How will the attempt on Trump's life affect the presidential race?

An assassination attempt on Donald Trump will greatly enhance his chances of winning

Before the assassination attempt, Trump's supporters considered him a hero who had to face constant attacks from his enemies - now this image will become even stronger. The attack will consolidate the image of a martyr for the Republican, and a photo with a raised fist will become a symbol of the elections.

The assassination attempt was preceded by a series of political victories by Trump. On June 27, he won the debate with Joe Biden.

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What to expect from Trump?

Trump will impose his demands and end up quarreling with everyone. He has not yet taken office, but has already promised to raise duties on non-American goods. He is expected to resolve the conflict in Ukraine, reduce spending, and escalate the trade war with China. European interests will be completely ignored.

If the U.S. imposes tariffs of 60 percent on all imports from China and raises tariffs on imports from other countries, lowers personal and corporate taxes, and deports millions of illegal immigrants, we can expect lower U.S. output, increased inflationary pressures, and increased market volatility. The U.S. economy has a strong impact on the global economy because of its size: the U.S. accounts for more than a quarter of global GDP. As a result, in the next three years, the growth rate of the world economy will decline by 2-3% per year. With global GDP growing at about 3% per year, it can be assumed that the world will stagnate at best and recession at worst.

Most likely, after his rule, few people will talk to America. Non-U.S. companies will have to look for other markets because they will be pressured by tariffs. South Korea is already subsidizing its chip companies due to the start of Trump's rule.

Who will be president after Trump?

Democratic candidate

Republicans will not be forgiven for dismissals. Democrats are already winning party elections in states where Republicans used to win.

Even after the change of Trump, US policy will not change. They need to bring jobs back to the country, and this should be beneficial to employers, and this can only be done with the help of a weak dollar and protective tariffs or other unpopular reforms.