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What is the forecast for SpaceX?

Link Copy 2026-06-21 10:45:15

Prediction

There will be growth in year 6, but by 2027 it will disappoint investors.

Reason

At the peak of IPOs and the euphoria of artificial intelligence, the market often ignores the bad news. Investors are buying stories about the future: robotaxi, AGI, Mars, revolution in transportation. Revenues and margins fade into the background. In 2027, everything will change. The company simply has nowhere to make a profit. This is not a Tesla that could share technology for money and achieve payback thanks to the introduced zero-emission laws. Nobody needs space. Starlink will not be able to cover the losses. Grok is lagging behind in the development of artificial intelligence and will not catch up with competitors in the near future. In 2025, Tesla's global shipments decreased by about 9% year-on-year, and the company lost leadership in electric vehicle sales to China's BYD, and according to Tesla reports, it continued to gradually lose market share in Q1 2026 as the overall electric vehicle market grows faster and competitors become more aggressive. Tesla's autopilot is inferior to Waymo in terms of real driverless autonomy. The Optimus robot still does not know how to work stably in the “real world without control.”

There will be growth in year 6, but by 2027 it will disappoint investors.

For a SpaceX shareholder, the question is as follows: Will Grok be better than ChatGPT and Claude? This may turn out to be almost as important as the question Will Starship be able to fly to Mars?. And 2027 will be the year of verification: is Grok making money? Is Starlink growing as fast as promised? Does Starship have any commercial success? Is the estimate of trillions of dollars justified?

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What are the causes of modern wars?

Link Copy 2023-11-01 01:54:16

Prediction

Economic interest, resources, territory

Reason

There may be other reasons, but whatever they may be, there is always an economic interest in all wars, even if the parties to the conflict talk about other, more noble reasons.

Economic interest, resources, territory

Throughout history, there have been wars on the territory of different states, but at the moment the development of technology has reached such a level that war leads to the largest human and economic losses in history.

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What is the future of Iran?

Link Copy 2023-05-04 12:53:17

Prediction

Water shortage, war with Israel, going nuclear

Reason

Iran has asked Russia for help in developing its nuclear program, which, according to the West, is aimed at creating nuclear weapons. To prevent Iran from obtaining nuclear weapons in the first place should be the joint efforts of the United States and Israel. At the moment, out of 304 cities in Iran facing a water crisis, 101 cities are in the red zone - experiencing severe water shortages.

Water shortage, war with Israel, going nuclear

With a nuclear weapon, Iran will become more aggressive, US allies in the Middle East, sensing a real threat, will be forced to get along with Tehran, the ability of the United States to promote and protect its interests in the region will be weakened.

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Why do some religions forbid eating pork?

Link Copy 2023-04-20 14:09:41

Prediction

Muslims and Jews have a religious ban on eating pork. Both religions were formed in hot countries, where such perishable and dirty meat as pork is dangerous for human health.

Reason

It is known that pigs are omnivorous - they are able to digest everything they find: from carrion to their own excrement. The animals themselves do not suffer from this, but for humans, the toxins accumulating in pork are a real poison. The sages of the past came up with the idea that it is much easier and faster to convince your loved ones that a pig is almost a fiend of hell than to explain that this meat can be dangerous to health. There is another reason - pig farming requires a lot of fresh water, and the Middle East is an arid place. Breeding pigs turns out to be unprofitable.

Muslims and Jews have a religious ban on eating pork. Both religions were formed in hot countries, where such perishable and dirty meat as pork is dangerous for human health.

But initially, God's instructions about food did not contain any prohibitions. Everything that moves that lives will be your food

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