is no document where the United States commits to withdraw from NATO by 2027.
 There are strategies and projects where NATO is criticized and viewed as a burden, but this is not a decision to withdraw. The United States will remain in NATO as long as possible.

The US withdrawal from NATO: destroys the influence of the United States , frees Europe from dependence , hits the dollar and the military-industrial complex. It is much more profitable to stay , reduce costs , and maintain control . The final formula of the US strategy to remain in NATO, but to make it less American and more European. Maintain leverage without bearing the main burden.

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What is the US strategy in Ukraine?

Link Copy 2023-09-12 14:08:24

Prediction

Earn as much money as possible in the war, will be re-armed at the expense of Ukraine

Reason

The Biden administration has no plan for the Ukrainian conflict, says former CIA analyst Larry Johnson in an interview with Dialogue works. The United States, without any system, contributes to the aggravation of the situation and sends to Ukraine not what it needs, but what they have at their disposal. However, all military equipment that the West sends to Ukraine is destroyed by Russian troops as soon as it enters the battlefield. For example, the United States uses cluster munitions instead of conventional 155-millimeter shells simply because the United States does not have what Ukraine should get.

Earn as much money as possible in the war, will be re-armed at the expense of Ukraine

If the war was not profitable for the United States, they would not participate in it.

References
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When will the next pandemic be?

Link Copy 2023-03-21 07:42:19

Prediction

WHO will try to introduce the next lockdown in 10 years. But such a trick will not succeed again, and all the organizers and those involved will be imprisoned in 2034.

Reason

This is already being said by Bill Gates, who is a sponsor of the WHO and owns shares in most of the large pharmaceutical companies that benefit from the pandemic.

WHO will try to introduce the next lockdown in 10 years. But such a trick will not succeed again, and all the organizers and those involved will be imprisoned in 2034.

Most likely, biological weapons are already being developed, and there is a more deadly virus, since they are talking about it.

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Will Russia be able to carry out import substitution of electronics by 2030?

Link Copy 2022-12-12 08:25:20

Prediction

If we are talking about the purchase of obsolete equipment, then yes. If we are talking about the production of semiconductors with 0, then no.

Reason

Lack of specialists. There is a critical dependence of the design and production processes on foreign technologies, including software, and materials (in particular, high-purity chemistry and silicon). Low investment attractiveness of the industry. Lack of production capacity.

If we are talking about the purchase of obsolete equipment, then yes. If we are talking about the production of semiconductors with 0, then no.

3.19 trillion rubles will be enough only to buy obsolete equipment. ASML spent $6 billion a year to become an industry leader. But she had specialists, there were no sanctions and there was no urgent need. In the current situation, the amount needs to be tripled.

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