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Will there be a nuclear war?

Link Copy 2023-09-17 05:59:27

Prediction

No

Reason

In 1994, the United States, England, France, and Russia signed an agreement to stop the production of fissile materials for nuclear weapons. The PRC did not sign the treaty, but undertook to comply with it. Israel also did not sign the agreement, but stopped the production of nuclear weapons in 2004, reserving for itself the right to resume its production if necessary. India, Pakistan, and the DPRK, of course, did not sign the treaty. This contract is indefinite, its effect began in 1997.

No

Plutonium-based nuclear weapons have an expiration date of 18 years. 1997 18 years = 2015. Also, defeating military targets, and not hitting cities at all, is the priority of a nuclear attack.

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What will happen if Russia wins the war?

Link Copy 2023-01-11 06:00:50

Prediction

There will be a truce for a few years, and then the war will start again

Reason

A peace treaty will be signed with Ukraine with the renunciation of territories and other negative consequences for Ukraine. Ukraine will unite with Poland and the war will break out according to a new one, because Poland did not sign any treaties. The territory of Ukraine will be restored at the expense of frozen Russian assets. NATO will increase its reliance on U.S. support, as will the concerned, threatened Eastern European countries that find themselves frontline states along an expanded and uncertain line of contact with Russia, including Belarus and Russian-controlled parts of Ukraine.

There will be a truce for a few years, and then the war will start again

Sanctions will not be lifted

References

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When will the civil war in Syria end?

Link Copy 2023-04-02 14:37:30

Prediction

In 2025. US to withdraw troops from Syria

Reason

At the moment, the Democrats do not want to withdraw troops from Syria. With the advent of a new Republican president, the situation will change.

In 2025. US to withdraw troops from Syria

Syria is already starting to restore diplomatic relations with neighboring countries

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When will Russia run out of oil for export?

Link Copy 2023-10-09 03:18:52

Prediction

If production rates are not reduced and new deposits are not discovered, then in 2040

Reason

Russian Energy Minister Novak noted in 2018 that oil production in Russia, in the absence of incentives, could fall by 44% by 2035. Taking into account the coronavirus infection in 2019 and sanctions, these deadlines have shifted to 2040.

If production rates are not reduced and new deposits are not discovered, then in 2040

Russia has one of the highest taxes on the oil industry in the world, which makes it difficult to stimulate production.

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