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Will taxes be raised in Russia after the elections?

Link Copy 2024-03-13 16:59:20

Prediction

Yes, a progressive tax will be introduced

Reason

Russia is short of money. For 3 months, the budget deficit is equal to the annual one. The main reason for such a budget deficit is too small revenues from the sale of hydrocarbons.

Yes, a progressive tax will be introduced

President Vladimir Putin instructed to modernize the tax system and consolidate it in a new form. He talks about it as if the choice has already been made. The tax hike will hit the Russian economy hard, as it will be easier to import than to produce. It would be better to honestly say that the money is needed for the war, and after the war we will return everything to its place.

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What will happen after Palestine declares war on Israel?

Link Copy 2023-10-07 09:08:22

Prediction

A world war will begin

Reason

America will enter the war on the side of Israel, because American companies are located in this country. Iran will enter the war on the side of Palestine, because Muslims are being killed there. The entire Muslim world may be involved in the war. The beginning of a world war depends on how quickly countries will be ready to send troops. Nuclear weapons can be used.

A world war will begin

The conflicts in Ukraine and Africa are likely to be frozen, since the United States has money for only one war.

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Which country will be next at the head of the world order after China and the United States?

Link Copy 2026-07-28 16:40:39

Prediction

No, there won't be any clear leaders after the war.

Reason

Changing the world order is usually accompanied by war. After the fall of the United States and China, there will be no strong leaders. Neither dollars nor yuan will be needed. A protracted war can weaken even strong powers. After a major war between the leading powers, world trade will change dramatically, and this will disrupt the current global economic model. Space can become a new space of competition, much like the oceans and trade routes once were.

No, there won't be any clear leaders after the war.

The change of the world order is not just a change of the main state. This is a period when the system of rules is changing: who has the most influence, how trading is organized, which currencies are used, who sets the standards and how conflicts are resolved.

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What is Russia's path?

Link Copy 2023-09-27 09:43:10

Prediction

First it will restore the USSR, then it will start a war with China.

Reason

After the coup in Ukraine in 2014 and the failed coup in Belarus in 2020, Russia realized that if nothing was done, the country would face war. Therefore, an association of countries like the European Union will be created. Belarus will be the first to enter it. Due to the sanctions in the country, almost the entire high-tech sector depends on supplies from China. With sanctions, high levels of corruption, high taxes and the elites' disinterest in change, Russia will not be able to resist the Chinese economy. Eventually, China will displace all competitors, including domestic companies, and will dominate the country. There is no progress in creating a competitive economy. Chinese specialists will move to the country en masse, displacing Russian specialists. When Russia tries to restrict China, China will act militarily.

First it will restore the USSR, then it will start a war with China.

Moscow takes all taxes for itself, and then distributes them by region. The regional elite is not at all interested in the growth of business in the regions, since its well-being depends on the ability to ask Moscow, and not on the growth of the number of enterprises. It is impossible to conduct business legally in the regions without paying bribes and fines. The legislation allows businesses to be blocked for 30 days in case of violations, so businesses pay bribes to avoid being blocked. A 47% tax and a 13% credit rate also do not contribute to business growth. Compared to the Chinese tax of 12% and the credit rate of 0.02%. Despite the fact that China spends money on cargo transportation, it is more profitable to produce and buy in China than in Russia.

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