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Why are so many wars happening right now?

Link Copy 2026-03-14 15:04:30

Prediction

Because of the recession, because of the expectation of quick victories, because of ambitions

Reason

Sometimes war is used to distract from internal problems. The struggle for resources (oil, gas, water, rare metals) intensifies. This is especially noticeable in regions with unstable politics. Very often wars begin when a country's leadership believes that victory will be quick and cheap. For example, Russia-Ukraine. Sometimes countries start a war when they believe the international situation is favorable to them. Like the USA-Iran or USA-Venezuela. Regional conflicts and escalation. Like India-Pakistan, Israel-Gaza Strip, Cambodian-Thai conflict, Afghan-Pakistani war.

Because of the recession, because of the expectation of quick victories, because of ambitions

After the end of the Cold War in 1991, the world became less predictable. Previously, two superpowers — the United States of America and the Soviet Union — restrained each other. Now several centers of power are emerging: China, Russia, the USA, regional powers like Iran and Turkey. When forces are distributed among many players, there are usually more conflicts.

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What is Trump's plan to end the war in Ukraine really?

Link Copy 2024-11-09 13:49:13

Prediction

Freezing the conflict for 20 years

Reason

Trump's advisers are considering a plan to end the conflict between Moscow and Kiev, which involves freezing the front line, creating a demilitarized zone and abandoning Ukraine's bid to join NATO for 20 years in exchange for continued arms supplies. Trump intends to put pressure on Ukraine and Russia in the form of an ultimatum. Two of Trump's military advisers have offered to force Ukraine into peace talks, threatening to cut off arms supplies. At the same time, they said that Russia's refusal to negotiate would lead to increased support for Ukraine from the United States. A plan to resolve the conflict will be presented after the inauguration on January 20. In the meantime, Trump is considering various options presented by his advisers.

Freezing the conflict for 20 years

The problem will not be solved, but postponed for 20 years in order to restore and arm Ukraine. Signing peace on such terms is unacceptable for Russia.

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When will the offensive of Ukraine to Russia?

Link Copy 2023-05-01 09:46:44

Prediction

May 9, 2023

Reason

Ukraine has been announcing an offensive for a long time. April-May is the best time to attack.

May 9, 2023

Attempts to intensify hostilities on the part of Ukraine have been and will be, otherwise the Western elites cannot justify spending gigantic funds on its armament.

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How will the distribution of world religions change in the future?

Link Copy 2023-04-26 13:44:59

Prediction

Until 2060, Christians will remain the largest religious group. By 2060, Islam will become the main world religion that will take the place of Christianity. 3.23 billion Muslims and 2.99 billion Christians.

Reason

The main reason for the rapid growth of Muslims is a high birth rate, and not the departure of people in Islam. Moreover, the main driver of this process will not be the countries of the Middle East, but ... India and the USA. India - due to the rapid general increase in the population, America - due to mass immigration. The number of Buddhists of the world is expected to remain approximately at the same level due to a low birth rate and aging of the population in countries such as China, Thailand and Japan.

Until 2060, Christians will remain the largest religious group. By 2060, Islam will become the main world religion that will take the place of Christianity. 3.23 billion Muslims and 2.99 billion Christians.

This is just a forecast based on current demographic trends. In the future, various kinds of scientific and technological revolutions may occur, which will affect the worldview of people in a completely different way. It also does not take into account the consequences of wars taking place on the planet. If we take into account the consequences of wars, then Hinduism will come in second place.

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