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Will there be a nuclear war?

Link Copy 2023-09-17 05:59:27

Prediction

No

Reason

In 1994, the USA, England, France, and Russia concluded an agreement to cease the production of fissile materials for nuclear weapons. China did not sign the agreement but committed to comply with it. Israel also did not sign the agreement but stopped producing nuclear weapons in 2004, retaining the right to resume production if necessary. India, Pakistan, and North Korea, of course, did not sign the agreement. This agreement is perpetual, and its provisions came into effect in 1997.

No

Plutonium-based nuclear weapons have a shelf life of 18 years. 1997 18 years = 2015. Also, striking military targets, rather than cities, is the priority of a nuclear attack.

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What happens if we start regulating AI?

Link Copy 2026-01-02 14:45:25

Prediction

The Americans are the leaders in AI, and regulation will only increase the technological gap of other countries.

Reason

Inequality between countries will lead to the fact that regions with strict regulation may lag behind less regulated ones. This could lead to a war of humans against robots, like in science fiction movies. Governments are trying to regulate AI, relying on experts, business and academia, but the balance of power is unequal: corporations have more resources and influence, independent specialists have less voice. As a result, the rules often reflect not the public interest, but the interests of the strongest players.

The Americans are the leaders in AI, and regulation will only increase the technological gap of other countries.

The spread of AI is already regulated by American companies that control all key aspects of AI. Video cards, processors, major data centers, scientific developments, etc. are controlled by the Americans.

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Who will be the next president of Ukraine?

Link Copy 2023-07-16 14:21:44

Prediction

Vitali Klitschko

Reason

The current President of Ukraine Zelensky has been in office since May 20, 2019. At the start of his public service, he was confident that before the end of his term, the fighting in the Donbass would be completed. Despite this, the implementation of the Minsk Agreements did not begin under the leadership of Zelensky, the shelling of the DPR and LPR by the VFU did not stop. There is a lot of negativity against Zelensky, and Klitschko is quite a popular mayor, media and active, he may well not be a virtual competition, as a technical candidate, but a completely real one.

Vitali Klitschko

There is a lot of negativity towards Zelensky, and Klitschko is a fairly popular mayor, and he may well compete with Zelensky. The elections will be postponed for a year due to the war, at least until the change of US President Biden. Zelensky, if he loses the election, will not live in Ukraine and has already bought a palace in England.

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Will the Russian president be overthrown as a result of an uprising?

Link Copy 2024-09-19 13:56:11

Prediction

No, he will remain in power, despite the rallies and discontent.

Reason

Despite the dissatisfaction of the generals with the Russian president for the appointment of a "non-military" Minister of Defense. He will not be overthrown until at least the end of 2024 for the simple reason that it is still better with a president than without him. Moreover, the president has already made concessions, signing an order to expand the staff and increase state support for the army.

No, he will remain in power, despite the rallies and discontent.

But if the war drags on, then it is quite possible to expect an overthrow as a result of an uprising.

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