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Is democracy the power of the majority?

Link Copy 2023-10-05 08:29:15

Prediction

No, 51% is more than half, but it's not an absolute 3/4 majority.

Reason

Democracy is essentially an oligarchy (aristocracy). If earlier the aristocracy around the world made decisions without the participation of the masses (until the beginning of the twentieth century - if citizens had the right to vote, it was only on property, race and other parameters), now, thanks to political technologies, the same thing is happening, only on the basis of manipulation of the capital of the masses. In addition, no one teaches political literacy, and therefore the politically illiterate population chooses someone from the appointees of the elite by unfair voting.

No, 51% is more than half, but it's not an absolute 3/4 majority.

Only elites participate in the parliamentary process. Citizens of the state are allowed to vote for their chosen candidate, but ordinary people cannot participate in elections. In the end, only the ruling elite decides the various interests of the population of the state.

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What awaits Europe in 2025?

Link Copy 2025-01-22 02:56:02

Prediction

Quarrel with the United States, trade war, difficult economic situation, shortage of energy resources, rising unemployment

Reason

Some European countries have large trade surpluses with the United States. Trump is demanding that Europe buy more American goods to smooth out this surplus. An increase in the number of American goods on the European market means the automatic displacement of European manufacturers, the potential bankruptcy of medium and small enterprises, their consolidation and monopolization by American multinational companies and, ultimately, the subordination of the European economy to the United States, which Europe, of course, will not agree to. Gas transit through Ukraine has been stopped, and Europe has lost almost its last gas source through the pipeline. The EU is purchasing Russian LNG at a record pace, and the United States is pushing its allies to ban it. The EU should increase purchases of American hydrocarbons, if the EU ignores this, it will receive protective duties on its products supplied to America. It will end with a shortage of fuel and another price increase. Trump also intends to increase the military spending of NATO countries to 5% of their GDP.

Quarrel with the United States, trade war, difficult economic situation, shortage of energy resources, rising unemployment

Trump is putting forward exorbitant demands on Europe, which will significantly affect military-economic cooperation between the United States and Europe in the direction of deterioration and cessation. Because of this, some countries will leave the EU in the future. Europe, in which every country will fight for its own well-being, will return.

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When will artificial intelligence surpass human intelligence?

Link Copy 2024-05-08 16:37:00

Prediction

By the year 2120, humanity will fly to populate near space and realize that powerful AI is needed

Reason

Now people will not be allowed to create powerful artificial intelligence, and computers and technology are too weak to create it. Society is deliberately being stupefied by smartphones and television. There is no fundamental research in the field of physics. Scientists are busy proving that the Earth is round.

By the year 2120, humanity will fly to populate near space and realize that powerful AI is needed

When artificial intelligence surpasses human intelligence, implants will be created immediately to even the gap. There will be a cyborgization of society.

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Which country will be next at the head of the world order after China and the United States?

Link Copy 2026-07-28 16:40:39

Prediction

No, there won't be any clear leaders after the war.

Reason

Changing the world order is usually accompanied by war. After the fall of the United States and China, there will be no strong leaders. Neither dollars nor yuan will be needed. A protracted war can weaken even strong powers. After a major war between the leading powers, world trade will change dramatically, and this will disrupt the current global economic model. Space can become a new space of competition, much like the oceans and trade routes once were.

No, there won't be any clear leaders after the war.

The change of the world order is not just a change of the main state. This is a period when the system of rules is changing: who has the most influence, how trading is organized, which currencies are used, who sets the standards and how conflicts are resolved.

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