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Is democracy the power of the majority?

Link Copy 2023-10-05 08:29:15

Prediction

No, 51% is more than half, but it's not an absolute 3/4 majority.

Reason

Democracy is essentially an oligarchy (aristocracy). If earlier the aristocracy around the world made decisions without the participation of the masses (until the beginning of the twentieth century - if citizens had the right to vote, it was only on property, race and other parameters), now, thanks to political technologies, the same thing is happening, only on the basis of manipulation of the capital of the masses. In addition, no one teaches political literacy, and therefore the politically illiterate population chooses someone from the appointees of the elite by unfair voting.

No, 51% is more than half, but it's not an absolute 3/4 majority.

Only elites participate in the parliamentary process. Citizens of the state are allowed to vote for their chosen candidate, but ordinary people cannot participate in elections. In the end, only the ruling elite decides the various interests of the population of the state.

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When will the war between Israel and Iran begin?

Link Copy 2023-05-22 02:54:31

Prediction

In 2057

Reason

Iran is striving for a leading position in the Arab world through the creation of nuclear weapons. The United States and Israel will try to prevent this. Most likely, critical disagreements will begin on religious grounds.

In 2057

If Israel itself attacks Iran, then it will immediately fight with the entire Muslim world.

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What will the consumer society lead to?

Link Copy 2024-09-06 10:00:58

Prediction

To the Death of Civilization

Reason

If consumption continues to rise in the near future, we will face the depletion of natural resources and wars over them.

To the Death of Civilization

Inflating consumption for the sake of more consumption cannot continue indefinitely. The depletion of resources will lead to their shortage, and uncontrolled lending will lead to the depreciation of money. The result could be a crisis never seen before, with people fighting for food and starving to death, and endless rows of coffee makers and televisions piled up on store shelves.

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When will the negotiations between Russia and Ukraine take place and why is Ukraine asking for a 30-day ceasefire?

Link Copy 2025-05-11 16:38:54

Prediction

Negotiations will begin in the spring of 2026, as the US has once again allocated money to Ukraine for military actions.

Reason

Ukraine signed an agreement with the USA on rare earth metals, and the USA allocated funds for military actions. Russia declared a three-day ceasefire in honor of Victory Day. Zelensky proposed extending the ceasefire for 30 days. A 30-day ceasefire could be used as a cover for rearmament.

Negotiations will begin in the spring of 2026, as the US has once again allocated money to Ukraine for military actions.

Summer negotiations between the US, Ukraine, and Russia will lead to nothing. Ukraine has the money to continue the war. Russia has also changed the goals of its special military operation, expanding its territorial claims. Achieving these goals will require an increase in the size of the armed forces. A military draft is expected in Russia in the fall, and fierce fighting is anticipated in the winter, with the possibility of sitting at the negotiating table in the spring of 2026, depending on the outcome of the military actions.

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