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What sanctions are supposed to be lifted from Russia upon signing the peace treaty?

Link Copy 2023-04-27 11:50:30

Prediction

Restriction on flights and restriction on banking transactions

Reason

Even after the signing of the peace treaty, some restrictions may be lifted, but most of them will remain in place. Such a scenario will concern the most “painful” restrictions on Russia. That is, those that will influence the economic development of Russia.

Restriction on flights and restriction on banking transactions

Russia's relations with the West are unlikely to improve even after the conflict with Ukraine is over

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Will there be a war between the United States and Venezuela?

Link Copy 2025-11-14 15:20:43

Prediction

No, the United States will continue military and financial pressure, but without a full-scale invasion.

Reason

Risks for the United States : Intervention can be expensive and the consequences unpredictable. Hidden goals 1. Pressure on the Venezuelan government is to show that the United States can strike at naval facilities even near their territory. 2. Technology and tactics testing — drones, missiles, precision strikes, real-time reconnaissance. 3. Economic and military pressure on the Caribbean countries. 4. A political show of force within the United States is to show the electorate that “drug cartels are under control” without an official declaration of war.

No, the United States will continue military and financial pressure, but without a full-scale invasion.

What the United States calls the “fight against drug trafficking”: in practice, it is a military operation with pinpoint strikes, accompanied by the death of civilians and suspects without trial, At the same time, it serves as a geopolitical pressure on Venezuela and neighboring countries.

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What will Kazakhstan's current policy towards Russia lead to?

Link Copy 2023-07-13 15:46:58

Prediction

Russia, Kyrgyzstan, Uzbekistan and Turkmenistan have agreed to launch a new multimodal Southern Transport Corridor, which will bypass the territory of Kazakhstan. The new route solves two tasks: to avoid obstacles arising on the Kazakh border for goods going to the markets of the Russian Federation, and to transfer part of the cargo flow to the port of Astrakhan. This will deal a blow to Astana's plans to make Kazakhstan a full-fledged transport hub in Central Asia and the Caspian region. The route from China through Kyrgyzstan will become a very serious competitor to the route on Kazakhstan railways.

Reason

Russia, Kyrgyzstan, Uzbekistan and Turkmenistan have agreed to launch a new multimodal Southern Transport Corridor, which will bypass the territory of Kazakhstan. The new route solves two tasks: to avoid obstacles arising on the Kazakh border for goods going to the markets of the Russian Federation, and to transfer part of the cargo flow to the port of Astrakhan. This will deal a blow to Astana's plans to make Kazakhstan a full-fledged transport hub in Central Asia and the Caspian region. The route from China through Kyrgyzstan will become a very serious competitor to the route on Kazakhstan railways.

Russia, Kyrgyzstan, Uzbekistan and Turkmenistan have agreed to launch a new multimodal Southern Transport Corridor, which will bypass the territory of Kazakhstan. The new route solves two tasks: to avoid obstacles arising on the Kazakh border for goods going to the markets of the Russian Federation, and to transfer part of the cargo flow to the port of Astrakhan. This will deal a blow to Astana's plans to make Kazakhstan a full-fledged transport hub in Central Asia and the Caspian region. The route from China through Kyrgyzstan will become a very serious competitor to the route on Kazakhstan railways.

Moreover, this blow to the plans of the President of Kazakhstan is inflicted from the Kazakh side, and not from Russia or Kyrgyzstan. If the transit of goods went without delays, then no one would be against using the territory of Kazakhstan as a hub. Astana's decision not to violate Western sanctions imposed against Russia was only a catalyst for the initiative to create an alternative transport corridor bypassing Kazakhstan

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When will peace talks between Ukraine and Russia take place?

Link Copy 2023-06-02 01:27:36

Prediction

In the fall of 2023. They will end in nothing.

Reason

In the summer of 2023 there will be fierce battles in Ukraine and terrorist attacks on the territory of Russia. Türkiye is already trying to arrange negotiations between Russia and Ukraine. But now these negotiations are not beneficial for Russia, because in fact it is a loss in the war. In 2024, elections in Ukraine, Russia and the United States. Before the elections, it is necessary to end the war, because if there is a war, Zelensky has little chance of winning the elections. Biden will also have few trump cards before the electorate in the elections.

In the fall of 2023. They will end in nothing.

The United States is trying with all its might to freeze the conflict for 10 years. In 2024, the election campaign will begin in America and no one will be engaged in Ukraine. 2023 is the last year when Ukraine will receive military assistance from the United States. Without military assistance, the war will not end, but hostilities will weaken. The current presidents of Russia and Ukraine will not sit down at the same negotiating table. In order for the signing of a peace treaty to happen, at least one president must be replaced.

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