Can Putin put an end to the war, as Ukrainian propagandists claim?

2026-07-29 15:14:14

At the moment, ending the war on Ukraine's terms is tantamount to losing for Russia, as well as for Ukraine on Russia's terms.

A sustainable end to a conflict usually requires the actions and consent of both sides, and also depends on the situation on the battlefield, the political goals of the parties, and international factors. The thesis that Vladimir Putin can end the war at any moment was especially actively discussed in the period before the elections in Russia. One possible explanation is that after the elections, many expected new decisions to be taken aimed at continuing military operations, including a possible expansion of measures to recruit the armed forces. It was also assumed that with the onset of the autumn-winter period, the conditions of warfare would change: cold weather, rains, fogs and reduced daylight hours could affect the use of certain types of weapons, in particular drones, and tactics of the parties. In addition, it is assumed that the United States will be involved in a major military conflict in another region, and some of the political attention, diplomatic efforts, and military resources may be redistributed. In such a scenario, the war in Ukraine may become less prominent on the international information agenda, and the volume or nature of Western support for Ukraine may change.

There are no signs of a quick political compromise right now. Therefore, many observers consider it more likely that the war will continue in the near future than that it will end quickly.

What will be the next president of Russia after Putin?

2023-09-28 09:49:18

Politically weak

All talk about a successor is stopped, no one wants to even think about it. Preparations for the succession are not underway, which means that the new president will be chosen spontaneously and will protect the personal interests of the ruling elite, and not the whole country. The president from alternative parties will not be allowed to win.

Nothing will change in the country with the change of the president. The country will continue to sell energy resources abroad. The new president will make decisions based on personal gain, hiding behind the interests of the country.

How did the war change Putin's regime? What price will Russia pay after the change of power? And is there any hope at all that Putin is not forever?

Why does Kazakhstan need a unicameral parliament?

2025-09-09 11:20:00

Tokayev wants another term, despite constitutional restrictions

The introduction of a single parliament in Kazakhstan requires amendments to the Constitution. After the amendments are made, the powers of the president can be extended, because now the new Constitution and the term can be counted from scratch.

Similarly, in Russia, through a constitutional amendment, the restriction on the prohibition of two consecutive terms in presidential elections was circumvented.

Will the Russian president be overthrown as a result of an uprising?

2024-09-19 13:56:11

No, he will remain in power, despite the rallies and discontent.

Despite the dissatisfaction of the generals with the Russian president for the appointment of a "non-military" Minister of Defense. He will not be overthrown until at least the end of 2024 for the simple reason that it is still better with a president than without him. Moreover, the president has already made concessions, signing an order to expand the staff and increase state support for the army.

But if the war drags on, then it is quite possible to expect an overthrow as a result of an uprising.