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Will Putin change in 2024?

Link Copy 2023-06-28 12:33:56

Prediction

No, he will stay.

Reason

A source close to the Kremlin, who wished to remain anonymous, spoke about Vladimir Putin's plans. He denied rumors that the allegedly incumbent President plans to leave his post. He assures that other candidates are out of the question.

No, he will stay.

After the elections, little will change in the country

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Why does the United States need a deal between Azerbaijan and Armenia?

Link Copy 2025-08-21 17:20:51

Prediction

The result should be a transit corridor through the territory of 2 countries.

Reason

Following the talks, Armenia and Azerbaijan agreed to create a major transit corridor. Azerbaijan is currently modernizing the railway in the Nakhchivan Autonomous Republic at its own expense, and it is planned to build a railway in Armenia. The United States is not investing in this project. The expansion of US influence in this region could lead to the expansion of NATO's influence throughout the South Caucasus, which could become a wedge between Iran and Russia.

The result should be a transit corridor through the territory of 2 countries.

Armenia sells Russian gas as its own, bypassing sanctions. If the war ends and sanctions are lifted, this route will cease to be economically important, since Russia will be able to sell gas via other routes, but if we are talking about NATO expansion, then this is a completely different matter.

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Will there be peace between Russia and Ukraine in 2025?

Link Copy 2025-04-24 15:37:00

Prediction

Negotiations will be postponed for a year

Reason

Peace negotiations will begin when countries have something to lose, for example, Russia begins to occupy Kharkiv or ends up at the European borders. So far, none of the parties to the conflict is ready to accept the conditions. And there is not even any basis for compromise. For example, it is not profitable for Russia to make a buffer zone in Ukraine, because there are missiles whose range exceeds the entire territory of Ukraine. And time is now on Russia's side, it can seize even more territory.

Negotiations will be postponed for a year

In peace talks, Europe and Ukraine will have to admit that they have lost the war and make concessions, but they are not ready for this. The recognition of Crimea as Russian and the issue of Ukraine's membership in NATO have become red lines that Europe cannot cross.

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When will China's dominance end?

Link Copy 2023-09-26 13:14:28

Prediction

After China's entry into any war

Reason

China's dominance lies in the fact that it has a large population that creates goods sold all over the world in factories and factories. If China enters the war, sanctions will be immediately imposed against it, and the workers who are now working in factories will become soldiers. There will be no one to produce goods and no one to buy them, because sanctions will be imposed.

After China's entry into any war

In addition, in the long term, the factory country is not the best development option, since the population is starting to age in it, as happened in Japan.

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