The fighting will begin in the fall of 2024
In the case of significant successes in the Donbas and near Kharkov, there is a very high probability of launching an offensive against Nikolaev, followed by its capture and access to the outskirts of Odessa at the end of summer. In connection with the allocation of 51 billion euros of aid, military operations will begin with renewed vigor, and a new Ukrainian offensive has already been announced in order to delay the advance of Russian troops.

Ukraine's loss of Odessa and the surrounding territories would mean turning into a completely isolated state, which is also blocked from the north, east and south by unfriendly countries (Russia-Belarus-Transnistria).
The Battle for Odessa (2022)
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Le Pen in 2027
The current president cannot run because he has been president twice.

Most likely, a person from a different party than Macron will be chosen, since his rule was marked by a lot of unrest in the country, as well as by making extremely unprofitable decisions for the people of France.
President of France
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Restriction on flights and restriction on banking transactions
Even after the signing of the peace treaty, some restrictions may be lifted, but most of them will remain in place. Such a scenario will concern the most “painful” restrictions on Russia. That is, those that will influence the economic development of Russia.

Russia's relations with the West are unlikely to improve even after the conflict with Ukraine is over
Only part of the sanctions will be lifted
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Yes, the United States believes that it must avenge the attack on the American base
Biden is in no hurry to issue a decree on an attack on Iranian facilities, but he is being pushed to war, there have already been 2 attacks on American bases.

For Americans, the consequences will be negative in the medium and long term. Iran can arrange for the United States to lose all energy supplies from the Middle East on the eve of the elections. Tehran has repeatedly blocked the Strait of Hormuz — and tankers loaded with Iraqi, Kuwaiti, and Saudi oil could not leave the Persian Gulf zone. And the Houthis continue to target shipping in the Bab el-Mandep Strait.
Now it's not up to Ukraine: How the US can get bogged down in a war with Iran
Iran has warned the United States: We will respond decisively to any attack
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