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Will there be a nuclear war?

Link Copy 2023-09-17 05:59:27

Prediction

No

Reason

In 1994, the United States, England, France, and Russia signed an agreement to stop the production of fissile materials for nuclear weapons. The PRC did not sign the treaty, but undertook to comply with it. Israel also did not sign the agreement, but stopped the production of nuclear weapons in 2004, reserving for itself the right to resume its production if necessary. India, Pakistan, and the DPRK, of course, did not sign the treaty. This contract is indefinite, its effect began in 1997.

No

Plutonium-based nuclear weapons have an expiration date of 18 years. 1997 18 years = 2015. Also, defeating military targets, and not hitting cities at all, is the priority of a nuclear attack.

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Will artificial intelligence replace programmers?

Link Copy 2025-04-14 11:36:57

Prediction

No, it will not replace it, but competition for jobs will increase. And there will be a shortage of programmers in the future.

Reason

Executives at various IT companies are now publicly declaring that AI will soon replace programmers. Although the CEO of an IT company often understands little about the work of a programmer, for shareholders, the opinion of such people looks authoritative, and they believe him. Laying off programmers without losing profits is nothing more than the wet fantasies of managers and shareholders of companies. If a company cuts its programmers by a factor of five, its competitors will immediately try to overtake it, even if it costs them a couple of years of work without a profit.

No, it will not replace it, but competition for jobs will increase. And there will be a shortage of programmers in the future.

What about Google laying off programmers? It lays off expensive American programmers and immediately hires cheap Indian ones. American programmer - 4,000, Indian programmer - 1,500.

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What data do IT giants use to train neural networks?

Link Copy 2025-10-31 12:24:03

Prediction

Data is taken from everywhere, including documents from cloud storage.

Reason

The evolving race of neural networks is forcing tech giants to take desperate measures in search of data to train their language models. For example, Google has changed its privacy policy — now the company has the right to use almost all the content that you create to train its neural networks. Microsoft takes data from your office documents stored on its cloud servers. Open AI was trained on Stackoverflow data.

Data is taken from everywhere, including documents from cloud storage.

If you store your documents in the cloud, then there is a 100% chance that neural networks will be trained on them.

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What will happen to the US debt?

Link Copy 2022-05-22 09:32:01

Prediction

Limit will be raised

Reason

Senate voted to temporarily raise the debt limit

Limit will be raised

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