Yes, a progressive tax will be introduced
Russia is short of money. For 3 months, the budget deficit is equal to the annual one. The main reason for such a budget deficit is too small revenues from the sale of hydrocarbons.

President Vladimir Putin instructed to modernize the tax system and consolidate it in a new form. He talks about it as if the choice has already been made. The tax hike will hit the Russian economy hard, as it will be easier to import than to produce. It would be better to honestly say that the money is needed for the war, and after the war we will return everything to its place.
Putin believes that society will normally accept the change of the tax system
The budget is bursting at the seams, for 2 months the budget deficit is equal to the annual one. Why this will lead to a catastrophe for the population immediately after the elections.
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Democratic candidate
Republicans will not be forgiven for dismissals. Democrats are already winning party elections in states where Republicans used to win.

Even after the change of Trump, US policy will not change. They need to bring jobs back to the country, and this should be beneficial to employers, and this can only be done with the help of a weak dollar and protective tariffs or other unpopular reforms.
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Yes, they tried by all means to prevent him from participating in the elections, but he won, and there is no hope for impeachment, the only way out is physical elimination.
Trump may prevent powerful groups in the U.S. from enriching themselves. For example, if he wants to make the dollar a backed currency. As he recently stated. Other reasons are also possible. The fact that Trump was shot in the ear is a warning.

The dollar is the reason for the murder of Kenedi. He wanted the U.S. dollar to be issued by the U.S. Treasury, not the Fed.
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A truce is expected in November 2025.
The situation is not in favor of Russia. There is no significant success in the offensive of the troops, the country is being bombed unhindered, the last partners are on the verge of breaking off relations, an economic and gasoline crisis is brewing, and money is running out. Therefore, there is a high probability of peace and that Russia will make concessions.

Russia still has the resources for war, but the situation is getting worse. If the truce does not happen before the winter of 2025, there will be very heavy fighting and a very difficult winter for Russia. Ukraine now has long-range missiles and will bomb Russian energy infrastructure.
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