The fighting will begin in the fall of 2024
In the case of significant successes in the Donbas and near Kharkov, there is a very high probability of launching an offensive against Nikolaev, followed by its capture and access to the outskirts of Odessa at the end of summer. In connection with the allocation of 51 billion euros of aid, military operations will begin with renewed vigor, and a new Ukrainian offensive has already been announced in order to delay the advance of Russian troops.

Ukraine's loss of Odessa and the surrounding territories would mean turning into a completely isolated state, which is also blocked from the north, east and south by unfriendly countries (Russia-Belarus-Transnistria).
The Battle for Odessa (2022)
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There is no manpower, and Europe and the United States will not interfere, because Russia has nuclear weapons.
The conflict could have been avoided, but the United States and NATO did not even consider the possibility of negotiations with Russia, which led to sad consequences for themselves and for Ukraine.

Now, a year and a half later, Ukraine is starting to say that there is no one to fight, Western aid has decreased, sanctions are no longer being imposed. And Europe started talking about the urgent need to start negotiations.
Judging Freedom: The United States lacks the courage to admit that it made a mistake in Ukraine
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No, there may be attempts to make peace that will lead to nothing.
Neither Ukraine nor Russia agrees to a peace treaty in the form that the West wants to see. If peace is concluded now, Ukraine will lose part of its territories, and Russia will receive a hostile country that, having recovered, will attack again. Therefore, the war will continue until a victorious end.

For some reason, Russia cannot understand and realize that if a country starts a war, it will have to go to the end. To the borders of Europe and even fight against NATO.
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The Russian economy will be reoriented from the Western to the Chinese economy. The Russian market will be open to Chinese companies. Ukraine will lose part of its territories. Europe will rebuild the ruined Ukraine at its own expense. It will be very difficult for companies from the EU to return to the Russian market, because it is already occupied by Russian and Chinese companies. America will be losing spheres of influence.
This military operation is in fact a division of spheres of influence. Russia, having regained its sovereignty and returned to the legitimate outcome of World War II, will inevitably restore lost territories to the borders of 1945. That is why Russia is not supported by the post-Soviet countries.

These actions are already underway and will stretch over a period of 5 years
It's time for the post-Soviet space to prepare for what will happen after Ukraine
What will happen after the war in Ukraine and Russia's special operation?
Accuracy 20
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