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When will Russia capture Odessa?

Link Copy 2024-02-01 12:52:56

Prediction

The fighting will begin in the fall of 2024

Reason

In the case of significant successes in the Donbas and near Kharkov, there is a very high probability of launching an offensive against Nikolaev, followed by its capture and access to the outskirts of Odessa at the end of summer. In connection with the allocation of 51 billion euros of aid, military operations will begin with renewed vigor, and a new Ukrainian offensive has already been announced in order to delay the advance of Russian troops.

The fighting will begin in the fall of 2024

Ukraine's loss of Odessa and the surrounding territories would mean turning into a completely isolated state, which is also blocked from the north, east and south by unfriendly countries (Russia-Belarus-Transnistria).

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Comments 0

Is democracy the power of the majority?

Link Copy 2023-10-05 08:29:15

Prediction

No, 51% is more than half, but it's not an absolute 3/4 majority.

Reason

Democracy is essentially an oligarchy (aristocracy). If earlier the aristocracy around the world made decisions without the participation of the masses (until the beginning of the twentieth century - if citizens had the right to vote, it was only on property, race and other parameters), now, thanks to political technologies, the same thing is happening, only on the basis of manipulation of the capital of the masses. In addition, no one teaches political literacy, and therefore the politically illiterate population chooses someone from the appointees of the elite by unfair voting.

No, 51% is more than half, but it's not an absolute 3/4 majority.

Only elites participate in the parliamentary process. Citizens of the state are allowed to vote for their chosen candidate, but ordinary people cannot participate in elections. In the end, only the ruling elite decides the various interests of the population of the state.

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Why are so many wars happening right now?

Link Copy 2026-03-14 15:04:30

Prediction

Because of the recession, because of the expectation of quick victories, because of ambitions

Reason

Sometimes war is used to distract from internal problems. The struggle for resources (oil, gas, water, rare metals) intensifies. This is especially noticeable in regions with unstable politics. Very often wars begin when a country's leadership believes that victory will be quick and cheap. For example, Russia-Ukraine. Sometimes countries start a war when they believe the international situation is favorable to them. Like the USA-Iran or USA-Venezuela. Regional conflicts and escalation. Like India-Pakistan, Israel-Gaza Strip, Cambodian-Thai conflict, Afghan-Pakistani war.

Because of the recession, because of the expectation of quick victories, because of ambitions

After the end of the Cold War in 1991, the world became less predictable. Previously, two superpowers — the United States of America and the Soviet Union — restrained each other. Now several centers of power are emerging: China, Russia, the USA, regional powers like Iran and Turkey. When forces are distributed among many players, there are usually more conflicts.

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What will Trump do in 2025 as president?

Link Copy 2023-09-02 14:29:02

Prediction

1. Judicial reform. 2. Economic reform. 3. Energy reform. 4. The fight against globalists. 5. The Chinese problem

Reason

1) Trump has stated that if elected, he will appoint 100 U.S. attorneys who will support his agenda after taking office. 2. The revised trade policy will be aimed at encouraging domestic production while introducing tariffs on imported goods. 3. A ban on the export of hydrocarbons to Europe to the detriment of their own country. 4. These globalists want to waste all the strength, blood and treasures of America, chasing monsters and phantoms abroad, distracting us from the chaos they create here at home. These forces are doing more damage to America than Russia and China. 5. With regard to economic and national security, his plan will include a series of bold reforms to completely eliminate dependence on China in all critical areas.

1. Judicial reform. 2. Economic reform. 3. Energy reform. 4. The fight against globalists. 5. The Chinese problem

The coronavirus prevented Trump from fulfilling all his promises, and now America has even more problems.

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