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Will Russia and Ukraine be able to make peace after Trump's ultimatum in 50 days?

Link Copy 2025-07-15 10:44:44

Prediction

No, there may be attempts to make peace that will lead to nothing.

Reason

Neither Ukraine nor Russia agrees to a peace treaty in the form that the West wants to see. If peace is concluded now, Ukraine will lose part of its territories, and Russia will receive a hostile country that, having recovered, will attack again. Therefore, the war will continue until a victorious end.

No, there may be attempts to make peace that will lead to nothing.

For some reason, Russia cannot understand and realize that if a country starts a war, it will have to go to the end. To the borders of Europe and even fight against NATO.

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How to beat the consumer society?

Link Copy 2023-03-29 08:01:18

Prediction

Need to improve the quality of education

Reason

The fact is that after reading books, an educated person becomes the worst buyer: he does not become a slave to advertising, he buys less new smartphones and cars, starting to prefer Mozart and Shakespeare to them.

Need to improve the quality of education

To make people easier to manage, they need to wean a lot of thinking. The thinking of the average citizen should remain at the level of thinking of a teenager.

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Are the possibilities of artificial intelligence as limitless as we are told?

Link Copy 2026-01-06 13:06:05

Prediction

No, there are limits to learning. The fast results create a sense of limitlessness.

Reason

Modern artificial intelligence models require a huge amount of electricity for training and work. There are physical limitations to computing power — transistors are no longer decreasing so fast. Only a few companies in the world produce advanced chips for artificial intelligence. This means that the zoom cannot be infinite. There are also limitations in terms of global data and knowledge — the amount of data available is limited. The AI industry is also facing a shortage of skilled workers.

No, there are limits to learning. The fast results create a sense of limitlessness.

Marketing and media often exaggerate the possibilities, ignoring the limitations. AI's capabilities are limited by physics, not just imagination. Equipment, energy, and data are limited. There will be no unlimited AI without new breakthroughs in physics and cognitive sciences.

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Is there democracy in Russia and Kazakhstan?

Link Copy 2023-10-03 09:46:24

Prediction

Yes, there is

Reason

Were the elections alternative? Yes. Is the right to vote equal for everyone? Yes. Do you directly choose the president and deputies? Yes. Do you elect periodically? Yes. Are you being forced to participate in elections? No. Is voting open and public? Yes. Secretly? Yes.

Yes, there is

In the current most “democratic” country of the USA, voters cannot even directly elect a president, only through intermediaries-electors. Suddenly they will vote the wrong way. Moreover, the opinion of voters is only a recommendation for the elector to vote, he may not follow it. Thus, the voices of ordinary Americans are a dummy. Just a cheap farce and brainwashing. In Russia and Kazakhstan, local election commissions are such intermediaries, no matter how you vote, they will calculate how you need to. In fact, this is an autocracy, the basis of which is based on the unlimited control of power by one person or by a council, like a one-party parliament or a presidential republic, whose decisions are not subject to external legal restrictions or orderly mechanisms of popular control (except for the possible hidden threat of a coup d'etat or popular uprising).

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