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Will there be a nuclear war?

Link Copy 2023-09-17 05:59:27

Prediction

No

Reason

In 1994, the USA, England, France, and Russia concluded an agreement to cease the production of fissile materials for nuclear weapons. China did not sign the agreement but committed to comply with it. Israel also did not sign the agreement but stopped producing nuclear weapons in 2004, retaining the right to resume production if necessary. India, Pakistan, and North Korea, of course, did not sign the agreement. This agreement is perpetual, and its provisions came into effect in 1997.

No

Plutonium-based nuclear weapons have a shelf life of 18 years. 1997 18 years = 2015. Also, striking military targets, rather than cities, is the priority of a nuclear attack.

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What will happen to Israel without the support of the US and Russia?

Link Copy 2023-04-03 14:55:56

Prediction

Arab world will attack Israel

Reason

The UN called on the local Jewish and Arab population to create a state for each of the national communities. But since the Arabs did not agree with this, the returnees had to wage war.

Arab world will attack Israel

The number of Christians on the planet will decrease. Other religions will dominate

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What will happen if Kamala Harris wins the US election?

Link Copy 2024-08-08 15:59:47

Prediction

The continuation of the war in Ukraine and the escalation of the Iranian-Israeli conflict

Reason

Harris will support the Democrats' policy on the Ukrainian issue, which means she will continue to allocate money for the war. It can also start a war by using the army to prove its worth. Well, war is possible only against Russia or Iran.

The continuation of the war in Ukraine and the escalation of the Iranian-Israeli conflict

Trump promised to end the war in Ukraine if he wins the election, Harris has not yet decided. Trump has already defeated a woman in the election. According to the poll, most men plan to vote for Trump, while women plan to vote for Harris.

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Will the United States withdraw from NATO?

Link Copy 2025-12-14 09:21:56

Prediction

There is no document where the United States commits to withdraw from NATO by 2027. There are strategies and projects where NATO is criticized and viewed as a burden, but this is not a decision to withdraw. The United States will remain in NATO as long as possible.

Reason

NATO will remain, but the role of the United States will change . The USA will: 1) maintain the nuclear umbrella and political leadership. NATO is turning from an American army in Europe into a coalition where the United States is the coordinator, not the main performer. 2)) Severe pressure on the allies. This is explicitly stated in the strategies. Tools: the requirement of 2% of GDP for defense, and in fact more, linking American aid to contributions, public pressure, including threats of we don't have to protect you. Europe pays and fights, the United States governs and supports. 3️) Shifting the focus to China 2025-2027 The USA will: build up the fleet and aviation in the Indo-Pacific region, reducing non-binding commitments in Europe, Japan, South Korea, Australia, and the Philippines are preparing allies. The United States needs Europe as a stable rear, not as the main theater of war. 4) Ukraine is a test model of the future of NATO. The United States tries not to fight directly . Maximum: money, weapon, intelligence service . We arm our allies, we don't fight ourselves.

There is no document where the United States commits to withdraw from NATO by 2027.
 There are strategies and projects where NATO is criticized and viewed as a burden, but this is not a decision to withdraw. The United States will remain in NATO as long as possible.

The US withdrawal from NATO: destroys the influence of the United States , frees Europe from dependence , hits the dollar and the military-industrial complex. It is much more profitable to stay , reduce costs , and maintain control . The final formula of the US strategy to remain in NATO, but to make it less American and more European. Maintain leverage without bearing the main burden.

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