Collect

How will the attempt on Trump's life affect the presidential race?

Link Copy 2024-07-14 05:35:56

Prediction

An assassination attempt on Donald Trump will greatly enhance his chances of winning

Reason

Before the assassination attempt, Trump's supporters considered him a hero who had to face constant attacks from his enemies - now this image will become even stronger. The attack will consolidate the image of a martyr for the Republican, and a photo with a raised fist will become a symbol of the elections.

An assassination attempt on Donald Trump will greatly enhance his chances of winning

The assassination attempt was preceded by a series of political victories by Trump. On June 27, he won the debate with Joe Biden.

QR code
QRcode

Scan the QR code to open on your mobile device

Comments 0

Will Russia be able to carry out import substitution of electronics by 2030?

Link Copy 2022-12-12 08:25:20

Prediction

If we are talking about the purchase of obsolete equipment, then yes. If we are talking about the production of semiconductors with 0, then no.

Reason

Lack of specialists. There is a critical dependence of the design and production processes on foreign technologies, including software, and materials (in particular, high-purity chemistry and silicon). Low investment attractiveness of the industry. Lack of production capacity.

If we are talking about the purchase of obsolete equipment, then yes. If we are talking about the production of semiconductors with 0, then no.

3.19 trillion rubles will be enough only to buy obsolete equipment. ASML spent $6 billion a year to become an industry leader. But she had specialists, there were no sanctions and there was no urgent need. In the current situation, the amount needs to be tripled.

References

Accuracy 30

QR code
QRcode

Scan the QR code to open on your mobile device

Why are so many wars happening right now?

Link Copy 2026-03-14 15:04:30

Prediction

Because of the recession, because of the expectation of quick victories, because of ambitions

Reason

Sometimes war is used to distract from internal problems. The struggle for resources (oil, gas, water, rare metals) intensifies. This is especially noticeable in regions with unstable politics. Very often wars begin when a country's leadership believes that victory will be quick and cheap. For example, Russia-Ukraine. Sometimes countries start a war when they believe the international situation is favorable to them. Like the USA-Iran or USA-Venezuela. Regional conflicts and escalation. Like India-Pakistan, Israel-Gaza Strip, Cambodian-Thai conflict, Afghan-Pakistani war.

Because of the recession, because of the expectation of quick victories, because of ambitions

After the end of the Cold War in 1991, the world became less predictable. Previously, two superpowers — the United States of America and the Soviet Union — restrained each other. Now several centers of power are emerging: China, Russia, the USA, regional powers like Iran and Turkey. When forces are distributed among many players, there are usually more conflicts.

QR code
QRcode

Scan the QR code to open on your mobile device

Will Belarus enter the war in Ukraine?

Link Copy 2026-04-24 15:32:00

Prediction

No, this is just propaganda, the same as the use of nuclear weapons, and statements like we haven't even started a war yet.

Reason

Belarus has already faced sanctions for helping Russia, and if it had entered the war directly, the sanctions would almost certainly have intensified. The Belarusian army does not have enough power for large-scale offensive operations. An attack would cause heavy losses with limited results, the risk of attacks on the territory of Belarus and being drawn into a long war without control over the outcome. There have already been protests in the country against participation in the war. Direct participation could increase the discontent of the population and increase pressure on the government, as well as create a risk of political instability.

No, this is just propaganda, the same as the use of nuclear weapons, and statements like we haven't even started a war yet.

In the long run: participation in the war would almost certainly worsen the situation of Belarus. For the state and the economy: rather disadvantages (sanctions, risks, dependence). For the government: short-term advantages (Moscow's support).

QR code
QRcode

Scan the QR code to open on your mobile device

See also
Application

You can install the AI app from our store.

Scan QR code to get a link to APK file