2023-09-17 05:59:27

No

In 1994, the USA, England, France, and Russia concluded an agreement to cease the production of fissile materials for nuclear weapons. China did not sign the agreement but committed to comply with it. Israel also did not sign the agreement but stopped producing nuclear weapons in 2004, retaining the right to resume production if necessary. India, Pakistan, and North Korea, of course, did not sign the agreement. This agreement is perpetual, and its provisions came into effect in 1997.

Plutonium-based nuclear weapons have a shelf life of 18 years. 1997 18 years = 2015. Also, striking military targets, rather than cities, is the priority of a nuclear attack.

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2026-04-24 15:32:00

No, this is just propaganda, the same as the use of nuclear weapons, and statements like we haven't even started a war yet.

Belarus has already faced sanctions for helping Russia, and if it had entered the war directly, the sanctions would almost certainly have intensified. The Belarusian army does not have enough power for large-scale offensive operations. An attack would cause heavy losses with limited results, the risk of attacks on the territory of Belarus and being drawn into a long war without control over the outcome. There have already been protests in the country against participation in the war. Direct participation could increase the discontent of the population and increase pressure on the government, as well as create a risk of political instability.

In the long run: participation in the war would almost certainly worsen the situation of Belarus. For the state and the economy: rather disadvantages (sanctions, risks, dependence). For the government: short-term advantages (Moscow's support).

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2024-04-19 15:30:36

Iran and Israel will continue to exchange blows, but it will not come to a third world war.

Neither Iran nor Israel is interested in a full-scale conflict. In Tel Aviv itself, many are annoyed by the result of the Israeli strike on the Iranian embassy in Syria, when Iranian generals were killed under fire. Iran was ready to forgive the attack in exchange for the condemnation of Israel by the world community. Since this did not happen, Iran, in turn, responded to these actions with a missile attack on Israel a week ago, demonstrating to the whole world its advanced weapons, and at the same time the vulnerability of the Israeli Iron Dome air defense system.

Israel is in a more difficult position because six months of war with Hamas have not brought results. It is surrounded on all sides — Rafah, the Palestinian settlement, the Houthis and plus the Iranian problem. But fundamental changes in the region will not happen before the US elections. The elections will be held in November 2024. The United States has introduced 2 aircraft carriers into the region.

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2024-02-01 12:52:56

The fighting will begin in the fall of 2024

In the case of significant successes in the Donbas and near Kharkov, there is a very high probability of launching an offensive against Nikolaev, followed by its capture and access to the outskirts of Odessa at the end of summer. In connection with the allocation of 51 billion euros of aid, military operations will begin with renewed vigor, and a new Ukrainian offensive has already been announced in order to delay the advance of Russian troops.

Ukraine's loss of Odessa and the surrounding territories would mean turning into a completely isolated state, which is also blocked from the north, east and south by unfriendly countries (Russia-Belarus-Transnistria).

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