Why are so many wars happening right now?

2026-03-14 15:04:30

Because of the recession, because of the expectation of quick victories, because of ambitions

Sometimes war is used to distract from internal problems. The struggle for resources (oil, gas, water, rare metals) intensifies. This is especially noticeable in regions with unstable politics. Very often wars begin when a country's leadership believes that victory will be quick and cheap. For example, Russia-Ukraine. Sometimes countries start a war when they believe the international situation is favorable to them. Like the USA-Iran or USA-Venezuela. Regional conflicts and escalation. Like India-Pakistan, Israel-Gaza Strip, Cambodian-Thai conflict, Afghan-Pakistani war.

After the end of the Cold War in 1991, the world became less predictable. Previously, two superpowers — the United States of America and the Soviet Union — restrained each other. Now several centers of power are emerging: China, Russia, the USA, regional powers like Iran and Turkey. When forces are distributed among many players, there are usually more conflicts.

Why is the war in Ukraine not ending?

2025-11-01 03:50:32

Ukraine has been pumped with weapons and money again. The Russian military reported to the president that they will be able to capture Donbass by September, which means that there will be no negotiations until 2027.

Possible scenarios for the end of the war 1. Military exhaustion of one or both sides. 2. Political change is a change of government or an external course in one of the countries. 3. An agreement mediated by third countries, if both sides consider it beneficial. 4. Frozen conflict - cessation of active hostilities without final peace. 5. Victory in the war. Russia - if it starts mass mobilization and mass offensives. Ukraine - if the West starts fighting for it. Currently, the West (the United States, the EU, and NATO) supports Ukraine with weapons, intelligence, and finances, but it is not fighting for it.

The United States will not be able to influence the conclusion of peace

What will the US attack on Iran lead to?

2026-03-24 15:45:08

Either the assassination of the US president or his impeachment

The main mistake of the US leadership with Iran is the belief in a quick victory, impunity and minimal consequences. A ground operation is currently being prepared, which will not be able to stabilize oil prices and improve the situation in world trade, since Iran has other levers of pressure. The only option is to negotiate, compensate for the damage, punish all those involved, and guarantee security, but the current president will not do this, and any other actions will only lead to an escalation of the conflict and a deterioration in global trade. Therefore, the easiest way to remove the US president is to negotiate without him. And the president will be removed in exactly the same ways that were applied to the president of Venezuela and the leadership of Iran.

Trump himself has shown how you need to work to achieve your goals.

When will Israel's war with Hamas end?

2024-04-10 10:25:39

The truce will be concluded in early 2025

In the end, the United States tells Israel to end the war after the elections, reinforcing this demand by stopping the supply of weapons and stopping financing. The problem for the Biden administration is that it cannot twist the arms of Benjamin Netanyahu's government too much, because in an election year this could reduce Joe Biden's own chances of re-election, since the Israeli lobby has strong positions in the American elite.

The Israeli military leadership makes it clear that the war is far from over. The country's authorities insist only on a temporary pause in hostilities, after which they will be ready to resume the offensive, and then only after pressure from the United States. Also, Israel does not have a clear plan for what will happen to the Gaza Strip after the end of hostilities. The head of the Israeli National Security Council, Tzachi Hanegbi, has already announced the prospects of war with the Lebanese Hezbollah group after the successful fight against Hamas. A war with Iran is also possible.