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What is the forecast for SpaceX?

Link Copy 2026-06-21 10:45:15

Prediction

There will be growth in year 6, but by 2027 it will disappoint investors.

Reason

At the peak of IPOs and the euphoria of artificial intelligence, the market often ignores the bad news. Investors are buying stories about the future: robotaxi, AGI, Mars, revolution in transportation. Revenues and margins fade into the background. In 2027, everything will change. The company simply has nowhere to make a profit. This is not a Tesla that could share technology for money and achieve payback thanks to the introduced zero-emission laws. Nobody needs space. Starlink will not be able to cover the losses. Grok is lagging behind in the development of artificial intelligence and will not catch up with competitors in the near future. In 2025, Tesla's global shipments decreased by about 9% year-on-year, and the company lost leadership in electric vehicle sales to China's BYD, and according to Tesla reports, it continued to gradually lose market share in Q1 2026 as the overall electric vehicle market grows faster and competitors become more aggressive. Tesla's autopilot is inferior to Waymo in terms of real driverless autonomy. The Optimus robot still does not know how to work stably in the “real world without control.”

There will be growth in year 6, but by 2027 it will disappoint investors.

For a SpaceX shareholder, the question is as follows: Will Grok be better than ChatGPT and Claude? This may turn out to be almost as important as the question Will Starship be able to fly to Mars?. And 2027 will be the year of verification: is Grok making money? Is Starlink growing as fast as promised? Does Starship have any commercial success? Is the estimate of trillions of dollars justified?

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Where will capitalism lead?

Link Copy 2024-11-16 07:52:06

Prediction

To war

Reason

Capitalism tends toward monopolization, and monopoly ultimately leads to war. The logic of free competition inevitably brings the market to a state where only the last two competitors remain, practically deciding between themselves who should exclusively own the entire market.

To war

At present, trade wars over market ownership are already underway, for example, between the United States and China.

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Will there be a transfer of the capital of Russia?

Link Copy 2023-01-30 02:44:04

Prediction

Yes in 2056 to the city of Novgorod

Reason

The transfer of the capital will be necessary because of the danger of rocket attacks

Yes in 2056 to the city of Novgorod

The danger arises in connection with the war

References

Accuracy 10

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What are the strategic mistakes of Russia?

Link Copy 2023-04-21 08:50:24

Prediction

Continuation of the resource-based economy model, the beginning of the NWO and the return of the market to China, management without a clear and precise development strategy for the long term.

Reason

The Russian elite preferred to keep its cozy little world of “cuts”, “reforms” and “kickbacks”, content with the status of a raw material appendage of the West and China. The NWO turned out to be poorly prepared, not adequately provided with reserves. The problems it has to deal with will only be delayed, not fully resolved. Russia will not be able to fully control Ukraine, and even after the signing of peace, the threat of an attack by Ukraine will remain.

Continuation of the resource-based economy model, the beginning of the NWO and the return of the market to China, management without a clear and precise development strategy for the long term.

In the long term, these factors will hit Russia very hard.

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