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What sanctions are supposed to be lifted from Russia upon signing the peace treaty?

Link Copy 2023-04-27 11:50:30

Prediction

Restriction on flights and restriction on banking transactions

Reason

Even after the signing of the peace treaty, some restrictions may be lifted, but most of them will remain in place. Such a scenario will concern the most “painful” restrictions on Russia. That is, those that will influence the economic development of Russia.

Restriction on flights and restriction on banking transactions

Russia's relations with the West are unlikely to improve even after the conflict with Ukraine is over

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Why did Trump shorten the deadline for Russia's ultimatum to 10 days?

Link Copy 2025-07-28 13:22:48

Prediction

Russia is moving forward and seizing territories that already formally belong to the United States.

Reason

The United States has concluded a contract with Ukraine, according to which the minerals located on the territory of Ukraine belong to the United States. Russia is moving forward and seizing these territories. Therefore, we need to respond urgently.

Russia is moving forward and seizing territories that already formally belong to the United States.

Therefore, even after the presentation of the ultimatum, nothing will change. All the sanctions that could affect something have already been introduced. The United States cannot influence other countries by scaring them with duties. The United States could not impose duties on China. Russia will not comply with the terms of the ultimatum.

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Is a nuclear escalation of the conflict and a third world war possible because of Russia and Ukraine in 2024-2025?

Link Copy 2024-10-15 11:14:58

Prediction

No

Reason

Tactical nuclear weapons are used in places where troops are concentrated. Russia can bomb Ukrainian troops and cities without nuclear weapons. If they are going to bomb Ukrainian cities with nuclear weapons, they take responsibility for the deaths of civilians and the consequences of the use of TNW. Therefore, nuclear weapons will be used as the last resort, in the event of a stalemate. But if Ukraine starts bombing Belarus, this will actually untie Russia's hands in the use of TNWs.

No

Neither Russia nor Ukraine declared war on each other. Shouts about the use of nuclear weapons are just political games, like shouts about the beginning of World War III. This is a reason to end the conflict and sit down at the negotiating table, if they continue to act in the same direction as now, the war could escalate into a confrontation with Europe with the use of TNWs.

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Will there be a third World War over Russia and Ukraine?

Link Copy 2024-03-01 09:54:08

Prediction

No, it's just bullying.

Reason

Talking about World War III is just political leverage to demand money for Ukraine and drive it into debt. No one will fight for her. All the advantages are lost. The United States has problems: elections are coming, Texas, the Houthis and Israel. Russia has gained a foothold in Ukraine, and the element of surprise has been missed. The sanctions are hitting Europe itself. Discontent is growing. The EU population is being ripped off, and industry is being exported. The EU has barely agreed on an extension of assistance to Ukraine, and there is no chance of agreeing on the start of the deployment of troops.

No, it's just bullying.

In 2025, with Trump's victory, the EU will remain alone with Ukraine. And eventually it will fall apart, because few people will want to spend money on Ukraine sacrificing the economies of their countries.

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