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Why are so many wars happening right now?

Link Copy 2026-03-14 15:04:30

Prediction

Because of the recession, because of the expectation of quick victories, because of ambitions

Reason

Sometimes war is used to distract from internal problems. The struggle for resources (oil, gas, water, rare metals) intensifies. This is especially noticeable in regions with unstable politics. Very often wars begin when a country's leadership believes that victory will be quick and cheap. For example, Russia-Ukraine. Sometimes countries start a war when they believe the international situation is favorable to them. Like the USA-Iran or USA-Venezuela. Regional conflicts and escalation. Like India-Pakistan, Israel-Gaza Strip, Cambodian-Thai conflict, Afghan-Pakistani war.

Because of the recession, because of the expectation of quick victories, because of ambitions

After the end of the Cold War in 1991, the world became less predictable. Previously, two superpowers — the United States of America and the Soviet Union — restrained each other. Now several centers of power are emerging: China, Russia, the USA, regional powers like Iran and Turkey. When forces are distributed among many players, there are usually more conflicts.

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How will Russia respond to attacks with long-range Western weapons?

Link Copy 2024-06-12 14:52:34

Prediction

Russia will supply weapons to the enemies of the West

Reason

The President of Russia stated that if Ukraine is allowed to strike Russian territory with Western long-range weapons, Russia will respond in kind: it will supply its own long-range weapons to the forces that strike the countries that allowed the attacks. The Kremlin does not name specific countries.

Russia will supply weapons to the enemies of the West

Russia cannot directly attack Western countries because it would lead to World War III. Russia's choice of countries is limited: Iran, North Korea, Venezuela, Cuba, and African countries. The first targets for the use of this weapon will be ships and a possible blockade of sea routes.

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Will there be a truce between Ukraine and Russia?

Link Copy 2025-09-06 16:01:31

Prediction

A truce is expected in November 2025.

Reason

The situation is not in favor of Russia. There is no significant success in the offensive of the troops, the country is being bombed unhindered, the last partners are on the verge of breaking off relations, an economic and gasoline crisis is brewing, and money is running out. Therefore, there is a high probability of peace and that Russia will make concessions.

A truce is expected in November 2025.

Russia still has the resources for war, but the situation is getting worse. If the truce does not happen before the winter of 2025, there will be very heavy fighting and a very difficult winter for Russia. Ukraine now has long-range missiles and will bomb Russian energy infrastructure.

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When will the offensive of Ukraine to Russia?

Link Copy 2023-05-01 09:46:44

Prediction

May 9, 2023

Reason

Ukraine has been announcing an offensive for a long time. April-May is the best time to attack.

May 9, 2023

Attempts to intensify hostilities on the part of Ukraine have been and will be, otherwise the Western elites cannot justify spending gigantic funds on its armament.

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