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Will taxes be raised in Russia after the elections?

Link Copy 2024-03-13 16:59:20

Prediction

Yes, a progressive tax will be introduced

Reason

Russia is short of money. For 3 months, the budget deficit is equal to the annual one. The main reason for such a budget deficit is too small revenues from the sale of hydrocarbons.

Yes, a progressive tax will be introduced

President Vladimir Putin instructed to modernize the tax system and consolidate it in a new form. He talks about it as if the choice has already been made. The tax hike will hit the Russian economy hard, as it will be easier to import than to produce. It would be better to honestly say that the money is needed for the war, and after the war we will return everything to its place.

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Western companies have left Russia, will the Russian economy recover?

Link Copy 2025-07-08 12:19:26

Prediction

No, all conditions have been created for the economic situation in Russia not to improve.

Reason

After the withdrawal of Western companies from the Russian market, the Central Bank raised the interest rate, thereby banning the issuance of cheap loans, arguing that the goal is to preserve the savings of Russians. The VAT was also increased, which affected the prices of all goods and services. Additionally, Chinese companies were allowed to enter the market. Furthermore, as a result of the war, Russia may acquire bombed Ukrainian territories that will need to be rebuilt from scratch, which will also impact the economy.

No, all conditions have been created for the economic situation in Russia not to improve.

It seems that there are only traitors sitting in the ministries of the country, who do everything the opposite.

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Will there be a war between Iran and Israel?

Link Copy 2024-04-19 15:30:36

Prediction

Iran and Israel will continue to exchange blows, but it will not come to a third world war.

Reason

Neither Iran nor Israel is interested in a full-scale conflict. In Tel Aviv itself, many are annoyed by the result of the Israeli strike on the Iranian embassy in Syria, when Iranian generals were killed under fire. Iran was ready to forgive the attack in exchange for the condemnation of Israel by the world community. Since this did not happen, Iran, in turn, responded to these actions with a missile attack on Israel a week ago, demonstrating to the whole world its advanced weapons, and at the same time the vulnerability of the Israeli Iron Dome air defense system.

Iran and Israel will continue to exchange blows, but it will not come to a third world war.

Israel is in a more difficult position because six months of war with Hamas have not brought results. It is surrounded on all sides — Rafah, the Palestinian settlement, the Houthis and plus the Iranian problem. But fundamental changes in the region will not happen before the US elections. The elections will be held in November 2024. The United States has introduced 2 aircraft carriers into the region.

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Will rallies be repeated in Kazakhstan?

Link Copy 2023-06-08 08:35:38

Prediction

Yes, in 2025

Reason

The leaders of the EAEU countries reached an agreement in principle and approved the concept of a common hydrocarbon market from 2025. And this means that the price of hydrocarbons should be equal, and electronic trading will also have to be introduced. For Kazakhstan, this means an increase in the retail price of energy resources, because at the moment it has the lowest energy prices in comparison with its neighbors. Rising prices for everything will immediately cause a repeat of the riots, as was the case in 2022.

Yes, in 2025

The riots in 2022 began due to the fact that electronic trading was introduced and someone bought up all the gas and the retail gas price doubled.

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