Migration has become a business
There are a huge number of people who are interested in keeping things as they are. From those who enrich themselves on illegal migration to those who, at the expense of migrants, cover demographic problems and labor shortages in the country.

Until the responsible persons who will be held accountable are named, the problem will exist. And shouting, even from the president, that the problem needs to be solved, will not give anything.
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Crimea allows Russia to completely dominate the northern coast of the Black Sea
Europe needs Crimea to control maritime transportation. Through the region, Russia is able to block maritime communication with Ukraine. Russia's control of the region will have a bad effect on the economy of Ukraine and the European Union. Accordingly, Europe needs to seize the peninsula with the forces of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. Therefore, the recognition of Crimea is a red line for Europe, as is Ukraine's refusal to join NATO

Ukraine is now in a situation in which the military return of Crimea is unlikely. Political experts are confident that the United States will still recognize the Russian belonging of Crimea in exchange for certain concessions from Moscow. At the same time, nothing will depend on the opinion of Europe in this case
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Zelensky will lose the election
Ukrainians are tired of the war and the politics of the current president

After the elections, they will talk about the end of the war
Ukrainian Elections 2024: Alignment of Forces
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In 2024, the transition period to this change will only come.
The sanctions did not discourage the elite's aspirations to the West, but they gave rise to a desire to somehow circumvent the sanctions and quickly cancel or at least weaken part of them. The path to the West for the Russian elite remains the main one, despite the statement of insurmountable differences with the elites of the West. There is simply no other option comparable in terms of profitability. The reduction of the resource base sowed confusion in the elites and required the arbitrator to remove certain players from the number of active clans by force.

When will there be a change of the ruling elite in Russia?
A rapid large-scale purge or replacement of the elite with a new composition? What Is Putin's Choice?
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