When will Russia capture Odessa?

The fighting will begin in the fall of 2024

In the case of significant successes in the Donbas and near Kharkov, there is a very high probability of launching an offensive against Nikolaev, followed by its capture and access to the outskirts of Odessa at the end of summer. In connection with the allocation of 51 billion euros of aid, military operations will begin with renewed vigor, and a new Ukrainian offensive has already been announced in order to delay the advance of Russian troops.

Ukraine's loss of Odessa and the surrounding territories would mean turning into a completely isolated state, which is also blocked from the north, east and south by unfriendly countries (Russia-Belarus-Transnistria).

The Battle for Odessa (2022)

Will there be a truce between Ukraine and Russia?

A truce is expected in November 2025.

The situation is not in favor of Russia. There is no significant success in the offensive of the troops, the country is being bombed unhindered, the last partners are on the verge of breaking off relations, an economic and gasoline crisis is brewing, and money is running out. Therefore, there is a high probability of peace and that Russia will make concessions.

Russia still has the resources for war, but the situation is getting worse. If the truce does not happen before the winter of 2025, there will be very heavy fighting and a very difficult winter for Russia. Ukraine now has long-range missiles and will bomb Russian energy infrastructure.

Will there be a nuclear war?

No

In 1994, the USA, England, France, and Russia concluded an agreement to cease the production of fissile materials for nuclear weapons. China did not sign the agreement but committed to comply with it. Israel also did not sign the agreement but stopped producing nuclear weapons in 2004, retaining the right to resume production if necessary. India, Pakistan, and North Korea, of course, did not sign the agreement. This agreement is perpetual, and its provisions came into effect in 1997.

Plutonium-based nuclear weapons have a shelf life of 18 years. 1997 18 years = 2015. Also, striking military targets, rather than cities, is the priority of a nuclear attack.

WHY THE US ELITE IS NOT AFRAID OF A NUCLEAR WAR WITH RUSSIA. I'M TALKING ABOUT RUSSIA AND THE USA.

What happens if China starts a war with Taiwan?

There is a 30% chance that China will launch military operations. After Pelosi's visit, China's maneuvers resulted in an economic blockade of Taiwan.

If war breaks out, China will fight against Taiwan, America, Japan and Nato. India may join the conflict. China can seize the island by force, but it will be an empty island destroyed by war, which will have to be rebuilt. Sanctions will be imposed on China. Because of the sanctions, all of China's economic and scientific successes will be nullified. China is also monitoring the outcome of the conflict between Russia and Ukraine.

And what Taiwan is preparing for. The 20th Congress of the Communist Party of China is about to take place, where very serious decisions on Taiwan can be made. Therefore, Taiwan shows in advance that it is ready for negotiations.

Taiwan Relations Act

Like Huawei, but only for everyone: the US has tightened sanctions on the sale of semiconductors to China. What does this threaten the PRC

An island of discord. How does the conflict between the US and China over Taiwan risk depriving the whole world of familiar goods?

The danger of the approach of China's military equipment to Taiwan was appreciated

Accuracy 40