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Will there be a nuclear war? Collect

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Will there be a nuclear war?

Link Copy 2023-09-17 05:59:27

Prediction

No

Reason

In 1994, the United States, England, France, and Russia signed an agreement to stop the production of fissile materials for nuclear weapons. The PRC did not sign the treaty, but undertook to comply with it. Israel also did not sign the agreement, but stopped the production of nuclear weapons in 2004, reserving for itself the right to resume its production if necessary. India, Pakistan, and the DPRK, of course, did not sign the treaty. This contract is indefinite, its effect began in 1997.

No

Plutonium-based nuclear weapons have an expiration date of 18 years. 1997 18 years = 2015. Also, defeating military targets, and not hitting cities at all, is the priority of a nuclear attack.

References
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Why did Trump shorten the deadline for Russia's ultimatum to 10 days?

Link Copy 2025-07-28 13:22:48

Prediction

Russia is moving forward and seizing territories that already formally belong to the United States.

Reason

The United States has concluded a contract with Ukraine, according to which the minerals located on the territory of Ukraine belong to the United States. Russia is moving forward and seizing these territories. Therefore, we need to respond urgently.

Russia is moving forward and seizing territories that already formally belong to the United States.

Therefore, even after the presentation of the ultimatum, nothing will change. All the sanctions that could affect something have already been introduced. The United States cannot influence other countries by scaring them with duties. The United States could not impose duties on China. Russia will not comply with the terms of the ultimatum.

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What will happen after the special operation?

Link Copy 2022-10-26 13:18:44

Prediction

The Russian economy will be reoriented from the Western to the Chinese economy. The Russian market will be open to Chinese companies. Ukraine will lose part of its territories. Europe will rebuild the ruined Ukraine at its own expense. It will be very difficult for companies from the EU to return to the Russian market, because it is already occupied by Russian and Chinese companies. America will be losing spheres of influence.

Reason

This military operation is in fact a division of spheres of influence. Russia, having regained its sovereignty and returned to the legitimate outcome of World War II, will inevitably restore lost territories to the borders of 1945. That is why Russia is not supported by the post-Soviet countries.

The Russian economy will be reoriented from the Western to the Chinese economy. The Russian market will be open to Chinese companies. Ukraine will lose part of its territories. Europe will rebuild the ruined Ukraine at its own expense. It will be very difficult for companies from the EU to return to the Russian market, because it is already occupied by Russian and Chinese companies. America will be losing spheres of influence.

These actions are already underway and will stretch over a period of 5 years

References

Accuracy 20

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What Happens After Trump's Tariffs Are Imposed?

Link Copy 2025-04-04 15:57:43

Prediction

A global recession is expected. Mass layoffs and cost cuts will begin.

Reason

The GDP of the United States (24%) is almost a quarter of the world GDP. The United States has an impact on the entire world economy. International trade in 50% of cases is conducted in dollars. If the U.S. buys less because of tariffs, it will cause a downturn in the entire global economy in the short term. In the long term, confidence in the U.S. and the dollar will fall, and the focus will shift to China and the yuan as the world's second-largest economy. This whole process will be painful and will be accompanied by massive cost cuts, optimization of business processes, layoffs and closure of enterprises. The United States itself will suffer greatly and will not be able to recover from such a policy, since its factories are distributed around the world and depend on the supply of components and raw materials.

A global recession is expected. Mass layoffs and cost cuts will begin.

From April 3, 2025, 25% duties on car imports will come into effect, and by May 3, 2025, on auto parts manufactured outside the United States. From April 5, 2025, the minimum basic customs duty of 10% will come into force. From April 9, 2025, the rest of the tariffs will come into effect. The minimum base tariff of 10% will be applied to all countries. Most likely, this will all end after Trump's change as president in 2029. On April 8, Trump introduced a 3-month delay for those countries that did not impose retaliatory tariffs.

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