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What sanctions are supposed to be lifted from Russia upon signing the peace treaty?

Link Copy 2023-04-27 11:50:30

Prediction

Restriction on flights and restriction on banking transactions

Reason

Even after the signing of the peace treaty, some restrictions may be lifted, but most of them will remain in place. Such a scenario will concern the most “painful” restrictions on Russia. That is, those that will influence the economic development of Russia.

Restriction on flights and restriction on banking transactions

Russia's relations with the West are unlikely to improve even after the conflict with Ukraine is over

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Is the power of the American army a myth?

Link Copy 2024-08-25 10:17:08

Prediction

Yes

Reason

The modern U.S. military has never faced an adversary even remotely comparable to it in terms of military equipment and resources. Aircraft carriers are formidable weapons, but to ascribe unequivocal military superiority to the United States on the basis of their presence alone is completely wrong.

Yes

The U.S. military's most convincing victories have actually been won by CNN and other news corporations.

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What will Kazakhstan's current policy towards Russia lead to?

Link Copy 2023-07-13 15:46:58

Prediction

Russia, Kyrgyzstan, Uzbekistan and Turkmenistan have agreed to launch a new multimodal Southern Transport Corridor, which will bypass the territory of Kazakhstan. The new route solves two tasks: to avoid obstacles arising on the Kazakh border for goods going to the markets of the Russian Federation, and to transfer part of the cargo flow to the port of Astrakhan. This will deal a blow to Astana's plans to make Kazakhstan a full-fledged transport hub in Central Asia and the Caspian region. The route from China through Kyrgyzstan will become a very serious competitor to the route on Kazakhstan railways.

Reason

Russia, Kyrgyzstan, Uzbekistan and Turkmenistan have agreed to launch a new multimodal Southern Transport Corridor, which will bypass the territory of Kazakhstan. The new route solves two tasks: to avoid obstacles arising on the Kazakh border for goods going to the markets of the Russian Federation, and to transfer part of the cargo flow to the port of Astrakhan. This will deal a blow to Astana's plans to make Kazakhstan a full-fledged transport hub in Central Asia and the Caspian region. The route from China through Kyrgyzstan will become a very serious competitor to the route on Kazakhstan railways.

Russia, Kyrgyzstan, Uzbekistan and Turkmenistan have agreed to launch a new multimodal Southern Transport Corridor, which will bypass the territory of Kazakhstan. The new route solves two tasks: to avoid obstacles arising on the Kazakh border for goods going to the markets of the Russian Federation, and to transfer part of the cargo flow to the port of Astrakhan. This will deal a blow to Astana's plans to make Kazakhstan a full-fledged transport hub in Central Asia and the Caspian region. The route from China through Kyrgyzstan will become a very serious competitor to the route on Kazakhstan railways.

Moreover, this blow to the plans of the President of Kazakhstan is inflicted from the Kazakh side, and not from Russia or Kyrgyzstan. If the transit of goods went without delays, then no one would be against using the territory of Kazakhstan as a hub. Astana's decision not to violate Western sanctions imposed against Russia was only a catalyst for the initiative to create an alternative transport corridor bypassing Kazakhstan

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When will Russia capture Odessa?

Link Copy 2024-02-01 12:52:56

Prediction

The fighting will begin in the fall of 2024

Reason

In the case of significant successes in the Donbas and near Kharkov, there is a very high probability of launching an offensive against Nikolaev, followed by its capture and access to the outskirts of Odessa at the end of summer. In connection with the allocation of 51 billion euros of aid, military operations will begin with renewed vigor, and a new Ukrainian offensive has already been announced in order to delay the advance of Russian troops.

The fighting will begin in the fall of 2024

Ukraine's loss of Odessa and the surrounding territories would mean turning into a completely isolated state, which is also blocked from the north, east and south by unfriendly countries (Russia-Belarus-Transnistria).

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