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Will taxes be raised in Russia after the elections?

Link Copy 2024-03-13 16:59:20

Prediction

Yes, a progressive tax will be introduced

Reason

Russia is short of money. For 3 months, the budget deficit is equal to the annual one. The main reason for such a budget deficit is too small revenues from the sale of hydrocarbons.

Yes, a progressive tax will be introduced

President Vladimir Putin instructed to modernize the tax system and consolidate it in a new form. He talks about it as if the choice has already been made. The tax hike will hit the Russian economy hard, as it will be easier to import than to produce. It would be better to honestly say that the money is needed for the war, and after the war we will return everything to its place.

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What is the hidden problem of the race for artificial intelligence?

Link Copy 2024-09-28 05:11:05

Prediction

The impact of artificial intelligence is overestimated

Reason

All companies rushed to create their own or implement artificial intelligence in their products, but this amount of artificial intelligence is simply not needed now. The AI market has a limit, and everyone behaves as if there is no limit

The impact of artificial intelligence is overestimated

For example, Intel, instead of tackling specific demand problems, focused on artificial intelligence, and ends up with $1.6 billion in debt by 2024. And it's not the only company

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What did Trump and Putin agree on?

Link Copy 2025-09-13 07:21:20

Prediction

We are talking about ending the war on terms unfavorable for Ukraine.

Reason

Moscow wants to get 6,000 square kilometers from Kiev, which are not yet under its control. Therefore, Russia is now preparing a massive offensive against Ukraine, deploying marines and equipment, and even replacing the commander-in-chief of the ground forces. Therefore, they put up flags, pretending that they have seized territories. The United States will put pressure on Ukraine to sign a peace agreement, threatening sanctions, etc., because they still need to resolve the issue of Chinese dominance and the problem with Israel, and there is not enough money to resolve several issues. In return, Moscow will not touch the territories with rare earth metals that the United States plans to develop in Ukraine and for which a contract has already been signed.

We are talking about ending the war on terms unfavorable for Ukraine.

Russian media reports that Ukraine is allegedly waiting for specific proposals from Russia on the issue of territory exchange.

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What will happen if Ukraine wins the war?

Link Copy 2023-01-11 05:38:29

Prediction

Russia will have to pay hundreds of billions to compensate for the physical damage caused by the invasion. Military restrictions of the Russian Navy: no Russian Navy in the Black, Azov and Baltic Seas for 50 years. Military restrictions of the Russian army: from all its northern, western and southern borders, Russia must withdraw troops at least 100 km. War crimes: Russia must be punished for its wartime atrocities. Nuclear weapons: Under the new treaty with NATO, Russia must immediately agree to reduce its nuclear weapons to a quantity and quality no greater than that of the United States, and agree to inspections by NATO to ensure this compliance.

Reason

The scenario is plausible if Ukraine is supported long enough or fought on the side of Ukraine.

Russia will have to pay hundreds of billions to compensate for the physical damage caused by the invasion. Military restrictions of the Russian Navy: no Russian Navy in the Black, Azov and Baltic Seas for 50 years. Military restrictions of the Russian army: from all its northern, western and southern borders, Russia must withdraw troops at least 100 km. War crimes: Russia must be punished for its wartime atrocities. Nuclear weapons: Under the new treaty with NATO, Russia must immediately agree to reduce its nuclear weapons to a quantity and quality no greater than that of the United States, and agree to inspections by NATO to ensure this compliance.

All that stops the West from these scenarios is Russia's possession of nuclear weapons.

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